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Fatih Karagümrük vs Keçiörengücü prediction

Fatih Karagümrük vs Keçiörengücü prediction for the 1. Lig on 19 Oct 2026: Fatih Karagümrük or draw (66%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Monday19October 2026
Yesterday: 78/96 correct(81%)
1. Lig · Regular Season - 11
Fatih KaragümrükKeçiörengücü
1 - 2Full time · Mon 19 OctHT 0-1
Yusuf Ziya Öniş Stadium, Istanbul

Match events

Fatih KaragümrükKeçiörengücü
  1. Yellow card: Ahmed TraoreFoul18'
  2. Yellow card: Candan BaskaleFoul24'
  3. 34'Yellow card: Wellington Ferreira NascimentoHandball
  4. 45'Goal: Mame Biram DioufAssist: E. Develi
  5. Substitution: Manolis SiopisOff: Marius Tresor Doh45'
  6. 45'Substitution: JeffersonOff: Alcídio Raice
  7. Yellow card: Manolis SiopisDissent45+3'

HT 0-1

  1. 63'Substitution: Francis EzehOff: Moryke Fofana
  2. 63'Substitution: Odise RoshiOff: Herculano·Nabian
  3. 65'Goal: Mame Biram DioufAssist: Moryke Fofana
  4. Substitution: Yaya OnogoOff: Dorukhan Toköz66'
  5. Substitution: Ramazan CivelekOff: J. Esen66'
  6. Substitution: Cenk TosunOff: Aleksandar Pešić66'
  7. 73'Yellow card: Mehmet ErdoganTime Wasting
  8. 75'Yellow card: Süleyman LusFoul
  9. Goal: Ramazan Civelek77'
  10. 85'Substitution: Oguzhan AyaydinOff: E. Develi
  11. 90+4'Substitution: Süleyman LusOff: Tuncer Duhan Aksu

Our verdict

1X ✗

Fatih Karagümrük or draw

Bet365 1.40

66%

✗ This tip lost · final score 1-2

Expected goals2.8

Win probability

1 · Fatih Karagümrük40%
Fair odds 2.50
X · Draw26%
Fair odds 3.85
2 · Keçiörengücü34%
Fair odds 2.94

Match statistics

  • 66%Possession34%
  • 2.11Expected goals (xG)1.70
  • 23Total shots13
  • 6Shots on target4
  • 9Shots off target7
  • 8Blocked shots2
  • 14Shots inside the box8
  • 4Corners1
  • 3Offsides3
  • 14Fouls16
  • 3Yellow cards3
  • 0Red cards0
  • 2Goalkeeper saves5
  • 630Passes319
  • 563Accurate passes250

Line-ups

Fatih Karagümrük

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1M. SilvestriG
  2. 25M. SarıkayaD
  3. 4D. BiraschiD
  4. 28A. ÇınarD
  5. 21Candan BaskaleD
  6. 19Y. OnogoM
  7. 20M. SiopisM
  8. 26Traore AhmedM
  9. 5E. AkbabaM
  10. 41J. EsenM
  11. 9C. TosunF

Substitutes

  1. 27Muhammed KadiogluD
  2. 14Marius Tresor DohM
  3. 7Baris KalayciF
  4. 22R. CivelekM
  5. 33Ç. KurukalıpD
  6. 72A. PešićF
  7. 8D. ToközM
  8. 6R. YalçınM
  9. 11T. ÇukurF
  10. 23B. ŞenG

Coach: A. Stanojević

Keçiörengücü

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1M. ErdoğanG
  2. 12M. KeskinD
  3. 3Wellington NascimentoD
  4. 4A. ÇelikD
  5. 33S. LuşD
  6. 14İ. AkdağM
  7. 6E. DeveliM
  8. 7O. RoshiM
  9. 20Alcídio RaiceM
  10. 21F. EzehM
  11. 55M. DioufF

Substitutes

  1. 37D. AksuD
  2. 22H. AyanM
  3. 16Oğuzhan AyaydınM
  4. 45Herculano NabianF
  5. 9Ö. DemirelF
  6. 77M. FofanaF
  7. 10JeffersonM
  8. 18E. SatılmışG
  9. 19Enes YilmazM
  10. 5O. ÇalışkanD

Coach: O. Korkmaz

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.48 – 1.35
0.5 goalsOver94.1%Under5.9%
1.5 goalsOver77.4%Under22.6%
2.5 goalsOver53.8%Under46.2%
3.5 goalsOver31.5%Under68.5%
4.5 goalsOver15.7%Under84.3%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

Fatih KaragümrükKeçiörengücü
0%Form100%
50%Attack50%
17%Defence83%
50%Head to head50%
52%Expected goals48%
54%Overall46%

Last matches

Newest first
Fatih Karagümrük0W 0D 1L · last 1
LMardin 1969 vs Fatih Karagümrük15 Oct 2026 · 1. Lig1-0
Keçiörengücü0W 1D 0L · last 1
DKeçiörengücü vs Iğdır FK14 Oct 2026 · 1. Lig0-0

1. Lig table

1. Lig table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Bursaspor2+56
2Esenler Erokspor2+24
3Keçiörengücü2+14
4Kayserispor1+43
5Batman Petrolspor1+23
6Mardin 19692-13
7Muğlaspor2-23
8Iğdır FK101
9Manisa F.K.2-11
10İstanbulspor1-20
11Fatih Karagümrük2-20
12Pendikspor1-20
13Antalyaspor1-40
See full table ›

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatFatih KaragümrükKeçiörengücü
Played11
Wins00
Draws01
Losses10
Goals for (avg)00
Goals against (avg)10
Clean sheets01
Failed to score11
Best win streak00

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 1 games went over the line

Over 1.50/10/1
Over 2.50/10/1
Over 3.50/10/1
BTTS – yes0/10/1

Match preview

Fatih Karagümrük host Keçiörengücü in the 1. Lig (Regular Season - 11) at Yusuf Ziya Öniş Stadium, Istanbul, with kick-off on Monday, 19 October 2026 at 15:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Fatih Karagümrük slight favourites, giving Fatih Karagümrük a 40% chance of winning, 26% for the draw and 34% for Keçiörengücü. Our tip is: Fatih Karagümrük or draw.

Fatih Karagümrük have taken 0 points from their last 1 games (0W 0D 1L). Keçiörengücü have taken 1 points from their last 1 games (0W 1D 0L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 54% chance of over 2.5 and a 58% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Turkey 1. Lig
Date
Monday, 19 October 2026, 15:00 WAT
Venue
Yusuf Ziya Öniş Stadium, Istanbul

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Fatih Karagümrük vs Keçiörengücü?

Fatih Karagümrük vs Keçiörengücü kicks off on Monday, 19 October 2026 at 15:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Fatih Karagümrük vs Keçiörengücü in?

The match is in the Turkey 1. Lig.

Where are Fatih Karagümrük and Keçiörengücü in the table?

Fatih Karagümrük are 11th and Keçiörengücü are 3rd in the 1. Lig.

Who will win Fatih Karagümrük vs Keçiörengücü?

Our prediction is Fatih Karagümrük or draw. Win probabilities: Fatih Karagümrük 40%, draw 26%, Keçiörengücü 34%.

Will both teams score in Fatih Karagümrük vs Keçiörengücü?

We estimate a 58% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Fatih Karagümrük vs Keçiörengücü?

We estimate a 54% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More 1. Lig on Mon 19 Oct

FTManisa F.K. 3-4 Muğlaspor1X ✗FTEsenler Erokspor 4-2 Mardin 19691X ✓FTBursaspor 2-0 Pendikspor1 ✓

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