Brasileiro Série A · Regular Season - 32
Match events
Sao Paulo- Own goal: Rafael (og)7'
- 17'Yellow card: Djhordney FerreiraFoul
- 26'Yellow card: Iago Amaral BorduchiFoul
- 39'Goal: Pedro LimaAssist: Damian Bobadilla
HT 1-1
- Yellow card: Carlos Eduardo de Oliveira AlveFoul61'
- 64'Substitution: Marcos AntonioOff: Pablo Maia
- 64'Substitution: Gustavo SantanaOff: Lucas Moura
- Substitution: Bruno Santos de OliveiraOff: Carlos Eduardo67'
- Substitution: Shaylon Kallyson CardozoOff: Neto Moura67'
- Substitution: Denilson Alves BorgesOff: Wallisson67'
- Yellow card: Willian Estefani MachadoFoul70'
- Substitution: Alesson dos Santos BatistaOff: Fernandinho74'
- 77'Substitution: Djhordney FerreiraOff: Pedro Ferreira
- 77'Substitution: Iago Amaral BorduchiOff: Wendell
- Substitution: Carlos Eduardo de Oliveira AlveOff: Jose Roberto78'
- Yellow card: WallissonFoul83'
- 87'Substitution: Damian BobadillaOff: Victor Sá
Our verdict
Mirassol or draw
Bet365 1.33
✓ This tip was correct · final score 1-1
Win probability
Match statistics
- 45%Possession55%
- 1.32Expected goals (xG)1.13
- 18Total shots14
- 4Shots on target3
- 10Shots off target6
- 4Blocked shots5
- 15Shots inside the box10
- 7Corners7
- 1Offsides0
- 13Fouls13
- 3Yellow cards2
- 0Red cards0
- 2Goalkeeper saves4
- 412Passes501
- 358Accurate passes442
Line-ups
Mirassol
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 22WalterG
- 32Igor FormigaD
- 34João VictorD
- 3Willian MachadoD
- 6ReinaldoD
- 25Neto MouraM
- 27DenilsonM
- 95EdsonM
- 33EduardoM
- 77AlessonM
- 30Bruno SantosF
Substitutes
- 7ShaylonM
- 99Zé RobertoF
- 96Carlos EduardoF
- 20Daniel BorgesD
- 5JapaM
- 19Gustavo SilvaM
- 10ChicoM
- 44GabrielD
- 90ThomazellaG
- 17FernandinhoF
- 2Lucas OliveiraD
- 80WallissonM
Coach: Rafael Guanaes
Sao Paulo
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 23RafaelG
- 28NewtonD
- 5R. ArboledaD
- 54Osorio LuisD
- 32Pedro LimaM
- 48D. FerreiraM
- 8Marcos AntônioM
- 12IagoM
- 7Lucas MouraM
- 16D. BobadillaM
- 10LucianoF
Substitutes
- 35SabinoD
- 31Carlos CoronelG
- 43G. SantanaF
- 46Pedro FerreiraM
- 29Pablo MaiaM
- 45Lucca Marques AlencarF
- 18WendellD
- 17André SilvaF
- 49Ryan FranciscoF
- 27Victor SáF
- 2R. TolóiD
- 19Lucas RamonD
Coach: Dorival Júnior
Betting markets
Expected goals 1.34 – 1.13Half time / full time result. 1 = Mirassol, X = draw, 2 = Sao Paulo.
Asian handicap applied to Mirassol.
Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.
Model comparison
Last matches
Newest firstBrasileiro Série A table
| # | Team | P | +/- | Pts | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 33 | 22 | 7 | 4 | +40 | 73 | WWWWD |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 33 | 20 | 10 | 3 | +34 | 70 | DWWWW |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 33 | 17 | 6 | 10 | +6 | 57 | WWWLW |
| 4 | Fluminense | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | +10 | 54 | WLLLW |
| 5 | Atletico Paranaense | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | +10 | 54 | LDLWD |
| 6 | Bahia | 33 | 14 | 11 | 8 | +6 | 53 | WDLWL |
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | +5 | 50 | LLWWD |
| 8 | Santos | 33 | 12 | 11 | 10 | +2 | 47 | DDWLD |
| 9 | RB Bragantino | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | +4 | 44 | WLDWD |
| 10 | Sao Paulo | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 0 | 43 | LDWWL |
| 11 | Botafogo | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | -8 | 39 | LLWDL |
| 12 | Coritiba | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | -12 | 39 | LLDLL |
| 13 | Vasco DA Gama | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | -9 | 38 | LWLDW |
| 14 | Vitoria | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | -11 | 38 | DDLWL |
| 15 | Gremio | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | -7 | 37 | WWLDD |
| 16 | Mirassol | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | -8 | 37 | DWLDW |
| 17 | Internacional | 33 | 8 | 11 | 14 | -5 | 35 | LWLDW |
| 18 | Corinthians | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | -8 | 33 | LDLLL |
| 19 | Remo | 33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | -15 | 29 | WLDDD |
| 20 | Chapecoense-sc | 32 | 4 | 9 | 19 | -34 | 21 | LWLLL |
Top scorers
| # | Player | M | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  K. ViverosAtletico Paranaense | 31 | 21 |
| 2 |  PedroFlamengo | 33 | 18 |
| 3 |  Gabriel BarbosaSantos | 25 | 15 |
| 4 |  Kaio JorgeCruzeiro | 26 | 12 |
| 5 |  Samuel LinoFlamengo | 32 | 11 |
Season statistics
This season, all competitions we cover| Stat | Mirassol | Sao Paulo |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 0 | 0 |
| Wins | 0 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
| Goals for (avg) | 0 | 0 |
| Goals against (avg) | 0 | 0 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 |
| Best win streak | 0 | 0 |
Match preview
Mirassol host Sao Paulo in the Brasileiro Série A (Regular Season - 32) at José Maria de Campos Maia, Mirassol, with kick-off on Saturday, 24 October 2026 at 20:30 WAT.
Our prediction model makes Mirassol slight favourites, giving Mirassol a 41% chance of winning, 28% for the draw and 31% for Sao Paulo. Our tip is: Mirassol or draw.
On the goals markets, we expect a tighter game, with only a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance that both teams score.
- Competition
- Brazil Brasileiro Série A
- Date
- Saturday, 24 October 2026, 20:30 WAT
- Venue
- José Maria de Campos Maia, Mirassol
TodaysPrediction analysis team
Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work
Quick answers
When is Mirassol vs Sao Paulo?
Mirassol vs Sao Paulo kicks off on Saturday, 24 October 2026 at 20:30 West Africa Time.
Which competition is Mirassol vs Sao Paulo in?
The match is in the Brazil Brasileiro Série A.
Where are Mirassol and Sao Paulo in the table?
Mirassol are 16th and Sao Paulo are 10th in the Brasileiro Série A.
Who will win Mirassol vs Sao Paulo?
Our prediction is Mirassol or draw. Win probabilities: Mirassol 41%, draw 28%, Sao Paulo 31%.
Will both teams score in Mirassol vs Sao Paulo?
We estimate a 51% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Mirassol vs Sao Paulo?
We estimate a 45% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Under 2.5 goals.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.
How often are predictions updated?
Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.