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FC Eindhoven vs Vitesse prediction

FC Eindhoven vs Vitesse prediction for the Eerste Divisie on 16 Oct 2026: Vitesse or draw (70%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Friday16October 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 11
FC EindhovenNo recent gamesVitesseNo recent games
0 - 1Full time · Fri 16 OctHT 0-1
Jan Louwers Stadion, Eindhoven

Match events

FC EindhovenVitesse
  1. Yellow card: Junior PoortvlietFoul38'
  2. 39'Goal: Naoufal Bannis
  3. 44'Yellow card: Pontus DahboFoul

HT 0-1

  1. 53'Yellow card: valon zumberiFoul
  2. Yellow card: Clint EssersFoul55'
  3. 58'Substitution: Youssef OuallilOff: Alexander Büttner
  4. 58'Substitution: Filipe de Carvalho FerreiraOff: Mathijs Marschalk
  5. 58'Substitution: Pontus DahboOff: Koen Te Veluwe
  6. Substitution: Junior PoortvlietOff: Luc Netten61'
  7. Substitution: Vicente BesuijenOff: Hugo Deenen61'
  8. Yellow card: Luc NettenFoul73'
  9. 75'Substitution: Xiamaro thenuOff: Luuk Wouters
  10. Substitution: Guus BeaumontOff: Niek Munsters80'
  11. Yellow card: Owen RenfrumArgument82'
  12. 82'Yellow card: Naoufal BannisArgument
  13. 84'Substitution: Naoufal BannisOff: Eduard·Probst
  14. Substitution: Clint EssersOff: Lasse Abildgaard87'
  15. Substitution: Xander BlommeOff: Lennon Smulders87'

Our verdict

X2 ✓

Vitesse or draw

Bet365 1.36

70%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 0-1

Expected goals3.1

Win probability

1 · FC Eindhoven30%
Fair odds 3.33
X · Draw24%
Fair odds 4.17
2 · Vitesse46%
Fair odds 2.17

Match statistics

  • 56%Possession44%
  • 0.89Expected goals (xG)0.33
  • 7Total shots7
  • 3Shots on target2
  • 1Shots off target4
  • 3Blocked shots1
  • 4Shots inside the box3
  • 2Corners5
  • 2Offsides6
  • 19Fouls21
  • 4Yellow cards3
  • 0Red cards0
  • 1Goalkeeper saves3
  • 431Passes338
  • 343Accurate passes218

Line-ups

FC Eindhoven

4-4-2

Starting XI

  1. 1J. BorgmansG
  2. 22C. EssersD
  3. 44O. RenfrumD
  4. 4Predrag JevtićD
  5. 20Raf van de RietD
  6. 28R. BuifrahiM
  7. 6G. BeaumontM
  8. 8X. BlommeM
  9. 77V. BesuijenM
  10. 18Antonio BaždarićF
  11. 19Kevin FerreiraF

Substitutes

  1. 27E. EksiF
  2. 35J. ElbersD
  3. 30N. FancitoG
  4. 31N. JanssenG
  5. 14N. MunstersM
  6. 10Lasse AbildgaardF
  7. 17L. NettenD
  8. 25Lennon SmuldersM
  9. 7H. DeenenF
  10. 23Gideon ConstanciaF
  11. 5R. BoonD

Coach: Jan Poortvliet

Vitesse

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1C. van den BergG
  2. 2S. BonnahD
  3. 55M. SteffenD
  4. 17V. ZumberiD
  5. 22Xiamaro ThenuD
  6. 6M. SchikoraM
  7. 34Y. OuallilM
  8. 20F. de CarvalhoM
  9. 16P. DahboM
  10. 21A. SelloufM
  11. 9N. BannisF

Substitutes

  1. 14O. AchouitarD
  2. 25T. BodakG
  3. 42Teun BoschM
  4. 31M. BrullG
  5. 28A. BüttnerD
  6. 24N. MarkeloD
  7. 33M. MarschalkM
  8. 27E. ProbstF
  9. 11Yuval RanonF
  10. 15L. WoutersD
  11. 7Nino ZonneveldF
  12. 38Koen te VeluweM

Coach: R. Rehm

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.38 – 1.76
0.5 goalsOver95.7%Under4.3%
1.5 goalsOver82.1%Under17.9%
2.5 goalsOver60.7%Under39.3%
3.5 goalsOver38.4%Under61.6%
4.5 goalsOver20.9%Under79.1%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

FC EindhovenVitesse
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
44%Expected goals56%
39%Overall61%

Last matches

Newest first
FC Eindhoven0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Vitesse0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Eerste Divisie table

Eerste Divisie table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Roda3+39
2VVV Venlo2+24
3NAC Breda2+24
4Jong Ajax2+14
5Jong AZ304
6De Graafschap304
7FC Volendam2+33
8Emmen1+23
9Almere City FC203
10Jong PSV U21203
11Dordrecht2-13
12Vitesse2-13
13Helmond Sport3-23
14FC OSS101
15Den Bosch101
16MVV101
17Heracles101
18Waalwijk2-11
19FC Eindhoven3-30
20Jong Utrecht2-50
See full table ›

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatFC EindhovenVitesse
Played00
Wins00
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)00
Goals against (avg)00
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Match preview

FC Eindhoven host Vitesse in the Eerste Divisie (Regular Season - 11) at Jan Louwers Stadion, Eindhoven, with kick-off on Friday, 16 October 2026 at 19:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Vitesse slight favourites, giving FC Eindhoven a 30% chance of winning, 24% for the draw and 46% for Vitesse. Our tip is: Vitesse or draw.

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 61% chance of over 2.5 and a 63% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Netherlands Eerste Divisie
Date
Friday, 16 October 2026, 19:00 WAT
Venue
Jan Louwers Stadion, Eindhoven

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is FC Eindhoven vs Vitesse?

FC Eindhoven vs Vitesse kicks off on Friday, 16 October 2026 at 19:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is FC Eindhoven vs Vitesse in?

The match is in the Netherlands Eerste Divisie.

Where are FC Eindhoven and Vitesse in the table?

FC Eindhoven are 19th and Vitesse are 12th in the Eerste Divisie.

Who will win FC Eindhoven vs Vitesse?

Our prediction is Vitesse or draw. Win probabilities: FC Eindhoven 30%, draw 24%, Vitesse 46%.

Will both teams score in FC Eindhoven vs Vitesse?

We estimate a 63% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in FC Eindhoven vs Vitesse?

We estimate a 61% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Eerste Divisie on Fri 16 Oct

FTHelmond Sport 0-2 NAC Breda2 ✓FTVVV Venlo 4-4 Jong AZ1X ✓

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