Skip to content
TodaysPrediction

Al-Ittihad FC vs Al Diriyah prediction

Al-Ittihad FC vs Al Diriyah prediction for the Saudi Pro League on 23 Oct 2026: Al-Ittihad FC or Al Diriyah (75%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

Premier LeagueChampions LeagueLa LigaSerie ABundesligaAnd more

Friday23October 2026
Yesterday: 28/42 correct(67%)
Saudi Pro League · Regular Season - 11
Al-Ittihad FCAl Diriyah
2 - 0Full time · Fri 23 OctHT 1-0
Alinma Stadium, Jeddah

Match events

Al-Ittihad FCAl Diriyah
  1. Yellow card: Saad Al-MousaFoul6'
  2. Yellow card: Mukhtar AliFoul24'
  3. Goal: George Ilenikhena30'
  4. VAR: George IlenikhenaGoal confirmedVAR30'
  5. 35'Yellow card: Óscar RodríguezArgument
  6. Yellow card: George IlenikhenaFoul42'
  7. Substitution: George IlenikhenaOff: Youssef En-Nesyri45'
  8. Substitution: Saad Al-MousaOff: Dion Lopy45'

HT 1-0

  1. 57'Yellow card: Berat DjimsitiDissent
  2. VAR: Danilo PereiraGoal cancelledVAR58'
  3. 58'Substitution: Lovro ChelfiOff: Clayton diandy
  4. 58'Substitution: Hussain Al-SabiyaniOff: Khalid Al-Asiri
  5. 58'Substitution: Meshari Fahad Al NemerOff: Darwin Nuñez
  6. 58'Substitution: Abdulelah Al-MalkiOff: Hussain Al Qahtani
  7. 58'Yellow card: Enzo MillotDissent
  8. 60'Yellow card: Meshari Fahad Al NemerDissent
  9. 63'Yellow card: Abdulelah Al-MalkiFoul
  10. Penalty goal: Georginio Wijnaldum (pen)77'
  11. Substitution: Georginio WijnaldumOff: Marwan Al-Sahafi78'
  12. 81'Substitution: Abdulaziz Al FarajOff: Óscar Rodríguez
  13. Substitution: Ahmed Al-GhamdiOff: Muath Faquihi82'
  14. Substitution: Houssem AouarOff: Mohammed Ahmed Fallatah90'
  15. 90+6'Red card: Abdulelah Al-MalkiAbusive Language

Our verdict

12 ✓

Al-Ittihad FC or Al Diriyah

Bet365 1.25

75%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 2-0

Expected goals3.1

Win probability

1 · Al-Ittihad FC47%
Fair odds 2.13
X · Draw25%
Fair odds 4.00
2 · Al Diriyah28%
Fair odds 3.57

Match statistics

  • 49%Possession51%
  • 2.78Expected goals (xG)0.95
  • 20Total shots12
  • 7Shots on target1
  • 12Shots off target6
  • 1Blocked shots5
  • 12Shots inside the box8
  • 8Corners7
  • 4Offsides0
  • 7Fouls7
  • 3Yellow cards5
  • 0Red cards1
  • 1Goalkeeper saves5
  • 388Passes388
  • 341Accurate passes328

Line-ups

Al-Ittihad FC

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1P. RajkovićG
  2. 13Muhannad Al ShanqitiD
  3. 6Saad Al MosaD
  4. 2Danilo PereiraD
  5. 25F. AbdiD
  6. 5R. RiosM
  7. 8Mukhtar AliM
  8. 23G. WijnaldumM
  9. 10H. AouarM
  10. 27Ahmed Al GhamdiM
  11. 9G. IlenikhenaF

Substitutes

  1. 30D. LopyM
  2. 22Marwan Al SahafiF
  3. 32Ahmed Al JulaydanD
  4. 50Mohammed Al AbsiG
  5. 11Saleh Al ShehriF
  6. 66Mohammed BarnawiD
  7. 21Y. En-NesyriF
  8. 42Muath FaqeehiD
  9. 41Mohammed FallatahM

Coach: Jens Wissing

Al Diriyah

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 97Amin Al BukhariG
  2. 12T. WadiD
  3. 19B. DjimsitiD
  4. 99C. MbembaD
  5. 16Hussain Al SibyaniD
  6. 52Hussain Al QahtaniM
  7. 20E. MillotM
  8. 25L. ChelfiM
  9. 14Óscar RodríguezM
  10. 10A. BoulbinaM
  11. 75Meshari Al NemerF

Substitutes

  1. 2Abdulaziz Al FarajD
  2. 88Abdulelah Al MalkiM
  3. 34Mansour Hibatullah Al SibyaniG
  4. 17C. DiandyF
  5. 21M. HameranD
  6. 87Qassem LajamiD
  7. 29D. NúñezF
  8. 78Khalid Al AsiriD
  9. 6Sultan Al FarhanM

Coach: Bruno Lage

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.75 – 1.31
0.5 goalsOver95.3%Under4.7%
1.5 goalsOver81.0%Under19.0%
2.5 goalsOver59.0%Under41.0%
3.5 goalsOver36.6%Under63.4%
4.5 goalsOver19.5%Under80.5%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

Al-Ittihad FCAl Diriyah
50%Form50%
80%Attack20%
17%Defence83%
50%Head to head50%
57%Expected goals43%
63%Overall37%

Last matches

Newest first
Al-Ittihad FC1W 0D 0L · last 1
WAl-Ettifaq vs Al-Ittihad FC20 Oct 2026 · Saudi Pro League1-4
Al Diriyah1W 0D 0L · last 1
WAl Diriyah vs Al Riyadh20 Oct 2026 · Saudi Pro League1-0

Saudi Pro League table

Saudi Pro League table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Al-Qadisiyah FC12+2028
2Al-Nassr11+1728
3Al-Hilal Saudi FC10+2127
4Al-Ittihad FC11+1024
5NEOM12+822
6Al-Ahli Jeddah11+921
7Al-Ettifaq11+118
8Al Diriyah12-315
9Al Khaleej Saihat12-515
10Al Shabab11+514
11Al Kholood11-912
12Al Riyadh11-1412
13Al-Hazm12-610
14Al-Faisaly FC11-810
15Al-Fayha11-78
16Al-Fateh11-136
17Al Taawon11-144
18Abha11-123
See full table ›

Top scorers

Saudi Pro League top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1I. ToneyAl-Ahli Jeddah913
2T. ReijndersAl-Qadisiyah FC108
3Cristiano RonaldoAl-Nassr108
4A. LacazetteNEOM127
5Y. En-NesyriAl-Ittihad FC117

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatAl-Ittihad FCAl Diriyah
Played11
Wins11
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)41
Goals against (avg)10
Clean sheets01
Failed to score00
Best win streak11

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 1 games went over the line

Over 1.51/10/1
Over 2.51/10/1
Over 3.51/10/1
BTTS – yes1/10/1

Match preview

Al-Ittihad FC host Al Diriyah in the Saudi Pro League (Regular Season - 11) at Alinma Stadium, Jeddah, with kick-off on Friday, 23 October 2026 at 16:30 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Al-Ittihad FC slight favourites, giving Al-Ittihad FC a 47% chance of winning, 25% for the draw and 28% for Al Diriyah. Our tip is: Al-Ittihad FC or Al Diriyah.

Al-Ittihad FC have taken 3 points from their last 1 games (1W 0D 0L). Al Diriyah have taken 3 points from their last 1 games (1W 0D 0L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 59% chance of over 2.5 and a 61% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Saudi Arabia Saudi Pro League
Date
Friday, 23 October 2026, 16:30 WAT
Venue
Alinma Stadium, Jeddah

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Al-Ittihad FC vs Al Diriyah?

Al-Ittihad FC vs Al Diriyah kicks off on Friday, 23 October 2026 at 16:30 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Al-Ittihad FC vs Al Diriyah in?

The match is in the Saudi Arabia Saudi Pro League.

Where are Al-Ittihad FC and Al Diriyah in the table?

Al-Ittihad FC are 4th and Al Diriyah are 8th in the Saudi Pro League.

Who will win Al-Ittihad FC vs Al Diriyah?

Our prediction is Al-Ittihad FC or Al Diriyah. Win probabilities: Al-Ittihad FC 47%, draw 25%, Al Diriyah 28%.

Will both teams score in Al-Ittihad FC vs Al Diriyah?

We estimate a 61% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Al-Ittihad FC vs Al Diriyah?

We estimate a 59% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Saudi Pro League on Fri 23 Oct

FTAl-Qadisiyah FC 2-3 Al-Hilal Saudi FCX2 ✓FTAl-Ahli Jeddah 4-1 Al Khaleej Saihat1 ✓

All football predictions for today