Liga Portugal · Regular Season - 10
Match events
Estrela- 19'Yellow card: Santiago SerraFoul
- Substitution: Francisco DominguesOff: Álvaro Martínez36'
HT 0-0
- Goal: Landerson Costa AraújoAssist: Manuel Mendonça50'
- 57'Goal: Lovro Zvonarek
- 68'Substitution: Ianis StoicaOff: Jefferson Encada
- Substitution: Landerson Costa AraújoOff: Chipyoka Songa68'
- Substitution: Leonardo VonićOff: Yan Maranhão68'
- Substitution: Manuel MendonçaOff: Rodrigo Alonso79'
- 83'Substitution: Kevin Hoog JanssonOff: Tom Moustier
- 83'Substitution: Lucas Mincarelli DavinOff: Rafa Soares
- Goal: Nile JohnAssist: Tiago Andrade90+5'
Our verdict
Over 1.5
Bet365 1.28
✓ This tip was correct · final score 2-1
Win probability
Match statistics
- 52%Possession48%
- 0.52Expected goals (xG)0.74
- 11Total shots11
- 4Shots on target1
- 3Shots off target4
- 4Blocked shots6
- 3Shots inside the box9
- 3Corners3
- 4Offsides3
- 10Fouls15
- 0Yellow cards1
- 0Red cards0
- 0Goalkeeper saves2
- 424Passes386
- 357Accurate passes294
Line-ups
Moreirense
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 13André FerreiraG
- 76Dinis PintoD
- 66Gilberto BatistaD
- 4Kevyn MonteiroD
- 27KikoD
- 23N. JohnM
- 65Guilherme LiberatoM
- 11LandersonM
- 7Manuel Ascenção Bebiano MendonçaM
- 19Tiago AndradeM
- 79L. VonićF
Substitutes
- 25Afonso AssisM
- 1AranhaG
- 26MaracásD
- 17Álvaro MartínezD
- 21Rodri AlonsoM
- 2Leandro Henrique Sousa SantosD
- 28Chipyoka SongaF
- 8M. StjepanovićM
- 89Afonso VieiraF
- 99MaranhãoF
- 32JoséD
- 12Francisco Barbosa SampaioG
Coach: Vasco Costa
Estrela
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 24Léo LinckG
- 21M. ScholzeD
- 30Patrick LuanD
- 5S. LekovićD
- 3L. Mincarelli DavinD
- 6K. Höög JanssonM
- 78Santiago SerraM
- 99A. MarcusM
- 14L. ZvonarekM
- 10I. StoicaM
- 37L. AntonettiF
Substitutes
- 17Jefferson EncadaD
- 22David GriloG
- 49R. MutebaF
- 28T. MoustierM
- 71E. Pedro VangaM
- 51Diogo PintoG
- 55Rafa SoaresD
- 4Bernardo SchappoD
- 79A. ChernevD
- 72H. PoniewasF
Coach: Pepa
Betting markets
Expected goals 1.26 – 1.44Half time / full time result. 1 = Moreirense, X = draw, 2 = Estrela.
Asian handicap applied to Moreirense.
Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.
Model comparison
Last matches
Newest firstMoreirense1W 0D 0L · last 1Estrela0W 0D 0L · last 0No finished matches yet.
Liga Portugal table
| # | Team | P | +/- | Pts | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | +21 | 30 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Benfica | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | +18 | 22 | WWLWW |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +12 | 21 | WLWDD |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | +7 | 18 | LWDWW |
| 5 | Arouca | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +5 | 17 | WWDLD |
| 6 | Academico Viseu | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 17 | WWWWW |
| 7 | GIL Vicente | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 14 | LWWDL |
| 8 | Moreirense | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 14 | WWLDW |
| 9 | Alverca | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 11 | LWWWL |
| 10 | SC Braga | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 11 | LLLDW |
| 11 | Famalicao | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | +3 | 10 | WLWDD |
| 12 | Estrela | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -4 | 10 | LLLLD |
| 13 | Vitória SC | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 8 | WLDLD |
| 14 | Maritimo | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -10 | 8 | LLDLL |
| 15 | Nacional | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -8 | 7 | WLLLL |
| 16 | Rio Ave | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -13 | 7 | LWLDL |
| 17 | Casa Pia | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -14 | 7 | LWLWL |
| 18 | Estoril | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -14 | 2 | LLLLL |
Top scorers
| # | Player | M | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  V. PavlidisBenfica | 9 | 9 |
| 2 |  L. SuárezSporting CP | 10 | 8 |
| 3 |  G. PrestianniBenfica | 9 | 6 |
| 4 |  Borja SainzFC Porto | 10 | 5 |
| 5 |  BarberoArouca | 9 | 5 |
Season statistics
This season, all competitions we cover| Stat | Moreirense | Estrela |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 1 | 0 |
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
| Goals for (avg) | 3 | 0 |
| Goals against (avg) | 1 | 0 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 |
| Best win streak | 1 | 0 |
Recent goal lines
How many of each team's last 1 games went over the line
| Over 1.5 | 1/1 | 0/0 |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 1/1 | 0/0 |
| Over 3.5 | 1/1 | 0/0 |
| BTTS – yes | 1/1 | 0/0 |
Match preview
Moreirense host Estrela in the Liga Portugal (Regular Season - 10) at Parque Joaquim Almeida Freitas, Guimarães, with kick-off on Saturday, 31 October 2026 at 16:30 WAT.
Our prediction model makes Estrela slight favourites, giving Moreirense a 32% chance of winning, 27% for the draw and 41% for Estrela. Our tip is: Over 1.5.
Moreirense have taken 3 points from their last 1 games (1W 0D 0L).
On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 51% chance of over 2.5 and a 55% chance that both teams score.
- Competition
- Portugal Liga Portugal
- Date
- Saturday, 31 October 2026, 16:30 WAT
- Venue
- Parque Joaquim Almeida Freitas, Guimarães
TodaysPrediction analysis team
Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work
Quick answers
When is Moreirense vs Estrela?
Moreirense vs Estrela kicks off on Saturday, 31 October 2026 at 16:30 West Africa Time.
Which competition is Moreirense vs Estrela in?
The match is in the Portugal Liga Portugal.
Where are Moreirense and Estrela in the table?
Moreirense are 8th and Estrela are 12th in the Liga Portugal.
Who will win Moreirense vs Estrela?
Our prediction is Over 1.5. Win probabilities: Moreirense 32%, draw 27%, Estrela 41%.
Will both teams score in Moreirense vs Estrela?
We estimate a 55% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Moreirense vs Estrela?
We estimate a 51% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.
How often are predictions updated?
Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.