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Manisa F.K. vs Esenler Erokspor prediction

Manisa F.K. vs Esenler Erokspor prediction for the 1. Lig on 15 Oct 2026: Esenler Erokspor or draw (73%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Thursday15October 2026
Yesterday: 28/42 correct(67%)
1. Lig · Regular Season - 10
Manisa F.K.No recent gamesEsenler EroksporNo recent games
1 - 1Full time · Thu 15 OctHT 0-0
Manisa 19 Mayis, Manisa

Match events

Manisa F.K.Esenler Erokspor
  1. 35'Yellow card: Nicolas JanvierFoul
  2. 37'Yellow card: Pape Habib GueyeFoul
  3. Yellow card: K. YurdakulFoul39'

HT 0-0

  1. 57'Yellow card: Luccas ClaroFoul
  2. 63'Yellow card: Enes AlıçFoul
  3. 68'Substitution: Pape Habib GueyeOff: Kubilay Kanatsızkuş
  4. Substitution: Osman KaynakOff: Yasin Güreler74'
  5. 75'Substitution: Burak CobanOff: Altin Zeqiri
  6. 75'Substitution: Mame Mor FayeOff: Yusuf Erdoğan
  7. Substitution: Yusuf TalumOff: Osman Kahraman78'
  8. Goal: Ada Ibik80'
  9. 84'Substitution: Mikail OkyarOff: Recep Niyaz
  10. 84'Substitution: Nicolas JanvierOff: Ferhat Yazgan
  11. Substitution: Yassine BenrahouOff: Yunus Emre Dursun89'
  12. 90'Yellow card: Guélor KangaFoul
  13. 90+3'VARVAR: Recep NiyazPenalty confirmed
  14. 90+6'Penalty goal: Guélor Kanga (pen)

Our verdict

X2 ✓

Esenler Erokspor or draw

Bet365 1.33

73%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 1-1

Expected goals2.9

Win probability

1 · Manisa F.K.27%
Fair odds 3.70
X · Draw26%
Fair odds 3.85
2 · Esenler Erokspor47%
Fair odds 2.13

Match statistics

  • 43%Possession57%
  • 0.61Expected goals (xG)1.30
  • 12Total shots11
  • 1Shots on target2
  • 5Shots off target5
  • 6Blocked shots4
  • 4Shots inside the box7
  • 5Corners5
  • 0Offsides3
  • 14Fouls14
  • 1Yellow cards5
  • 0Red cards0
  • 1Goalkeeper saves0
  • 373Passes491
  • 299Accurate passes431

Line-ups

Manisa F.K.

4-4-2

Starting XI

  1. 13Egemen YayliG
  2. 22K. YurdakulD
  3. 5C. HérelleD
  4. 45Ada IbikD
  5. 3O. KaynakD
  6. 7Y. TalumM
  7. 60B. TouréM
  8. 6A. ÇankayaM
  9. 70A. VargasM
  10. 20Y. BenrahouF
  11. 23J. AnzianiF

Substitutes

  1. 21E. AkboğaM
  2. 99Metehan BaşarG
  3. 24Y. DursunM
  4. 27Y. GürelerD
  5. 4F. İnalD
  6. 17Osman KahramanF
  7. 2Yunus Emre KöseD
  8. 11N. LeminaM
  9. 10J. LindsethM
  10. 25A. SenF

Coach: Ahmet Pektaş

Esenler Erokspor

4-1-4-1

Starting XI

  1. 22E. CanpolatG
  2. 70F. OrakD
  3. 21B. ÖztürkD
  4. 4Luccas ClaroD
  5. 33E. AlićD
  6. 7N. JanvierM
  7. 11M. FayeM
  8. 8G. KangaM
  9. 5M. OkyarM
  10. 17B. ÇobanM
  11. 99P. GuèyeF

Substitutes

  1. 27F. YazganM
  2. 88A. ZeqiriM
  3. 34E. ÇetinG
  4. 39E. KaşD
  5. 10R. NiyazM
  6. 6T. KaçarM
  7. 9K. KanatsızkuşF
  8. 53Y. ErdoğanM
  9. 20M. BuljubašićM
  10. 77H. BilazerD

Coach: H. Karaman

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.22 – 1.66
0.5 goalsOver94.4%Under5.6%
1.5 goalsOver78.2%Under21.8%
2.5 goalsOver54.9%Under45.1%
3.5 goalsOver32.6%Under67.4%
4.5 goalsOver16.5%Under83.5%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

Manisa F.K.Esenler Erokspor
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
42%Expected goals58%
36%Overall64%

Last matches

Newest first
Manisa F.K.0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Esenler Erokspor0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

1. Lig table

1. Lig table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Bursaspor2+56
2Esenler Erokspor2+24
3Keçiörengücü2+14
4Kayserispor1+43
5Batman Petrolspor1+23
6Mardin 19692-13
7Muğlaspor2-23
8Iğdır FK101
9Manisa F.K.2-11
10İstanbulspor1-20
11Fatih Karagümrük2-20
12Pendikspor1-20
13Antalyaspor1-40
See full table ›

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatManisa F.K.Esenler Erokspor
Played00
Wins00
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)00
Goals against (avg)00
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Match preview

Manisa F.K. host Esenler Erokspor in the 1. Lig (Regular Season - 10) at Manisa 19 Mayis, Manisa, with kick-off on Thursday, 15 October 2026 at 18:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Esenler Erokspor slight favourites, giving Manisa F.K. a 27% chance of winning, 26% for the draw and 47% for Esenler Erokspor. Our tip is: Esenler Erokspor or draw.

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 55% chance of over 2.5 and a 58% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Turkey 1. Lig
Date
Thursday, 15 October 2026, 18:00 WAT
Venue
Manisa 19 Mayis, Manisa

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Manisa F.K. vs Esenler Erokspor?

Manisa F.K. vs Esenler Erokspor kicks off on Thursday, 15 October 2026 at 18:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Manisa F.K. vs Esenler Erokspor in?

The match is in the Turkey 1. Lig.

Where are Manisa F.K. and Esenler Erokspor in the table?

Manisa F.K. are 9th and Esenler Erokspor are 2nd in the 1. Lig.

Who will win Manisa F.K. vs Esenler Erokspor?

Our prediction is Esenler Erokspor or draw. Win probabilities: Manisa F.K. 27%, draw 26%, Esenler Erokspor 47%.

Will both teams score in Manisa F.K. vs Esenler Erokspor?

We estimate a 58% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Manisa F.K. vs Esenler Erokspor?

We estimate a 55% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More 1. Lig on Thu 15 Oct

FTMardin 1969 1-0 Fatih KaragümrükOver 1.5 ✗FTMuğlaspor 0-3 Bursaspor2 ✓

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