Saudi Pro League · Regular Season - 9
Match events
Abha- Missed penalty: Mateo Retegui5'
- Yellow card: Julian WeiglFoul7'
- Substitution: Ali Badra DiabatéOff: Yasir Al-Shahrani28'
- Goal: Mateo ReteguiAssist: Tijjani Reijnders30'
HT 1-0
- 54'Yellow card: Nabil FekirDissent
- 59'Substitution: Khaled Al ShamraniOff: Safwan Al Johani
- 59'Substitution: Nabil FekirOff: Nasser Al Daajani
- Goal: Mohammed Abu Al-ShamatAssist: Mateo Retegui69'
- Substitution: Musab Al-JuwayrOff: Abdullah Al-Salem70'
- Substitution: Christopher Bonsu BaahOff: Turki Al-Ammar70'
- 76'Substitution: Georges-Kévin N'KoudouOff: Alimani Gory
- 77'Substitution: Mohammed Al-DosariOff: Amar Al-Yuhaybi
- 82'Substitution: Bader Al MutairiOff: Firas Al-Ghamdi
- Substitution: Mateo ReteguiOff: Mohammed Hamad Al-Qahtani84'
- Substitution: Nahitan NándezOff: Eyad Housa85'
- Yellow card: Turki Al-AmmarFoul86'
- 90+5'Goal: Alimani GoryAssist: Safwan Al Johani
Our verdict
Over 2.5
Bet365 1.22
✓ This tip was correct · final score 2-1
Win probability
Match statistics
- 66%Possession34%
- 1.73Expected goals (xG)0.27
- 8Total shots6
- 4Shots on target1
- 4Shots off target3
- 0Blocked shots2
- 7Shots inside the box4
- 4Corners3
- 3Offsides3
- 12Fouls8
- 2Yellow cards1
- 0Red cards0
- 0Goalkeeper saves2
- 669Passes330
- 597Accurate passes272
Line-ups
Al-Qadisiyah FC
3-5-2Starting XI
- 1K. CasteelsG
- 4Jehad Abdullatif AhmD
- 17G. ÁlvarezD
- 26Badra Diabbate AliD
- 2Mohammed Abu Al ShamatM
- 8N. NándezM
- 5J. WeiglM
- 14T. ReijndersM
- 22C. Bonsu BaahM
- 32M. ReteguiF
- 10Musab Al JuwayrF
Substitutes
- 27E. HoussaM
- 42Abdulaziz Al ElewaiF
- 7Turki Al AmmarM
- 18Abdulmalik Al-JaberM
- 28Ahmed Al KassarG
- 15Mohammed Al QahtaniF
- 9Abdullah Al SalemF
- 12Yasir Al ShahraniD
- 35A. Al SiyahiM
Coach: Brendan Rodgers
Abha
5-4-1Starting XI
- 21A. Al BouqG
- 23Mohammed Al DossaryD
- 3J. GaariD
- 19Abdullah Al FahadD
- 37Abdulbasit Al-HindiD
- 12K. Al ShamraniD
- 17Abdulkarim DarisiM
- 10N. FekirM
- 7Firas Al-GhamdiM
- 14G. NkoudouM
- 44M. BatshuayiF
Substitutes
- 28Bader Al MutairiM
- 20K. Al QahtaniF
- 6Faisal Al SubianiM
- 90Amar Al YuhaybiM
- 9Kamil BoumedmedF
- 11A. GoryF
- 26Mustafa MalayekahG
- 8Nasser Al DaajaniM
- 80Safwan SaudD
Coach: D. Burić
Betting markets
Expected goals 3.10 – 0.85Half time / full time result. 1 = Al-Qadisiyah FC, X = draw, 2 = Abha.
Asian handicap applied to Al-Qadisiyah FC.
Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.
Model comparison
Last matches
Newest firstAl-Qadisiyah FC0W 0D 0L · last 0No finished matches yet.
Abha0W 0D 0L · last 0No finished matches yet.
Saudi Pro League table
| # | Team | P | +/- | Pts | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | +23 | 30 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Al-Qadisiyah FC | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | +20 | 28 | WLWWW |
| 3 | Al-Nassr | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | +17 | 28 | WWWWD |
| 4 | Al-Ittihad FC | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | +10 | 24 | DWWLW |
| 5 | NEOM | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | +8 | 22 | WWLLD |
| 6 | Al-Ahli Jeddah | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | +9 | 21 | LWWWW |
| 7 | Al-Ettifaq | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 19 | DWLWD |
| 8 | Al Diriyah | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -3 | 15 | LLWDL |
| 9 | Al Khaleej Saihat | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | -5 | 15 | WLWWD |
| 10 | Al Shabab | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | +5 | 14 | WWDWD |
| 11 | Al Kholood | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -9 | 12 | LLLLL |
| 12 | Al Riyadh | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -14 | 12 | LWLDW |
| 13 | Al-Fayha | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -4 | 11 | WDLLD |
| 14 | Al-Hazm | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -6 | 10 | LDLLD |
| 15 | Al-Faisaly FC | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -11 | 10 | LWLDW |
| 16 | Al-Fateh | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | -15 | 6 | LLLWL |
| 17 | Al Taawon | 12 | 0 | 5 | 7 | -14 | 5 | DLLDL |
| 18 | Abha | 11 | 0 | 3 | 8 | -12 | 3 | DLLLD |
Top scorers
| # | Player | M | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  I. ToneyAl-Ahli Jeddah | 9 | 13 |
| 2 |  T. ReijndersAl-Qadisiyah FC | 10 | 8 |
| 3 |  Cristiano RonaldoAl-Nassr | 10 | 8 |
| 4 |  A. LacazetteNEOM | 12 | 7 |
| 5 |  Y. En-NesyriAl-Ittihad FC | 11 | 7 |
Season statistics
This season, all competitions we cover| Stat | Al-Qadisiyah FC | Abha |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 0 | 0 |
| Wins | 0 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
| Goals for (avg) | 0 | 0 |
| Goals against (avg) | 0 | 0 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 |
| Best win streak | 0 | 0 |
Match preview
Al-Qadisiyah FC host Abha in the Saudi Pro League (Regular Season - 9) at Prince Saud bin Jalawi Stadium, Dammam, with kick-off on Friday, 16 October 2026 at 14:15 WAT.
Our prediction model makes Al-Qadisiyah FC clear favourites, giving Al-Qadisiyah FC a 81% chance of winning, 12% for the draw and 7% for Abha. Our tip is: Over 2.5.
On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 76% chance of over 2.5 and a 55% chance that both teams score.
- Competition
- Saudi Arabia Saudi Pro League
- Date
- Friday, 16 October 2026, 14:15 WAT
- Venue
- Prince Saud bin Jalawi Stadium, Dammam
TodaysPrediction analysis team
Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work
Quick answers
When is Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Abha?
Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Abha kicks off on Friday, 16 October 2026 at 14:15 West Africa Time.
Which competition is Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Abha in?
The match is in the Saudi Arabia Saudi Pro League.
Where are Al-Qadisiyah FC and Abha in the table?
Al-Qadisiyah FC are 2nd and Abha are 18th in the Saudi Pro League.
Who will win Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Abha?
Our prediction is Over 2.5. Win probabilities: Al-Qadisiyah FC 81%, draw 12%, Abha 7%.
Will both teams score in Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Abha?
We estimate a 55% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Abha?
We estimate a 76% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.
How often are predictions updated?
Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.