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Avai vs Athletic Club prediction

Avai vs Athletic Club prediction for the Serie B on 18 Oct 2026: Under 3.5 (81%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Sunday18October 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
Serie B · Regular Season - 34
AvaiNo recent gamesAthletic Club
0 - 0Full time · Sun 18 OctHT 0-0
Estádio da Ressacada, Florianopolis

Match events

AvaiAthletic Club
  1. Yellow card: João VitorArgument7'
  2. 7'Yellow card: José Carlos Cracco NetoArgument
  3. 31'Yellow card: João MiguelFoul
  4. Yellow card: Douglas da Silva TeixeiraFoul34'
  5. 36'VARVAR: Lucas BeleziPenalty cancelled
  6. Yellow card: WendersonFoul40'
  7. Substitution: Felipe VizeuOff: Caio Suassuna Gonçalves Ferreira45'

HT 0-0

  1. 65'Substitution: Yago Santos de AndradeOff: Dixon Vera
  2. Substitution: Paulo VitorOff: Luiz Henrique65'
  3. 66'Substitution: Carlos Moisés de LimaOff: Wilinton Aponza Carabali
  4. Substitution: Rildo Goncalves de Amorin FilhoOff: Wenderson66'
  5. 78'Substitution: Kauan Rodrigues da SilvaOff: Pedro Henrique de Oliveira
  6. Substitution: João VitorOff: Wallison82'
  7. 84'Substitution: Maswel Ananias SilvaOff: Yarlen Faustino Augusto
  8. 84'Substitution: José Carlos Cracco NetoOff: Enzo Henrique dos Santos
  9. Substitution: Douglas da Silva TeixeiraOff: William90'

Our verdict

Under 3.5 ✓

Under 3.5

Bet365 1.20

81%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 0-0

Expected goals2.3

Win probability

1 · Avai42%
Fair odds 2.38
X · Draw30%
Fair odds 3.33
2 · Athletic Club28%
Fair odds 3.57

Match statistics

  • 55%Possession45%
  • 1.03Expected goals (xG)0.11
  • 24Total shots3
  • 5Shots on target1
  • 10Shots off target0
  • 9Blocked shots2
  • 13Shots inside the box1
  • 9Corners3
  • 2Offsides0
  • 13Fouls8
  • 3Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0
  • 1Goalkeeper saves5
  • 461Passes374
  • 370Accurate passes275

Line-ups

Avai

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 94Bruno FerreiraG
  2. 22João Vitor Cardoso de SouzaD
  3. 3AllysonD
  4. 38Jefferson MacielD
  5. 36DGD
  6. 77Zé RicardoM
  7. 8Luiz HenriqueM
  8. 14Daniel PenhaM
  9. 95WendersonM
  10. 10Jean LucasM
  11. 19Caio Suassuna Gonçalves FerreiraF

Substitutes

  1. 23Gabriel CiprianoF
  2. 18HyanM
  3. 9Léo GamalhoF
  4. 70GasparF
  5. 35PedrãoD
  6. 37RildoF
  7. 5Del PiageM
  8. 1Igor BohnG
  9. 25Paulo VitorM
  10. 56WilliamD
  11. 11Felipe VizeuF
  12. 2WallisonD

Coach: Allan Aal

Athletic Club

4-1-4-1

Starting XI

  1. 1Luan PolliG
  2. 22Diogo BatistaD
  3. 4Lucas BeleziD
  4. 19J. TorresD
  5. 6ZecaD
  6. 16João MiguelM
  7. 17KauanM
  8. 5Felipe NegrucciM
  9. 14Yago SantosM
  10. 11MaxM
  11. 9CarlinhosF

Substitutes

  1. 21D. VeraF
  2. 13Philipe SampaioD
  3. 18Pedro OliveiraM
  4. 15JotaM
  5. 23EnzoD
  6. 2Douglas PeléD
  7. 20W. AponzaF
  8. 12TonyG
  9. 8AssisM
  10. 7BruninhoF
  11. 10YarlenF

Coach: Alex

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.27 – 1.00
0.5 goalsOver89.7%Under10.3%
1.5 goalsOver66.2%Under33.8%
2.5 goalsOver39.6%Under60.4%
3.5 goalsOver19.5%Under80.5%
4.5 goalsOver8.0%Under92.0%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

AvaiAthletic Club
0%Form100%
0%Attack100%
91%Defence9%
50%Head to head50%
56%Expected goals44%
60%Overall40%

Last matches

Newest first
Avai0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Athletic Club0W 1D 0L · last 1
DAthletic Club vs Londrina13 Oct 2026 · Serie B2-2

Serie B table

Serie B table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Juventude36+2265
2Novorizontino35+3264
3Vila Nova36+1463
4Criciuma36+862
5Fortaleza EC35+1261
6CRB35+455
7Sport Recife36+955
8Atletico Goianiense35+954
9Goias35-452
10Operario-PR35-151
11São Bernardo35+1049
12Botafogo SP36+248
13Cuiaba35+447
14Nautico Recife36-646
15Athletic Club35044
16Ceara35-743
17Avai36-1337
18Londrina35-732
19America Mineiro35-3123
20Ponte Preta36-5715
See full table ›

Top scorers

Serie B top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1RobsonNovorizontino3216
2MikaelCRB3316
3PerottiSport Recife3513
4BoschiliaOperario-PR2813
5Gustavo CoutinhoAtletico Goianiense3013

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatAvaiAthletic Club
Played01
Wins00
Draws01
Losses00
Goals for (avg)02
Goals against (avg)02
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 1 games went over the line

Over 1.50/01/1
Over 2.50/01/1
Over 3.50/01/1
BTTS – yes0/01/1

Match preview

Avai host Athletic Club in the Serie B (Regular Season - 34) at Estádio da Ressacada, Florianopolis, with kick-off on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at 20:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Avai slight favourites, giving Avai a 42% chance of winning, 30% for the draw and 28% for Athletic Club. Our tip is: Under 3.5.

Athletic Club have taken 1 points from their last 1 games (0W 1D 0L).

On the goals markets, we expect a tighter game, with only a 40% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Brazil Serie B
Date
Sunday, 18 October 2026, 20:00 WAT
Venue
Estádio da Ressacada, Florianopolis

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Avai vs Athletic Club?

Avai vs Athletic Club kicks off on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at 20:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Avai vs Athletic Club in?

The match is in the Brazil Serie B.

Where are Avai and Athletic Club in the table?

Avai are 17th and Athletic Club are 15th in the Serie B.

Who will win Avai vs Athletic Club?

Our prediction is Under 3.5. Win probabilities: Avai 42%, draw 30%, Athletic Club 28%.

Will both teams score in Avai vs Athletic Club?

We estimate a 46% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is No.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Avai vs Athletic Club?

We estimate a 40% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Under 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Serie B on Sun 18 Oct

FTSão Bernardo 0-1 CriciumaX2 ✓FTCRB 0-1 Botafogo SP1 ✗FTVila Nova 2-2 NovorizontinoUnder 3.5 ✗

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