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Mardin 1969 vs Fatih Karagümrük prediction

Mardin 1969 vs Fatih Karagümrük prediction for the 1. Lig on 15 Oct 2026: Over 1.5 (74%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Thursday15October 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
1. Lig · Regular Season - 10
Mardin 1969No recent gamesFatih KaragümrükNo recent games
1 - 0Full time · Thu 15 OctHT 1-0
21 Kasım Stadium, Mardin

Match events

Mardin 1969Fatih Karagümrük
  1. Goal: Zdravko DimitrovAssist: Olarenwaju Kayode10'
  2. Yellow card: Adem Eren KabakFoul18'
  3. Substitution: Kerim AlıcıOff: Eray Korkmaz31'
  4. Yellow card: Tonio TeklićFoul38'

HT 1-0

  1. Substitution: Tonio TeklićOff: Şahverdi Çetin55'
  2. Substitution: Mallik WilksOff: Emre Taşdemir55'
  3. 65'Substitution: Ramazan CivelekOff: J. Esen
  4. 65'Substitution: Tiago CukurOff: Baris Kalayci
  5. Substitution: Đorđe DenićOff: O. Yıldırım72'
  6. Substitution: Olarenwaju KayodeOff: Berkay Dogan73'
  7. 80'Substitution: Manolis SiopisOff: Marius Tresor Doh
  8. 84'Substitution: Yaya OnogoOff: Tarık Buğra Kalpaklı
  9. 90'Yellow card: Anil CinarFoul
  10. Yellow card: Emre TaşdemirFoul90+3'

Our verdict

Over 1.5 ✗

Over 1.5

Bet365 1.28

74%

✗ This tip lost · final score 1-0

Expected goals2.6

Win probability

1 · Mardin 196947%
Fair odds 2.13
X · Draw27%
Fair odds 3.70
2 · Fatih Karagümrük26%
Fair odds 3.85

Match statistics

  • 32%Possession68%
  • 0.86Expected goals (xG)0.92
  • 6Total shots14
  • 1Shots on target2
  • 3Shots off target9
  • 2Blocked shots3
  • 5Shots inside the box6
  • 5Corners4
  • 1Offsides0
  • 10Fouls11
  • 3Yellow cards1
  • 0Red cards0
  • 3Goalkeeper saves0
  • 260Passes566
  • 185Accurate passes489

Line-ups

Mardin 1969

4-4-2

Starting XI

  1. 1E. KardeşlerG
  2. 27K. AlıcıD
  3. 25M. ŞengülD
  4. 15U. GezerD
  5. 3N. YardımcıD
  6. 47M. WilksM
  7. 16A. KabakM
  8. 91T. TeklićM
  9. 10Z. DimitrovM
  10. 9O. KayodeF
  11. 8Đ. DenićF

Substitutes

  1. 29Ö. KahveciG
  2. 70Enes ErolM
  3. 64B. DoğanD
  4. 11B. BalatM
  5. 17E. KorkmazD
  6. 33E. TaşdemirD
  7. 77D. TaşkanF
  8. 45O. YıldırımF
  9. 7Ş. ÇetinM
  10. 19A. ÜlükF

Coach: Ivaylo Petev

Fatih Karagümrük

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1M. SilvestriG
  2. 25M. SarıkayaD
  3. 4D. BiraschiD
  4. 28A. ÇınarD
  5. 21Candan BaskaleD
  6. 19Y. OnogoM
  7. 20M. SiopisM
  8. 22R. CivelekM
  9. 5E. AkbabaM
  10. 7Baris KalayciM
  11. 9C. TosunF

Substitutes

  1. 23B. ŞenG
  2. 11T. ÇukurF
  3. 6R. YalçınM
  4. 17Tarık Buğra KalpaklıF
  5. 27Muhammed KadiogluD
  6. 98B. EvliG
  7. 41J. EsenM
  8. 14Marius Tresor DohM
  9. 53Kaan Arda DemirM

Coach: A. Stanojević

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.53 – 1.09
0.5 goalsOver92.7%Under7.3%
1.5 goalsOver73.6%Under26.4%
2.5 goalsOver48.7%Under51.3%
3.5 goalsOver26.8%Under73.2%
4.5 goalsOver12.5%Under87.5%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

Mardin 1969Fatih Karagümrük
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
58%Expected goals42%
64%Overall36%

Last matches

Newest first
Mardin 19690W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Fatih Karagümrük0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

1. Lig table

1. Lig table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Kayserispor2+106
2Bursaspor2+56
3Esenler Erokspor2+24
4Keçiörengücü2+14
5Batman Petrolspor1+23
6Mardin 19692-13
7Muğlaspor3-83
8Iğdır FK101
9Manisa F.K.2-11
10İstanbulspor1-20
11Fatih Karagümrük2-20
12Pendikspor1-20
13Antalyaspor1-40
See full table ›

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatMardin 1969Fatih Karagümrük
Played00
Wins00
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)00
Goals against (avg)00
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Match preview

Mardin 1969 host Fatih Karagümrük in the 1. Lig (Regular Season - 10) at 21 Kasım Stadium, Mardin, with kick-off on Thursday, 15 October 2026 at 15:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Mardin 1969 slight favourites, giving Mardin 1969 a 47% chance of winning, 27% for the draw and 26% for Fatih Karagümrük. Our tip is: Over 1.5.

On the goals markets, we expect a tighter game, with only a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Turkey 1. Lig
Date
Thursday, 15 October 2026, 15:00 WAT
Venue
21 Kasım Stadium, Mardin

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Mardin 1969 vs Fatih Karagümrük?

Mardin 1969 vs Fatih Karagümrük kicks off on Thursday, 15 October 2026 at 15:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Mardin 1969 vs Fatih Karagümrük in?

The match is in the Turkey 1. Lig.

Where are Mardin 1969 and Fatih Karagümrük in the table?

Mardin 1969 are 6th and Fatih Karagümrük are 11th in the 1. Lig.

Who will win Mardin 1969 vs Fatih Karagümrük?

Our prediction is Over 1.5. Win probabilities: Mardin 1969 47%, draw 27%, Fatih Karagümrük 26%.

Will both teams score in Mardin 1969 vs Fatih Karagümrük?

We estimate a 52% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Mardin 1969 vs Fatih Karagümrük?

We estimate a 48% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Under 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More 1. Lig on Thu 15 Oct

FTMuğlaspor 0-3 Bursaspor2 ✓FTManisa F.K. 1-1 Esenler EroksporX2 ✓

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