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TodaysPrediction

Metz vs Sochaux prediction

Metz vs Sochaux prediction for the Ligue 2 on 17 Oct 2026: Metz or draw (77%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Saturday17October 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 9
MetzNo recent gamesSochauxNo recent games
3 - 2Full time · Sat 17 OctHT 2-0
Stade Saint-Symphorien, Metz

Match events

MetzSochaux
  1. Own goal: Saad Agouzoul (og)10'
  2. Goal: Giorgi AbuashviliAssist: Bouna Sarr28'
  3. 45'Substitution: Yohan DemoncyOff: Louicius Deedson
  4. 45'Substitution: Landry NomelOff: Mathis Clairicia

HT 2-0

  1. 46'Goal: Benjamin GomelAssist: Bakary Diawara
  2. Yellow card: Teji Savanier48'
  3. Substitution: Bouna SarrOff: Bryan Rigobert Song Bahanag53'
  4. 61'Yellow card: Benjamin GomelDissent
  5. 68'Substitution: Dalangunypole GomisOff: Dylan Tavares
  6. Goal: Teji Savanier77'
  7. Substitution: Giorgi AbuashviliOff: Florian Miguel79'
  8. Substitution: Cristian CastroOff: Maxime Colin79'
  9. 83'Substitution: Kapitbafan DjocoOff: Samy Baghdadi
  10. 83'Substitution: Benjamin GomelOff: Boubacar Fofana
  11. Substitution: Nathan MbalaOff: Abdourahmane Mbodj88'
  12. 90+2'Goal: Louicius DeedsonAssist: Samy Baghdadi

Our verdict

1X ✓

Metz or draw

Bet365 1.20

77%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 3-2

Expected goals2.5

Win probability

1 · Metz50%
Fair odds 2.00
X · Draw27%
Fair odds 3.70
2 · Sochaux23%
Fair odds 4.35

Match statistics

  • 58%Possession42%
  • 1.59Expected goals (xG)1.63
  • 12Total shots16
  • 5Shots on target4
  • 5Shots off target7
  • 2Blocked shots5
  • 9Shots inside the box9
  • 5Corners5
  • 2Offsides1
  • 12Fouls17
  • 1Yellow cards1
  • 0Red cards0
  • 2Goalkeeper saves3
  • 502Passes364
  • 420Accurate passes287

Line-ups

Metz

3-1-4-2

Starting XI

  1. 1J. FischerG
  2. 42C. DevenishD
  3. 5J. RuizD
  4. 4U. MboulaD
  5. 98I. MohamedM
  6. 70B. SarrM
  7. 8J. DeminguetM
  8. 10T. SavanierM
  9. 9G. AbuashviliM
  10. 33Abdourahmane MbodjF
  11. 11P. FallF

Substitutes

  1. 2M. ColinD
  2. 38H. KadamaniM
  3. 22N. MbalaF
  4. 18B. MunongoM
  5. 7Ibou SanéF
  6. 39B. SongD
  7. 3F. MiguelD
  8. 61P. SyG
  9. 12A. TouréM

Coach: Grégory Proment

Sochaux

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 40M. JeanninG
  2. 26E. N'GattaD
  3. 14M. PeybernesD
  4. 97S. AgouzoulD
  5. 3D. GomisD
  6. 21B. DiawaraM
  7. 23J. MassonM
  8. 77L. NomelM
  9. 24Y. DemoncyM
  10. 7B. GomelM
  11. 9K. DjocoF

Substitutes

  1. 42Dylan TavaresD
  2. 5S. BaghdadiF
  3. 8Honoré BayanginisaM
  4. 91M. ClairiciaF
  5. 11L. DeedsonF
  6. 10B. FofanaF
  7. 44N. K. MouyemaF
  8. 15J. MexiqueM
  9. 30A. PierreG

Coach: Vincent Hognon

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.54 – 0.97
0.5 goalsOver91.9%Under8.1%
1.5 goalsOver71.5%Under28.5%
2.5 goalsOver45.9%Under54.1%
3.5 goalsOver24.5%Under75.5%
4.5 goalsOver11.0%Under89.0%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

MetzSochaux
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
61%Expected goals39%
68%Overall32%

Last matches

Newest first
Metz0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Sochaux0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Ligue 2 table

Ligue 2 table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Saint Etienne11+1225
2Montpellier11+1024
3PAU11+520
4Nancy10+419
5Reims10+818
6RED Star FC 9310+117
7Annecy11-116
8Dijon11+115
9Guingamp11+114
10Metz11014
11Rodez11-513
12Dunkerque11-312
13Sochaux10-411
14Boulogne11-110
15Nantes11-69
16Laval11-79
17Clermont Foot11-58
18Grenoble11-108
See full table ›

Top scorers

Ligue 2 top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1Y. FofanaReims108
2P. FallMetz108
3A. BoakyeSaint Etienne116
4I. CardonaSaint Etienne115
5T. BalloSaint Etienne115

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatMetzSochaux
Played00
Wins00
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)00
Goals against (avg)00
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Match preview

Metz host Sochaux in the Ligue 2 (Regular Season - 9) at Stade Saint-Symphorien, Metz, with kick-off on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 13:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Metz favourites, giving Metz a 50% chance of winning, 27% for the draw and 23% for Sochaux. Our tip is: Metz or draw.

On the goals markets, we expect a tighter game, with only a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance that both teams score.

Competition
France Ligue 2
Date
Saturday, 17 October 2026, 13:00 WAT
Venue
Stade Saint-Symphorien, Metz

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Metz vs Sochaux?

Metz vs Sochaux kicks off on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 13:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Metz vs Sochaux in?

The match is in the France Ligue 2.

Where are Metz and Sochaux in the table?

Metz are 10th and Sochaux are 13th in the Ligue 2.

Who will win Metz vs Sochaux?

Our prediction is Metz or draw. Win probabilities: Metz 50%, draw 27%, Sochaux 23%.

Will both teams score in Metz vs Sochaux?

We estimate a 49% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is No.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Metz vs Sochaux?

We estimate a 46% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Under 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Ligue 2 on Sat 17 Oct

FTNantes 2-3 DunkerqueOver 1.5 ✓FTRED Star FC 93 0-1 Saint EtienneX2 ✓

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