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Vasco DA Gama vs Corinthians prediction

Vasco DA Gama vs Corinthians prediction for the Brasileiro Série A on 24 Oct 2026: Vasco DA Gama or Corinthians (75%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Saturday24October 2026
Yesterday: 28/42 correct(67%)
Brasileiro Série A · Regular Season - 32
Vasco DA GamaNo recent gamesCorinthiansNo recent games
3 - 2Full time · Sat 24 OctHT 1-0
São Januário, Rio de Janeiro

Match events

Vasco DA GamaCorinthians
  1. 31'Yellow card: Rodrigo GarroFoul
  2. Goal: Jose Luis Rodriguez35'
  3. Substitution: Andrés GómezOff: Marino Hinestroza37'

HT 1-0

  1. 50'Goal: Gustavo HenriqueAssist: Breno Bidon
  2. 57'Goal: Matheus BiduAssist: Fabrizio Angileri
  3. 59'Substitution: Kaio CésarOff: Dieguinho
  4. 67'Substitution: Breno BidonOff: Charles
  5. 67'Substitution: Rodrigo GarroOff: Allan
  6. Substitution: Santiago SosaOff: Brenner67'
  7. Substitution: Bruno Duarte Da SilvaOff: David75'
  8. Substitution: Facundo ColidioOff: Nuno Moreira75'
  9. Substitution: Lucas PitonOff: Cuiabano75'
  10. 76'Substitution: Gui NegãoOff: Yuri Alberto
  11. 77'Substitution: Jesse LingardOff: Matheus Bidu
  12. 85'Yellow card: Fabrizio AngileriFoul
  13. Goal: Marino Hinestroza88'
  14. Goal: Marino HinestrozaAssist: David90'
  15. Yellow card: Marino Hinestroza90+2'
  16. 90+6'Yellow card: Jesse LingardFoul

Our verdict

12 ✓

Vasco DA Gama or Corinthians

Bet365 1.28

75%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 3-2

Expected goals2.6

Win probability

1 · Vasco DA Gama54%
Fair odds 1.85
X · Draw25%
Fair odds 4.00
2 · Corinthians21%
Fair odds 4.76

Match statistics

  • 63%Possession37%
  • 1.79Expected goals (xG)0.77
  • 25Total shots12
  • 8Shots on target4
  • 9Shots off target7
  • 8Blocked shots1
  • 18Shots inside the box8
  • 3Corners3
  • 2Offsides3
  • 11Fouls14
  • 1Yellow cards3
  • 0Red cards0
  • 2Goalkeeper saves5
  • 526Passes294
  • 438Accurate passes205

Line-ups

Vasco DA Gama

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1Léo JardimG
  2. 2J. RodríguezD
  3. 4A. SaldiviaD
  4. 30Robert RenanD
  5. 66CuiabanoD
  6. 22A. LescanoM
  7. 5S. SosaM
  8. 11A. GómezM
  9. 23Thiago MendesM
  10. 9F. ColidioM
  11. 19Bruno DuarteF

Substitutes

  1. 13Daniel FuzatoG
  2. 3Tchê TchêM
  3. 83Ramon RiqueM
  4. 96Paulo HenriqueD
  5. 17Nuno MoreiraM
  6. 6Lucas PitonD
  7. 43Lucas FreitasD
  8. 20BrennerF
  9. 7DavidF
  10. 55Gabriel PereiraD
  11. 18M. HinestrozaF
  12. 8JairM

Coach: Pedro Emanuel

Corinthians

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1Hugo SouzaG
  2. 2MatheuzinhoD
  3. 5André RamalhoD
  4. 13Gustavo HenriqueD
  5. 26F. AngileriD
  6. 49AndreM
  7. 7BrenoM
  8. 61DieguinhoM
  9. 8R. GarroM
  10. 21Matheus BiduM
  11. 9Yuri AlbertoF

Substitutes

  1. 23Matheus PereiraM
  2. 29AllanM
  3. 35CharlesM
  4. 18Pedro RaulF
  5. 20P. MilansD
  6. 55I. MachadoD
  7. 77J. LingardM
  8. 51Kauê CamargoG
  9. 37Kaio CésarF
  10. 4João PedroD
  11. 46HugoD
  12. 56Guilherme InácioF

Coach: C. Seedorf

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.65 – 0.93
0.5 goalsOver92.4%Under7.6%
1.5 goalsOver72.9%Under27.1%
2.5 goalsOver47.7%Under52.3%
3.5 goalsOver26.0%Under74.0%
4.5 goalsOver12.0%Under88.0%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

Vasco DA GamaCorinthians
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
64%Expected goals36%
72%Overall28%

Last matches

Newest first
Vasco DA Gama0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Corinthians0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Brasileiro Série A table

Brasileiro Série A table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Flamengo33+4073
2Palmeiras33+3470
3Cruzeiro33+657
4Fluminense33+1054
5Atletico Paranaense33+1054
6Bahia33+653
7Atletico-MG33+550
8Santos33+247
9RB Bragantino33+444
10Sao Paulo33043
11Botafogo33-839
12Coritiba32-1239
13Vasco DA Gama32-938
14Vitoria32-1138
15Gremio33-737
16Mirassol33-1037
17Corinthians33-636
18Internacional33-535
19Remo33-1529
20Chapecoense-sc32-3421
See full table ›

Top scorers

Brasileiro Série A top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1K. ViverosAtletico Paranaense3121
2PedroFlamengo3318
3Gabriel BarbosaSantos2515
4Kaio JorgeCruzeiro2612
5Samuel LinoFlamengo3211

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatVasco DA GamaCorinthians
Played00
Wins00
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)00
Goals against (avg)00
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Match preview

Vasco DA Gama host Corinthians in the Brasileiro Série A (Regular Season - 32) at São Januário, Rio de Janeiro, with kick-off on Saturday, 24 October 2026 at 22:30 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Vasco DA Gama favourites, giving Vasco DA Gama a 54% chance of winning, 25% for the draw and 21% for Corinthians. Our tip is: Vasco DA Gama or Corinthians.

On the goals markets, we expect a tighter game, with only a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Brazil Brasileiro Série A
Date
Saturday, 24 October 2026, 22:30 WAT
Venue
São Januário, Rio de Janeiro

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Vasco DA Gama vs Corinthians?

Vasco DA Gama vs Corinthians kicks off on Saturday, 24 October 2026 at 22:30 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Vasco DA Gama vs Corinthians in?

The match is in the Brazil Brasileiro Série A.

Where are Vasco DA Gama and Corinthians in the table?

Vasco DA Gama are 13th and Corinthians are 17th in the Brasileiro Série A.

Who will win Vasco DA Gama vs Corinthians?

Our prediction is Vasco DA Gama or Corinthians. Win probabilities: Vasco DA Gama 54%, draw 25%, Corinthians 21%.

Will both teams score in Vasco DA Gama vs Corinthians?

We estimate a 49% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is No.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Vasco DA Gama vs Corinthians?

We estimate a 48% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Under 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Brasileiro Série A on Sat 24 Oct

FTVitoria 1-1 Atletico ParanaenseOver 1.5 ✓FTInternacional 3-0 BotafogoOver 1.5 ✓FTMirassol 1-1 Sao Paulo1X ✓FTPalmeiras 2-0 RB BragantinoOver 1.5 ✓

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