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Esenler Erokspor vs Mardin 1969 prediction

Esenler Erokspor vs Mardin 1969 prediction for the 1. Lig on 19 Oct 2026: Esenler Erokspor or draw (74%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Monday19October 2026
Yesterday: 61/71 correct(86%)
1. Lig · Regular Season - 11
Esenler EroksporMardin 1969
4 - 2Full time · Mon 19 OctHT 2-1
Esenler Stadium, Istanbul

Match events

Esenler EroksporMardin 1969
  1. Goal: Mikail OkyarAssist: Furkan Orak6'
  2. Yellow card: Burak CobanFoul28'
  3. 34'Goal: Nafican YardimciAssist: Zdravko Dimitrov
  4. Own goal: Eray Korkmaz (og)39'
  5. 45'Substitution: Muammer Denizhan TaskanOff: Mallik Wilks
  6. 45'Substitution: Đorđe DenićOff: Emre Taşdemir
  7. Substitution: Burak CobanOff: Yusuf Erdoğan45'

HT 2-1

  1. 51'Goal: Mallik WilksAssist: Zdravko Dimitrov
  2. Yellow card: Mame Mor FayeFoul56'
  3. Substitution: Mikail OkyarOff: Recep Niyaz58'
  4. Substitution: Enes AlıçOff: Altin Zeqiri58'
  5. Substitution: Guélor KangaOff: Ferhat Yazgan58'
  6. Substitution: Kubilay KanatsızkuşOff: Erkan Kaş75'
  7. Goal: Mame Mor FayeAssist: Furkan Orak77'
  8. 82'Substitution: Eray KorkmazOff: O. Yıldırım
  9. Yellow card: Ferhat YazganFoul85'
  10. Yellow card: Furkan OrakFoul90'
  11. Goal: Altin ZeqiriAssist: Yusuf Erdoğan90+3'

Our verdict

1X ✓

Esenler Erokspor or draw

Bet365 1.25

74%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 4-2

Expected goals2.6

Win probability

1 · Esenler Erokspor47%
Fair odds 2.13
X · Draw27%
Fair odds 3.70
2 · Mardin 196926%
Fair odds 3.85

Match statistics

  • 62%Possession38%
  • 2.38Expected goals (xG)0.92
  • 17Total shots12
  • 5Shots on target4
  • 8Shots off target5
  • 4Blocked shots3
  • 14Shots inside the box8
  • 6Corners4
  • 0Offsides2
  • 17Fouls9
  • 4Yellow cards0
  • 0Red cards0
  • 2Goalkeeper saves2
  • 541Passes317
  • 471Accurate passes232

Line-ups

Esenler Erokspor

4-1-4-1

Starting XI

  1. 22E. CanpolatG
  2. 70F. OrakD
  3. 21B. ÖztürkD
  4. 4Luccas ClaroD
  5. 33E. AlićD
  6. 7N. JanvierM
  7. 11M. FayeM
  8. 8G. KangaM
  9. 5M. OkyarM
  10. 17B. ÇobanM
  11. 9K. KanatsızkuşF

Substitutes

  1. 34E. ÇetinG
  2. 99P. GuèyeF
  3. 53Y. ErdoğanM
  4. 20M. BuljubašićM
  5. 77H. BilazerD
  6. 6T. KaçarM
  7. 39E. KaşD
  8. 10R. NiyazM
  9. 27F. YazganM
  10. 88A. ZeqiriM

Coach: H. Karaman

Mardin 1969

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1E. KardeşlerG
  2. 17E. KorkmazD
  3. 25M. ŞengülD
  4. 15U. GezerD
  5. 3N. YardımcıD
  6. 16A. KabakM
  7. 42B. AlhassanM
  8. 77D. TaşkanM
  9. 8Đ. DenićM
  10. 10Z. DimitrovM
  11. 9O. KayodeF

Substitutes

  1. 64B. DoğanD
  2. 70Enes ErolM
  3. 29Ö. KahveciG
  4. 4O. KarsliogluD
  5. 33E. TaşdemirD
  6. 47M. WilksF
  7. 45O. YıldırımF
  8. 7Ş. ÇetinM
  9. 19A. ÜlükF
  10. 11B. BalatM

Coach: Ivaylo Petev

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.54 – 1.08
0.5 goalsOver92.7%Under7.3%
1.5 goalsOver73.6%Under26.4%
2.5 goalsOver48.7%Under51.3%
3.5 goalsOver26.8%Under73.2%
4.5 goalsOver12.5%Under87.5%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

Esenler EroksporMardin 1969
25%Form75%
50%Attack50%
17%Defence83%
50%Head to head50%
59%Expected goals41%
64%Overall36%

Last matches

Newest first
Esenler Erokspor0W 1D 0L · last 1
DManisa F.K. vs Esenler Erokspor15 Oct 2026 · 1. Lig1-1
Mardin 19691W 0D 0L · last 1
WMardin 1969 vs Fatih Karagümrük15 Oct 2026 · 1. Lig1-0

1. Lig table

1. Lig table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Kayserispor2+106
2Bursaspor2+56
3Esenler Erokspor2+24
4Keçiörengücü2+14
5Batman Petrolspor1+23
6Mardin 19692-13
7Muğlaspor3-83
8Iğdır FK101
9Manisa F.K.2-11
10İstanbulspor1-20
11Fatih Karagümrük2-20
12Pendikspor1-20
13Antalyaspor1-40
See full table ›

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatEsenler EroksporMardin 1969
Played11
Wins01
Draws10
Losses00
Goals for (avg)11
Goals against (avg)10
Clean sheets01
Failed to score00
Best win streak01

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 1 games went over the line

Over 1.51/10/1
Over 2.50/10/1
Over 3.50/10/1
BTTS – yes1/10/1

Match preview

Esenler Erokspor host Mardin 1969 in the 1. Lig (Regular Season - 11) at Esenler Stadium, Istanbul, with kick-off on Monday, 19 October 2026 at 18:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Esenler Erokspor slight favourites, giving Esenler Erokspor a 47% chance of winning, 27% for the draw and 26% for Mardin 1969. Our tip is: Esenler Erokspor or draw.

Esenler Erokspor have taken 1 points from their last 1 games (0W 1D 0L). Mardin 1969 have taken 3 points from their last 1 games (1W 0D 0L).

On the goals markets, we expect a tighter game, with only a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Turkey 1. Lig
Date
Monday, 19 October 2026, 18:00 WAT
Venue
Esenler Stadium, Istanbul

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Esenler Erokspor vs Mardin 1969?

Esenler Erokspor vs Mardin 1969 kicks off on Monday, 19 October 2026 at 18:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Esenler Erokspor vs Mardin 1969 in?

The match is in the Turkey 1. Lig.

Where are Esenler Erokspor and Mardin 1969 in the table?

Esenler Erokspor are 3rd and Mardin 1969 are 6th in the 1. Lig.

Who will win Esenler Erokspor vs Mardin 1969?

Our prediction is Esenler Erokspor or draw. Win probabilities: Esenler Erokspor 47%, draw 27%, Mardin 1969 26%.

Will both teams score in Esenler Erokspor vs Mardin 1969?

We estimate a 52% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Esenler Erokspor vs Mardin 1969?

We estimate a 48% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Under 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More 1. Lig on Mon 19 Oct

FTManisa F.K. 3-4 Muğlaspor1X ✗FTFatih Karagümrük 1-2 Keçiörengücü1X ✗FTBursaspor 2-0 Pendikspor1 ✓

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