Skip to content
TodaysPrediction

Vitoria vs Atletico Paranaense prediction

Vitoria vs Atletico Paranaense prediction for the Brasileiro Série A on 24 Oct 2026: Over 1.5 (74%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

Premier LeagueChampions LeagueLa LigaSerie ABundesligaAnd more

Saturday24October 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
Brasileiro Série A · Regular Season - 32
VitoriaNo recent gamesAtletico ParanaenseNo recent games
1 - 1Full time · Sat 24 OctHT 1-1
Barradao, Salvador

Match events

VitoriaAtletico Paranaense
  1. 14'Yellow card: Jadson Alves dos SantosFoul
  2. 23'Own goal: Jamerson (og)
  3. 25'VARVAR: GilbertoGoal confirmed
  4. Goal: Renato KayzerAssist: Emanuel Brítez29'
  5. Yellow card: Diego TarziaDissent41'
  6. 42'Yellow card: Luiz GustavoFoul
  7. Substitution: MatheusinhoOff: Walace45'
  8. 45+4'Yellow card: Bruno Gonçalves BaldiniFoul

HT 1-1

  1. Substitution: Diego TarziaOff: Lucas Silva68'
  2. 71'Substitution: João Victor Machado CruzOff: Bruno Zapelli
  3. Substitution: Tomás PochettinoOff: Matheuzinho80'
  4. 80'Substitution: Kauan Augusto StabeliniOff: Bruno Gonçalves Baldini
  5. Substitution: FabriOff: Renato Kayzer80'
  6. 81'Substitution: Juan PortillaOff: Luiz Gustavo
  7. 81'Substitution: Leonardo Caetano SilvaOff: Eduardo Kogitzki Anastacio
  8. Substitution: bruno alexOff: Erick87'
  9. 90+1'Yellow card: GilbertoFoul
  10. Red card: MarinhoAbusive Language90+5'
  11. 90+6'Substitution: Kevin ViverosOff: jorge rivaldo
  12. Yellow card: Luan CândidoFoul90+6'

Our verdict

Over 1.5 ✓

Over 1.5

Bet365 1.28

74%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 1-1

Expected goals2.6

Win probability

1 · Vitoria37%
Fair odds 2.70
X · Draw28%
Fair odds 3.57
2 · Atletico Paranaense35%
Fair odds 2.86

Match statistics

  • 60%Possession40%
  • 1.69Expected goals (xG)0.57
  • 11Total shots10
  • 4Shots on target0
  • 5Shots off target5
  • 2Blocked shots5
  • 9Shots inside the box5
  • 3Corners5
  • 2Offsides2
  • 11Fouls19
  • 2Yellow cards4
  • 1Red cards0
  • 0Goalkeeper saves3
  • 507Passes329
  • 437Accurate passes269

Line-ups

Vitoria

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1Lucas ArcanjoG
  2. 98MateusinhoD
  3. 2E. BrítezD
  4. 36Luan CândidoD
  5. 83JamersonD
  6. 6E. MartínezM
  7. 95CaíqueM
  8. 33ErickM
  9. 10MatheuzinhoM
  10. 12D. TarziaM
  11. 79Renato KayzerF

Substitutes

  1. 88Zé VitorM
  2. 15WalaceM
  3. 8T. PochettinoM
  4. 11OsvaldoF
  5. 7MarinhoF
  6. 20Lucas SilvaF
  7. 77I. LaquintanaM
  8. 23FabrícioF
  9. 26EdenilsonM
  10. 9Alex BrunoF
  11. 3Darlan Silva DutraD
  12. 71Yuri SenaG

Coach: Jair Ventura

Atletico Paranaense

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

  1. 1MycaelG
  2. 55Bruno Gonçalves BaldiniD
  3. 33J. AguirreD
  4. 37L. EsquivelD
  5. 12GilbertoM
  6. 16JádsonM
  7. 14Luiz GustavoM
  8. 7S. MendozaM
  9. 21LeozinhoM
  10. 8João CruzM
  11. 9K. ViverosF

Substitutes

  1. 47ChiquetiM
  2. 10B. ZapelliM
  3. 53DuduM
  4. 23SantosG
  5. 19Jorge Luis Rivaldo PintoF
  6. 70RenanF
  7. 27J. PortillaM
  8. 6DerikD
  9. 3LéoD
  10. 2GilbertoD
  11. 5FelipinhoD
  12. 15Kauan Augusto StabeliniM

Coach: Odair Hellmann

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.32 – 1.28
0.5 goalsOver92.6%Under7.4%
1.5 goalsOver73.3%Under26.7%
2.5 goalsOver48.2%Under51.8%
3.5 goalsOver26.4%Under73.6%
4.5 goalsOver12.3%Under87.7%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

VitoriaAtletico Paranaense
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
51%Expected goals49%
51%Overall49%

Last matches

Newest first
Vitoria0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Atletico Paranaense0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Brasileiro Série A table

Brasileiro Série A table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Flamengo33+4073
2Palmeiras33+3470
3Cruzeiro33+657
4Fluminense33+1054
5Atletico Paranaense33+1054
6Bahia33+653
7Atletico-MG33+550
8Santos33+247
9RB Bragantino33+444
10Sao Paulo33043
11Coritiba33-1042
12Botafogo33-839
13Vasco DA Gama32-938
14Vitoria33-1338
15Gremio33-737
16Mirassol33-1037
17Corinthians33-636
18Internacional33-535
19Remo33-1529
20Chapecoense-sc32-3421
See full table ›

Top scorers

Brasileiro Série A top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1K. ViverosAtletico Paranaense3121
2PedroFlamengo3318
3Gabriel BarbosaSantos2515
4Kaio JorgeCruzeiro2612
5Samuel LinoFlamengo3211

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatVitoriaAtletico Paranaense
Played00
Wins00
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)00
Goals against (avg)00
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Match preview

Vitoria host Atletico Paranaense in the Brasileiro Série A (Regular Season - 32) at Barradao, Salvador, with kick-off on Saturday, 24 October 2026 at 20:30 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Vitoria narrow favourites, giving Vitoria a 37% chance of winning, 28% for the draw and 35% for Atletico Paranaense. Our tip is: Over 1.5.

On the goals markets, we expect a tighter game, with only a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Brazil Brasileiro Série A
Date
Saturday, 24 October 2026, 20:30 WAT
Venue
Barradao, Salvador

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Vitoria vs Atletico Paranaense?

Vitoria vs Atletico Paranaense kicks off on Saturday, 24 October 2026 at 20:30 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Vitoria vs Atletico Paranaense in?

The match is in the Brazil Brasileiro Série A.

Where are Vitoria and Atletico Paranaense in the table?

Vitoria are 14th and Atletico Paranaense are 5th in the Brasileiro Série A.

Who will win Vitoria vs Atletico Paranaense?

Our prediction is Over 1.5. Win probabilities: Vitoria 37%, draw 28%, Atletico Paranaense 35%.

Will both teams score in Vitoria vs Atletico Paranaense?

We estimate a 53% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Vitoria vs Atletico Paranaense?

We estimate a 48% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Under 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Brasileiro Série A on Sat 24 Oct

FTInternacional 3-0 BotafogoOver 1.5 ✓FTMirassol 1-1 Sao Paulo1X ✓FTVasco DA Gama 3-2 Corinthians12 ✓FTPalmeiras 2-0 RB BragantinoOver 1.5 ✓

All football predictions for today