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Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC prediction

Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC prediction for the Saudi Pro League on 23 Oct 2026: Al-Hilal Saudi FC or draw (72%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Friday23October 2026
Yesterday: 28/42 correct(67%)
Saudi Pro League · Regular Season - 11
Al-Qadisiyah FCAl-Hilal Saudi FC
2 - 3Full time · Fri 23 OctHT 1-1
Prince Mohammed Bin Fahd Stadium, Daman

Match events

Al-Qadisiyah FCAl-Hilal Saudi FC
  1. Substitution: Nahitan NándezOff: Yasir Al-Shahrani18'
  2. 21'Goal: Gabriel MartinelliAssist: Ollie Watkins
  3. Goal: Julián QuiñonesAssist: Musab Al-Juwayr31'
  4. 36'Yellow card: Hassan Al-TambaktiFoul

HT 1-1

  1. 49'Substitution: Sultan MandashOff: Gabriel Martinelli
  2. 74'Substitution: Hassan Al-TambaktiOff: Ali Lajami
  3. Yellow card: Mohammed Abu Al-ShamatFoul76'
  4. 77'Goal: Rúben NevesAssist: Sergej Milinković-Savić
  5. Substitution: Musab Al-JuwayrOff: Mohammed Hamad Al-Qahtani83'
  6. 84'Goal: Sergej Milinković-SavićAssist: Sultan Mandash
  7. 86'Yellow card: Rúben NevesFoul
  8. Goal: Mateo ReteguiAssist: Tijjani Reijnders87'
  9. 88'Substitution: Crysencio SummervilleOff: Salem Al-Dawsari
  10. 88'Substitution: Theo HernandezOff: Moteb Al-Harbi
  11. 88'Substitution: Nasser Al-DawsariOff: Mohamed Kanno
  12. Substitution: Mohammed Abu Al-ShamatOff: Turki Al-Ammar90+2'

Our verdict

X2 ✓

Al-Hilal Saudi FC or draw

Bet365 1.33

72%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 2-3

Expected goals3.3

Win probability

1 · Al-Qadisiyah FC28%
Fair odds 3.57
X · Draw24%
Fair odds 4.17
2 · Al-Hilal Saudi FC48%
Fair odds 2.08

Match statistics

  • 52%Possession48%
  • 0.72Expected goals (xG)2.86
  • 14Total shots19
  • 6Shots on target9
  • 4Shots off target10
  • 4Blocked shots0
  • 5Shots inside the box14
  • 6Corners4
  • 1Offsides2
  • 15Fouls14
  • 1Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0
  • 6Goalkeeper saves4
  • 463Passes430
  • 405Accurate passes374

Line-ups

Al-Qadisiyah FC

3-5-2

Starting XI

  1. 1K. CasteelsG
  2. 4Jehad Abdullatif AhmD
  3. 17G. ÁlvarezD
  4. 8N. NándezD
  5. 2Mohammed Abu Al ShamatM
  6. 10Musab Al JuwayrM
  7. 5J. WeiglM
  8. 14T. ReijndersM
  9. 22C. Bonsu BaahM
  10. 32M. ReteguiF
  11. 33J. QuiñonesF

Substitutes

  1. 9Abdullah Al SalemF
  2. 12Yasir Al ShahraniD
  3. 35A. Al SiyahiM
  4. 27E. HoussaM
  5. 42Abdulaziz Tariq Al QarawiD
  6. 15Mohammed Al QahtaniF
  7. 28Ahmed Al KassarG
  8. 18Abdulmalik Al-JaberM
  9. 7Turki Al AmmarM

Coach: Brendan Rodgers

Al-Hilal Saudi FC

4-3-3

Starting XI

  1. 37Y. BounouG
  2. 2Mohammed Mater Mohsin MahzariD
  3. 87Hassan TambaktiD
  4. 3K. KoulibalyD
  5. 19T. HernándezD
  6. 22S. Milinković-SavićM
  7. 6Nasser Al DawsariM
  8. 8Rúben NevesM
  9. 7Gabriel MartinelliF
  10. 11O. WatkinsF
  11. 38C. SummervilleF

Substitutes

  1. 72S. DahalF
  2. 33Mohammed Al OwaisG
  3. 18Murad Al HawsawiM
  4. 24Moteb Al HarbiD
  5. 77Nawaf Al HabashiM
  6. 29Salem Al DawsariM
  7. 28Mohamed KannoM
  8. 78Ali LajamiD
  9. 27Sultan MandashF

Coach: S. Inzaghi

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.41 – 1.89
0.5 goalsOver96.3%Under3.7%
1.5 goalsOver84.1%Under15.9%
2.5 goalsOver64.1%Under35.9%
3.5 goalsOver42.0%Under58.0%
4.5 goalsOver23.7%Under76.3%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

Al-Qadisiyah FCAl-Hilal Saudi FC
67%Form33%
60%Attack40%
29%Defence71%
50%Head to head50%
43%Expected goals57%
37%Overall63%

Last matches

Newest first
Al-Qadisiyah FC2W 0D 0L · last 2
WAl Taawon vs Al-Qadisiyah FC20 Oct 2026 · Saudi Pro League0-1WAl-Qadisiyah FC vs Abha16 Oct 2026 · Saudi Pro League2-1
Al-Hilal Saudi FC1W 0D 0L · last 1
WAl-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-Hazm19 Oct 2026 · Saudi Pro League1-0

Saudi Pro League table

Saudi Pro League table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Al-Qadisiyah FC12+2028
2Al-Nassr11+1728
3Al-Hilal Saudi FC10+2127
4Al-Ittihad FC11+1024
5NEOM12+822
6Al-Ahli Jeddah11+921
7Al-Ettifaq11+118
8Al Diriyah12-315
9Al Khaleej Saihat12-515
10Al Shabab11+514
11Al Kholood11-912
12Al Riyadh11-1412
13Al-Hazm12-610
14Al-Faisaly FC11-810
15Al-Fayha11-78
16Al-Fateh11-136
17Al Taawon11-144
18Abha11-123
See full table ›

Top scorers

Saudi Pro League top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1I. ToneyAl-Ahli Jeddah913
2T. ReijndersAl-Qadisiyah FC108
3Cristiano RonaldoAl-Nassr108
4Y. En-NesyriAl-Ittihad FC107
5M. ReteguiAl-Qadisiyah FC117

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatAl-Qadisiyah FCAl-Hilal Saudi FC
Played21
Wins21
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)1.51
Goals against (avg)0.50
Clean sheets11
Failed to score00
Best win streak21

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 2 games went over the line

Over 1.51/20/1
Over 2.51/20/1
Over 3.50/20/1
BTTS – yes1/20/1

Match preview

Al-Qadisiyah FC host Al-Hilal Saudi FC in the Saudi Pro League (Regular Season - 11) at Prince Mohammed Bin Fahd Stadium, Daman, with kick-off on Friday, 23 October 2026 at 19:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Al-Hilal Saudi FC slight favourites, giving Al-Qadisiyah FC a 28% chance of winning, 24% for the draw and 48% for Al-Hilal Saudi FC. Our tip is: Al-Hilal Saudi FC or draw.

Al-Qadisiyah FC have taken 6 points from their last 2 games (2W 0D 0L). Al-Hilal Saudi FC have taken 3 points from their last 1 games (1W 0D 0L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 64% chance of over 2.5 and a 65% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Saudi Arabia Saudi Pro League
Date
Friday, 23 October 2026, 19:00 WAT
Venue
Prince Mohammed Bin Fahd Stadium, Daman

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC?

Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC kicks off on Friday, 23 October 2026 at 19:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC in?

The match is in the Saudi Arabia Saudi Pro League.

Where are Al-Qadisiyah FC and Al-Hilal Saudi FC in the table?

Al-Qadisiyah FC are 1st and Al-Hilal Saudi FC are 3rd in the Saudi Pro League.

Who will win Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC?

Our prediction is Al-Hilal Saudi FC or draw. Win probabilities: Al-Qadisiyah FC 28%, draw 24%, Al-Hilal Saudi FC 48%.

Will both teams score in Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC?

We estimate a 65% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC?

We estimate a 64% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Saudi Pro League on Fri 23 Oct

FTAl-Ittihad FC 2-0 Al Diriyah12 ✓FTAl-Ahli Jeddah 4-1 Al Khaleej Saihat1 ✓

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