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Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al Khaleej Saihat prediction

Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al Khaleej Saihat prediction for the Saudi Pro League on 23 Oct 2026: Al-Ahli Jeddah to win (68%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Al-Ahli JeddahAl Khaleej Saihat
4 - 1Full time · Fri 23 OctHT 1-0
Prince Abdullah Al-Faisal Sports City Stadium, Jeddah

Match events

Al-Ahli JeddahAl Khaleej Saihat
  1. 9'Yellow card: Ahmad AsiriFoul
  2. Goal: Ivan ToneyAssist: Eduard Spertsyan11'
  3. VAR: Ivan ToneyGoal confirmedVAR13'
  4. 23'Yellow card: Mohammed Al-KhabraniFoul
  5. 45'Substitution: Saleh Al AmriOff: Ahmad Asiri
  6. 45'Substitution: Joshua KingOff: Thamer Al-Khaibri
  7. 45+3'Yellow card: Joshua KingFoul

HT 1-0

  1. Goal: Artem BondarenkoAssist: Francisco Trincão57'
  2. Goal: Francisco TrincãoAssist: Ivan Toney61'
  3. Substitution: Firas Al-BuraikanOff: Matheus Gonçalves Martins66'
  4. Substitution: Mohammed Abdulrahman YousefOff: Saeed Baattia66'
  5. Substitution: Eduard SpertsyanOff: Ziyad Al-Johani66'
  6. 67'Substitution: Mohammed Al-KhabraniOff: Miguel Crespo da Silva
  7. 68'VARVAR: Mateo BenegasCard upgrade confirmed
  8. 69'Red card: Mateo BenegasViolent Conduct
  9. VAR: Mohammed Abdulrahman YousefGoal cancelledVAR79'
  10. 79'Substitution: Majed Omar KanabahOff: mohammed bader munshi
  11. 79'Substitution: Musa BarrowOff: Hussain Al Issa
  12. Substitution: Francisco TrincãoOff: Ramez Zaid Al-Attar81'
  13. Substitution: Artem BondarenkoOff: Abdullah Radif81'
  14. 87'Goal: Thamer Al-KhaibriAssist: Hussain Al Issa
  15. Penalty goal: Ivan Toney (pen)90+6'

Our verdict

1 ✓

Al-Ahli Jeddah to win

Bet365 1.30

68%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 4-1

Expected goals3.3

Win probability

1 · Al-Ahli Jeddah68%
Fair odds 1.47
X · Draw19%
Fair odds 5.26
2 · Al Khaleej Saihat13%
Fair odds 7.69

Match statistics

  • 62%Possession38%
  • 3.22Expected goals (xG)0.51
  • 16Total shots6
  • 11Shots on target1
  • 3Shots off target2
  • 2Blocked shots3
  • 10Shots inside the box4
  • 5Corners1
  • 4Offsides0
  • 15Fouls17
  • 0Yellow cards3
  • 0Red cards1
  • 0Goalkeeper saves7
  • 460Passes294
  • 399Accurate passes235

Line-ups

Al-Ahli Jeddah

4-3-3

Starting XI

  1. 1Abdulrahman Al SanbiG
  2. 15Saeed BaattiaD
  3. 5Mohammed BakorD
  4. 3IbañezD
  5. 31Saad YaslamD
  6. 6V. Atangana EdoaM
  7. 19A. BondarenkoM
  8. 8E. SpertsyanM
  9. 7TrincãoF
  10. 17I. ToneyF
  11. 9Feras Al BrikanF

Substitutes

  1. 62Abdullah AbdoG
  2. 87Ramez Al AttarM
  3. 30Ziyad Al JohaniM
  4. 11Meshal Al MutairiF
  5. 4Makaya Ibrahima DiabyM
  6. 20Matheus GonçalvesF
  7. 46Rayane HamidouD
  8. 21Abdullah RadifF
  9. 29Mohammed YousefD

Coach: M. Pusic

Al Khaleej Saihat

4-3-1-2

Starting XI

  1. 96Marwan Al HaidariG
  2. 27Fawaz Al SaqourD
  3. 13Ahmad AsiriD
  4. 17Abdullah Al HafithD
  5. 3Mohammed Al KhabraniD
  6. 8Omar MascarellM
  7. 12Majed KanabahM
  8. 5Pedro RebochoM
  9. 99M. BarrowM
  10. 9M. BenegasF
  11. 7J. KingF

Substitutes

  1. 4K. KouyatéD
  2. 1M. Abbas IbrahimG
  3. 15Mansour HamziF
  4. 19Miguel CrespoM
  5. 14Ali Al ShaafiD
  6. 90Thamer Al KhaibriF
  7. 11Saleh Al AmriF
  8. 28Hussain Al EisaF
  9. 16Bader MunshiM

Coach: José Gomes

Betting markets

Expected goals 2.31 – 0.94
0.5 goalsOver96.1%Under3.9%
1.5 goalsOver83.5%Under16.5%
2.5 goalsOver63.0%Under37.0%
3.5 goalsOver40.9%Under59.1%
4.5 goalsOver22.8%Under77.2%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

Al-Ahli JeddahAl Khaleej Saihat
50%Form50%
60%Attack40%
9%Defence91%
50%Head to head50%
71%Expected goals29%
84%Overall16%

Last matches

Newest first

Saudi Pro League table

Saudi Pro League table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Al-Hilal Saudi FC11+2330
2Al-Qadisiyah FC12+2028
3Al-Nassr11+1728
4Al-Ittihad FC11+1024
5NEOM12+822
6Al-Ahli Jeddah11+921
7Al-Ettifaq12+119
8Al Diriyah12-315
9Al Khaleej Saihat12-515
10Al Shabab11+514
11Al Kholood11-912
12Al Riyadh11-1412
13Al-Fayha12-411
14Al-Hazm12-610
15Al-Faisaly FC12-1110
16Al-Fateh12-156
17Al Taawon12-145
18Abha11-123
See full table ›

Top scorers

Saudi Pro League top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1I. ToneyAl-Ahli Jeddah913
2T. ReijndersAl-Qadisiyah FC108
3Cristiano RonaldoAl-Nassr108
4A. LacazetteNEOM127
5Y. En-NesyriAl-Ittihad FC117

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatAl-Ahli JeddahAl Khaleej Saihat
Played11
Wins11
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)32
Goals against (avg)20
Clean sheets01
Failed to score00
Best win streak11

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 1 games went over the line

Over 1.51/11/1
Over 2.51/10/1
Over 3.51/10/1
BTTS – yes1/10/1

Match preview

Al-Ahli Jeddah host Al Khaleej Saihat in the Saudi Pro League (Regular Season - 11) at Prince Abdullah Al-Faisal Sports City Stadium, Jeddah, with kick-off on Friday, 23 October 2026 at 19:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Al-Ahli Jeddah clear favourites, giving Al-Ahli Jeddah a 68% chance of winning, 19% for the draw and 13% for Al Khaleej Saihat. Our tip is: Al-Ahli Jeddah to win.

Al-Ahli Jeddah have taken 3 points from their last 1 games (1W 0D 0L). Al Khaleej Saihat have taken 3 points from their last 1 games (1W 0D 0L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 63% chance of over 2.5 and a 55% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Saudi Arabia Saudi Pro League
Date
Friday, 23 October 2026, 19:00 WAT
Venue
Prince Abdullah Al-Faisal Sports City Stadium, Jeddah

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al Khaleej Saihat?

Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al Khaleej Saihat kicks off on Friday, 23 October 2026 at 19:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al Khaleej Saihat in?

The match is in the Saudi Arabia Saudi Pro League.

Where are Al-Ahli Jeddah and Al Khaleej Saihat in the table?

Al-Ahli Jeddah are 6th and Al Khaleej Saihat are 9th in the Saudi Pro League.

Who will win Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al Khaleej Saihat?

Our prediction is Al-Ahli Jeddah to win. Win probabilities: Al-Ahli Jeddah 68%, draw 19%, Al Khaleej Saihat 13%.

Will both teams score in Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al Khaleej Saihat?

We estimate a 55% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al Khaleej Saihat?

We estimate a 63% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

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