Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 10
Match events
Grenoble- 18'Substitution: Aurélien PelonOff: Farouq Limouri
- 31'Goal: Ugo BonnetAssist: Yvann Macon
- Yellow card: Tom PouillyFoul34'
- 36'Yellow card: Yvann MaconDissent
- Substitution: Babacar LeyeOff: Abdoulaye Mbaye45'
- Yellow card: Bilal BrahimiDissent45+3'
HT 0-1
- Substitution: Tom PouillyOff: Abdel Hakim Abdallah56'
- Substitution: Cheikh FallOff: Jeremy Sebas56'
- Yellow card: Jessy BenetFoul59'
- Substitution: Bilal BrahimiOff: Lorenzo Rajot67'
- Yellow card: Gaëtan PaquiezFoul69'
- 73'Substitution: Leonardo CerriOff: Kyliann Fofana
- 74'Yellow card: Farouq LimouriFoul
- Yellow card: T. DebèsDissent74'
- Goal: Hacene BenaliAssist: Jeremy Sebas77'
- 81'Substitution: Ugo BonnetOff: Jean-Guy Akpa Akpro
- 81'Substitution: Samba Lele DibaOff: Lucas Bernadou
- 82'Substitution: Yvann MaconOff: Nesta Zahui
- Yellow card: Hacene BenaliFoul85'
- 86'Yellow card: Yohann MagninFoul
- Goal: Lorenzo Rajot89'
- 90+2'Yellow card: Clement VidalFoul
Our verdict
PAU or draw
Bet365 1.20
✓ This tip was correct · final score 2-1
Win probability
Match statistics
- 68%Possession32%
- 1.32Expected goals (xG)0.75
- 15Total shots6
- 5Shots on target1
- 8Shots off target5
- 2Blocked shots0
- 11Shots inside the box4
- 4Corners1
- 2Offsides1
- 22Fouls19
- 5Yellow cards4
- 0Red cards0
- 0Goalkeeper saves3
- 588Passes274
- 503Accurate passes200
Line-ups
PAU
5-3-2Starting XI
- 1B. MaubleuG
- 2T. PouillyD
- 29G. PaquiezD
- 23A. BriançonD
- 88A. BambaD
- 39M. TourraineD
- 6C. FallM
- 21J. BenetM
- 10B. BrahimiM
- 7H. BenaliF
- 56Abdoulaye MbayeF
Substitutes
- 18J. SebasF
- 27L. GadegbekuM
- 4A. DodoteD
- 97A. AbdallahD
- 11A. LefebvreF
- 9B. LeyeF
- 22R. BahengD
- 5L. RajotM
- 30E. SallesG
Coach: Thierry Debes
Grenoble
5-3-2Starting XI
- 20A. OllieroG
- 97Y. MaçonD
- 43A. PelonD
- 5C. VidalD
- 21Owen KouassiD
- 27M. XantippeD
- 30S. DibaM
- 6Y. MagninM
- 14M. CorbozM
- 12U. BonnetF
- 17L. CerriF
Substitutes
- 16B. AllainG
- 8L. BernadouM
- 23D. HoogewerfF
- 2M. DjittéF
- 47K. FofanaF
- 3F. LimouriD
- 10B. MouazanM
- 92J. Akpa AkproM
- 19N. ZahuiD
Coach: O. Frapolli
Betting markets
Expected goals 1.58 – 0.94Half time / full time result. 1 = PAU, X = draw, 2 = Grenoble.
Asian handicap applied to PAU.
Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.
Model comparison
Last matches
Newest firstPAU1W 0D 0L · last 1Grenoble0W 0D 1L · last 1Ligue 2 table
| # | Team | P | +/- | Pts | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Saint Etienne | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | +15 | 25 | WWWDL |
| 2 | Montpellier | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +7 | 21 | WWWDW |
| 3 | PAU | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | +5 | 20 | WWWWW |
| 4 | Nancy | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 19 | WWWWL |
| 5 | Reims | 10 | 4 | 6 | 0 | +8 | 18 | DWDDW |
| 6 | RED Star FC 93 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 17 | LLWWW |
| 7 | Annecy | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | +2 | 16 | WLWLL |
| 8 | Dijon | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | +1 | 15 | WLLWW |
| 9 | Metz | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 14 | LDWLD |
| 10 | Rodez | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 13 | WWLLL |
| 11 | Dunkerque | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -3 | 12 | LDWLL |
| 12 | Guingamp | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -2 | 11 | WLLLW |
| 13 | Sochaux | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -4 | 11 | LLDDW |
| 14 | Boulogne | 11 | 1 | 7 | 3 | -1 | 10 | LDWDL |
| 15 | Nantes | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -6 | 9 | DLLDW |
| 16 | Laval | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -7 | 9 | WLDLD |
| 17 | Clermont Foot | 11 | 0 | 8 | 3 | -5 | 8 | DLDLD |
| 18 | Grenoble | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -10 | 8 | LLLLD |
Top scorers
| # | Player | M | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Y. FofanaReims | 10 | 8 |
| 2 |  P. FallMetz | 10 | 8 |
| 3 |  A. BoakyeSaint Etienne | 10 | 6 |
| 4 |  I. CardonaSaint Etienne | 10 | 5 |
| 5 |  T. BalloSaint Etienne | 10 | 5 |
Season statistics
This season, all competitions we cover| Stat | PAU | Grenoble |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 1 | 1 |
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
| Goals for (avg) | 2 | 0 |
| Goals against (avg) | 1 | 2 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 |
| Best win streak | 1 | 0 |
Recent goal lines
How many of each team's last 1 games went over the line
| Over 1.5 | 1/1 | 1/1 |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 1/1 | 0/1 |
| Over 3.5 | 0/1 | 0/1 |
| BTTS – yes | 1/1 | 0/1 |
Match preview
PAU host Grenoble in the Ligue 2 (Regular Season - 10) at Nouste Camp, Pau, with kick-off on Friday, 23 October 2026 at 19:00 WAT.
Our prediction model makes PAU favourites, giving PAU a 52% chance of winning, 26% for the draw and 22% for Grenoble. Our tip is: PAU or draw.
PAU have taken 3 points from their last 1 games (1W 0D 0L). Grenoble have taken 0 points from their last 1 games (0W 0D 1L).
On the goals markets, we expect a tighter game, with only a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance that both teams score.
- Competition
- France Ligue 2
- Date
- Friday, 23 October 2026, 19:00 WAT
- Venue
- Nouste Camp, Pau
TodaysPrediction analysis team
Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work
Quick answers
When is PAU vs Grenoble?
PAU vs Grenoble kicks off on Friday, 23 October 2026 at 19:00 West Africa Time.
Which competition is PAU vs Grenoble in?
The match is in the France Ligue 2.
Where are PAU and Grenoble in the table?
PAU are 3rd and Grenoble are 18th in the Ligue 2.
Who will win PAU vs Grenoble?
Our prediction is PAU or draw. Win probabilities: PAU 52%, draw 26%, Grenoble 22%.
Will both teams score in PAU vs Grenoble?
We estimate a 49% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is No.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in PAU vs Grenoble?
We estimate a 46% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Under 2.5 goals.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.
How often are predictions updated?
Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.