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Santa Clara vs Benfica prediction

Santa Clara vs Benfica prediction for the Liga Portugal on 26 Oct 2026: Benfica to win (65%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Monday26October 2026
Yesterday: 28/42 correct(67%)
Liga Portugal · Regular Season - 9
Santa ClaraNo recent gamesBenfica
1 - 2Full time · Mon 26 OctHT 1-0
Estádio de São Miguel, Ponta Delgada

Match events

Santa ClaraBenfica
  1. 8'Yellow card: Alexander BahFoul
  2. 10'Yellow card: Marco Alexandre Saraiva da SilvaDissent
  3. Penalty goal: Luis Fernando Santos Oliveira (pen)32'
  4. Yellow card: Emanuel MoreiraFoul36'
  5. Yellow card: Pedro PachecoFoul40'
  6. 45'Substitution: Heorhii SudakovOff: Andreas Schjelderup
  7. 45'Substitution: Rafa SilvaOff: Dodi Lukebakio

HT 1-0

  1. 59'Yellow card: Vangelis PavlidisFoul
  2. 62'Goal: Vangelis PavlidisAssist: Gianluca Prestianni
  3. Substitution: Brenner Lucas Goncalves SantosOff: Welinton Torrão67'
  4. 68'Goal: Gianluca Prestianni
  5. 74'Yellow card: Fredrik AursnesFoul
  6. Substitution: Dani BorgesOff: Joao Vasconcelos75'
  7. 82'Substitution: Alessandro CircatiOff: Tomás Araújo
  8. 82'Substitution: Vangelis PavlidisOff: Jhon Durán
  9. Substitution: Léo JacóOff: Lucas Soares85'
  10. Substitution: Vitor Hugo Amorim de AssisOff: Pedro Ferreira85'
  11. 88'Yellow card: Samuel DahlFoul
  12. 89'Yellow card: Jhon DuránFoul
  13. Yellow card: Guilherme RomãoArgument90'
  14. 90+2'Substitution: Gianluca PrestianniOff: Manuel Silva
  15. Yellow card: Joao VasconcelosFoul90+3'

Our verdict

2 ✓

Benfica to win

Bet365 1.38

65%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 1-2

Expected goals2.7

Win probability

1 · Santa Clara13%
Fair odds 7.69
X · Draw22%
Fair odds 4.55
2 · Benfica65%
Fair odds 1.54

Match statistics

  • 38%Possession62%
  • 1.36Expected goals (xG)1.72
  • 13Total shots16
  • 6Shots on target3
  • 6Shots off target7
  • 1Blocked shots6
  • 5Shots inside the box7
  • 2Corners3
  • 0Offsides3
  • 17Fouls13
  • 4Yellow cards5
  • 0Red cards0
  • 1Goalkeeper saves5
  • 300Passes482
  • 215Accurate passes390

Line-ups

Santa Clara

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1Lucas FrançaG
  2. 42Lucas SoaresD
  3. 4Pedro PachecoD
  4. 21Emanuel FernandesD
  5. 5Guilherme RomãoD
  6. 6Pedro FerreiraM
  7. 41Daniel BorgesM
  8. 70Vinícius LopesM
  9. 20Tiago RibeiroM
  10. 10Brenner Lucas Gonçalves SantosM
  11. 7Luis Fernando Santos OliveiraF

Substitutes

  1. 17João VasconcelosM
  2. 99SorrisoF
  3. 19YthalloD
  4. 80Tiago Ribeiro DuarteF
  5. 25F. MedeirosM
  6. 11Welinton TorrãoF
  7. 12NenecaG
  8. 73Léo JacóF
  9. 22VitinhoM
  10. 3Henrique SilvaD
  11. 18A. DuarteF
  12. 81Seydou FofanaM

Coach: Petit

Benfica

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 24Samuel SoaresG
  2. 6A. BahD
  3. 44Tomás AraújoD
  4. 2C. LengletD
  5. 26S. DahlD
  6. 8F. AursnesM
  7. 36João PalhinhaM
  8. 27RafaM
  9. 10H. SudakovM
  10. 25G. PrestianniM
  11. 14V. PavlidisF

Substitutes

  1. 72A. CabralF
  2. 88Tiago FreitasM
  3. 62J. NetoD
  4. 11D. LukebakioF
  5. 21A. SchjelderupF
  6. 16ManuM
  7. 34S. El KarouaniD
  8. 1A. TrubinG
  9. 33Gabriel IndioD
  10. 30C. EcheverriM
  11. 22J. DuránF
  12. 3A. CircatiD

Coach: Marco Silva

Betting markets

Expected goals 0.75 – 1.96
0.5 goalsOver93.3%Under6.7%
1.5 goalsOver75.3%Under24.7%
2.5 goalsOver50.9%Under49.1%
3.5 goalsOver28.8%Under71.2%
4.5 goalsOver13.9%Under86.1%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

Santa ClaraBenfica
0%Form100%
0%Attack100%
83%Defence17%
50%Head to head50%
28%Expected goals72%
17%Overall83%

Last matches

Newest first
Santa Clara0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Benfica2W 0D 0L · last 2
WOmonia Nicosia vs Benfica22 Oct 2026 · Europa League1-4WBenfica vs Celtic15 Oct 2026 · Europa League4-1

Liga Portugal table

Liga Portugal table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1FC Porto9+1727
2Benfica9+1822
3Sporting CP10+1221
4Santa Clara9+718
5Arouca9+517
6Academico Viseu9+217
7GIL Vicente9+114
8Alverca9011
9SC Braga9-211
10Moreirense9-511
11Famalicao9+310
12Estrela9-310
13Vitória SC908
14Maritimo9-108
15Nacional9-87
16Rio Ave9-137
17Casa Pia10-147
18Estoril9-102
See full table ›

Top scorers

Liga Portugal top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1V. PavlidisBenfica99
2L. SuárezSporting CP98
3G. PrestianniBenfica96
4BarberoArouca95
5Gonçalo PaciênciaSanta Clara85

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatSanta ClaraBenfica
Played02
Wins02
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)04
Goals against (avg)01
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak02

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 2 games went over the line

Over 1.50/02/2
Over 2.50/02/2
Over 3.50/02/2
BTTS – yes0/02/2

Match preview

Santa Clara host Benfica in the Liga Portugal (Regular Season - 9) at Estádio de São Miguel, Ponta Delgada, with kick-off on Monday, 26 October 2026 at 19:45 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Benfica clear favourites, giving Santa Clara a 13% chance of winning, 22% for the draw and 65% for Benfica. Our tip is: Benfica to win.

Benfica have taken 6 points from their last 2 games (2W 0D 0L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 51% chance of over 2.5 and a 46% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Portugal Liga Portugal
Date
Monday, 26 October 2026, 19:45 WAT
Venue
Estádio de São Miguel, Ponta Delgada

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Santa Clara vs Benfica?

Santa Clara vs Benfica kicks off on Monday, 26 October 2026 at 19:45 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Santa Clara vs Benfica in?

The match is in the Portugal Liga Portugal.

Where are Santa Clara and Benfica in the table?

Santa Clara are 4th and Benfica are 2nd in the Liga Portugal.

Who will win Santa Clara vs Benfica?

Our prediction is Benfica to win. Win probabilities: Santa Clara 13%, draw 22%, Benfica 65%.

Will both teams score in Santa Clara vs Benfica?

We estimate a 46% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is No.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Santa Clara vs Benfica?

We estimate a 51% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

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