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Athletic Club vs Getafe prediction

Athletic Club vs Getafe prediction for the La Liga on 25 Oct 2026: Athletic Club to win (59%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Athletic ClubGetafe
4 - 0Full time · Sun 25 OctHT 2-0
San Mamés Stadium, Bilbao

Match events

Athletic ClubGetafe
  1. Goal: Alex Berenguer17'
  2. Substitution: Iñigo Ruiz De GalarretaOff: Beñat Gerenabarrena18'
  3. Goal: Iñaki WilliamsAssist: Alex Berenguer35'
  4. 39'Yellow card: Ramón TerratsDissent
  5. 43'Yellow card: Daniel CarvajalFoul
  6. 45'Substitution: Francho Serrano GraciaOff: Saba Sazonov
  7. 45'Substitution: Kiko FemeniaOff: Andrés García

HT 2-0

  1. 63'Yellow card: Johan MojicaFoul
  2. Substitution: Christian ImgaOff: Nico Williams68'
  3. Substitution: Alejandro Rego MoraOff: Maroan Sannadi68'
  4. Goal: Aitor ParedesAssist: Alex Berenguer70'
  5. 71'Substitution: Borja MayoralOff: Ramón Terrats
  6. 71'Substitution: Enes ÜnalOff: Iván Azón
  7. 71'Substitution: Johan MojicaOff: David Cordón Mancha
  8. Yellow card: Beñat GerenabarrenaFoul72'
  9. Substitution: Beñat Prados DíazOff: Peio Canales84'
  10. Substitution: Iñaki WilliamsOff: Jesús Vizcay Hurtado85'
  11. 86'Red card: Mario Martín RielvesSerious Foul
  12. Goal: Yuri BerchicheAssist: Alex Berenguer88'

Our verdict

1 ✓

Athletic Club to win

Bet365 1.57

59%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 4-0

Expected goals2.3

Win probability

1 · Athletic Club59%
Fair odds 1.69
X · Draw26%
Fair odds 3.85
2 · Getafe15%
Fair odds 6.67

Match statistics

  • 62%Possession38%
  • 0.77Expected goals (xG)0.42
  • 11Total shots7
  • 4Shots on target1
  • 4Shots off target5
  • 3Blocked shots1
  • 6Shots inside the box4
  • 2Corners4
  • 0Offsides2
  • 11Fouls15
  • 1Yellow cards3
  • 0Red cards1
  • 1Goalkeeper saves0
  • 588Passes343
  • 518Accurate passes273

Line-ups

Athletic Club

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1Unai SimónG
  2. 15Hugo RincónD
  3. 3Dani VivianD
  4. 4Aitor ParedesD
  5. 17YuriD
  6. 16Ruíz de GalarretaM
  7. 28Peio CanalesM
  8. 9I. WilliamsM
  9. 7Álex BerenguerM
  10. 10Nico WilliamsM
  11. 21Maroan SannadiF

Substitutes

  1. 22Nico SerranoF
  2. 6Beñat PradosM
  3. 5YerayD
  4. 20Alejandro RegoM
  5. 13Álex PadillaG
  6. 23Robert NavarroM
  7. 31J. Louis-JeanD
  8. 18Mikel JauregizarM
  9. 24Beñat GerenabarrenaM
  10. 12Jesús AresoD
  11. 33Christian ImgaF
  12. 34Jesús Vizcay HurtadoF

Coach: E. Terzić

Getafe

5-4-1

Starting XI

  1. 13David SoriaG
  2. 17Kiko FemeníaD
  3. 14Daniel CarvajalD
  4. 8N. GudeljD
  5. 26J. ValouD
  6. 22J. MojicaD
  7. 11Ramón TerratsM
  8. 16Francho SerranoM
  9. 6Mario MartínM
  10. 10M. SatrianoM
  11. 20Iván AzónF

Substitutes

  1. 21Andrés GarcíaD
  2. 19E. ÜnalF
  3. 4S. SazonovD
  4. 28Alberto RiscoM
  5. 9Borja MayoralF
  6. 1J. LetáčekG
  7. 35Diego FerrerG
  8. 3DavinchiD
  9. 5A. AbqarD
  10. 15S. BoselliD

Coach: Pepe Bordalás

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.62 – 0.70
0.5 goalsOver90.2%Under9.8%
1.5 goalsOver67.4%Under32.6%
2.5 goalsOver40.9%Under59.1%
3.5 goalsOver20.5%Under79.5%
4.5 goalsOver8.6%Under91.4%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

Athletic ClubGetafe
33%Form67%
28%Attack72%
61%Defence39%
50%Head to head50%
70%Expected goals30%
80%Overall20%

Last matches

Newest first

La Liga table

La Liga table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Barcelona10+2927
2Atletico Madrid10+1225
3Real Madrid10+1524
4Real Betis10+220
5Real Sociedad10+119
6Sevilla10017
7Alaves10+312
8Athletic Club9+312
9Celta Vigo10+312
10Villarreal11012
11Deportivo La Coruna10011
12Espanyol11-111
13Osasuna10-1011
14Racing Santander10-1111
15Levante10-310
16Elche10-310
17Rayo Vallecano9-89
18Getafe10-109
19Valencia10-106
20Malaga10-125
See full table ›

Top scorers

La Liga top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1RaphinhaBarcelona913
2Kylian MbappéReal Madrid1011
3M. ZabiriRacing Santander108
4Lamine YamalBarcelona108
5Sergio CamelloRayo Vallecano107

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatAthletic ClubGetafe
Played23
Wins00
Draws12
Losses11
Goals for (avg)0.51.3
Goals against (avg)1.52.3
Clean sheets10
Failed to score10
Best win streak00

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 3 games went over the line

Over 1.51/23/3
Over 2.51/21/3
Over 3.51/21/3
BTTS – yes1/23/3

Match preview

Athletic Club host Getafe in the La Liga (Regular Season - 10) at San Mamés Stadium, Bilbao, with kick-off on Sunday, 25 October 2026 at 14:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Athletic Club favourites, giving Athletic Club a 59% chance of winning, 26% for the draw and 15% for Getafe. Our tip is: Athletic Club to win.

Athletic Club have taken 1 points from their last 2 games (0W 1D 1L). Getafe have taken 2 points from their last 3 games (0W 2D 1L).

On the goals markets, we expect a tighter game, with only a 41% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 41% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Spain La Liga
Date
Sunday, 25 October 2026, 14:00 WAT
Venue
San Mamés Stadium, Bilbao

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Athletic Club vs Getafe?

Athletic Club vs Getafe kicks off on Sunday, 25 October 2026 at 14:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Athletic Club vs Getafe in?

The match is in the Spain La Liga.

Where are Athletic Club and Getafe in the table?

Athletic Club are 8th and Getafe are 18th in the La Liga.

Who will win Athletic Club vs Getafe?

Our prediction is Athletic Club to win. Win probabilities: Athletic Club 59%, draw 26%, Getafe 15%.

Will both teams score in Athletic Club vs Getafe?

We estimate a 41% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is No.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Athletic Club vs Getafe?

We estimate a 41% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Under 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

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