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Valladolid vs Eldense prediction

Valladolid vs Eldense prediction for the Segunda División on 18 Oct 2026: Valladolid or draw (78%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Sunday18October 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
Segunda División · Regular Season - 10
ValladolidNo recent gamesEldenseNo recent games
2 - 3Full time · Sun 18 OctHT 1-2
Estadio José Zorrilla, Valladolid

Match events

ValladolidEldense
  1. Goal: Adrian ArnuAssist: Julien Ponceau23'
  2. Substitution: Juan Miguel LatasaOff: Victor Barbera30'
  3. 34'Yellow card: FidelDissent
  4. 41'Goal: Jorge RastrojoAssist: Javi Martínez
  5. 45+1'Goal: Aingeru OlabarrietaAssist: Ramón Vila Rovira
  6. Yellow card: Thiago Ezequiel OjedaArgument45+5'
  7. 45+5'Yellow card: Justin SmithArgument

HT 1-2

  1. Yellow card: Víctor FernándezDissent57'
  2. 62'Yellow card: Jorge RastrojoFoul
  3. 64'Substitution: Mariano Emilio Carmona CerezoOff: Jorge Rastrojo
  4. 64'Substitution: Justin SmithOff: Marcos Bustillo Aquesolo
  5. Substitution: Álvaro Pérez CampoOff: Iván Alejo66'
  6. Substitution: Thiago Ezequiel OjedaOff: Tay Abed66'
  7. Red card: Víctor Fernández72'
  8. 73'Substitution: Jorge Martin CamunasOff: Javi Martínez
  9. Substitution: Adrian ArnuOff: Robin van Duiven76'
  10. Substitution: Julien PonceauOff: Kaj de Rooij76'
  11. 78'Yellow card: Juan Larios LópezFoul
  12. 81'Substitution: Manuel NietoOff: Fidel
  13. 81'Substitution: Juan Larios LópezOff: Iker Recio Ortega
  14. Yellow card: Iván AlejoDissent82'
  15. Goal: Victor BarberaAssist: Tay Abed83'
  16. 90+5'Goal: Mariano Emilio Carmona CerezoAssist: Aingeru Olabarrieta

Our verdict

1X ✗

Valladolid or draw

Bet365 1.20

78%

✗ This tip lost · final score 2-3

Expected goals2.5

Win probability

1 · Valladolid51%
Fair odds 1.96
X · Draw27%
Fair odds 3.70
2 · Eldense22%
Fair odds 4.55

Match statistics

  • 57%Possession43%
  • 1.50Expected goals (xG)1.96
  • 15Total shots12
  • 5Shots on target4
  • 6Shots off target7
  • 4Blocked shots1
  • 9Shots inside the box9
  • 13Corners2
  • 2Offsides1
  • 10Fouls13
  • 2Yellow cards4
  • 1Red cards0
  • 2Goalkeeper saves3
  • 481Passes386
  • 411Accurate passes316

Line-ups

Valladolid

4-1-3-2

Starting XI

  1. 1Álvaro AcevesG
  2. 2TrilliD
  3. 15Pablo TomeoD
  4. 4David TorresD
  5. 27Iván GarrielD
  6. 24S. JurićM
  7. 8T. OjedaM
  8. 30Víctor FernándezM
  9. 21J. PonceauM
  10. 9Juanmi LatasaF
  11. 19Adrian ArnuncioF

Substitutes

  1. 16Álex BalboaM
  2. 14Iván AlejoF
  3. 3Homam AhmedD
  4. 17Victor BarberáF
  5. 11Yeray CabanzónF
  6. 18ClercD
  7. 6M. LachuerM
  8. 13Dani MartínG
  9. 5Ramón MartínezD
  10. 22K. de RooijF
  11. 20R. DuivenF
  12. 23T. AbedF

Coach: Fran Escribá

Eldense

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1Ramón VilaG
  2. 17Jesús ClementeD
  3. 5Alex SerradellD
  4. 4F. SmandD
  5. 3Juan LariosD
  6. 15Carlos GuiraoM
  7. 14J. SmithM
  8. 10FidelM
  9. 24Javi MartínezM
  10. 33Aingeru OlabarrietaM
  11. 7Jorge RastrojoF

Substitutes

  1. 11Manu NietoF
  2. 23Jordi MartínD
  3. 19A. IbarrondoF
  4. 9M. CarmonaF
  5. 8Marcos BustilloM
  6. 22J. YandaD
  7. 2Iker RecioD
  8. 29Dinis RodriguesF
  9. 13JuanpaG
  10. 34J. OlaizolaD

Coach: Javi Calleja

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.58 – 0.95
0.5 goalsOver92.0%Under8.0%
1.5 goalsOver71.9%Under28.1%
2.5 goalsOver46.4%Under53.6%
3.5 goalsOver24.9%Under75.1%
4.5 goalsOver11.3%Under88.7%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

ValladolidEldense
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
62%Expected goals38%
70%Overall30%

Last matches

Newest first
Valladolid0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Eldense0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Segunda División table

Segunda División table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Castellón12+1827
2Almeria12+1326
3Eibar12+723
4Granada CF12+623
5Sporting Gijon12022
6Girona12+1121
7Burgos12+421
8Mallorca11+719
9Oviedo11+318
10Sabadell12+117
11Cordoba12-316
12Tenerife11-214
13Eldense12-414
14Las Palmas11-514
15Celta de Vigo II12-513
16Valladolid11012
17Leganes11-912
18Real Sociedad II12-711
19Cadiz11010
20FC Andorra11-510
21Albacete12-137
22AD Ceuta FC12-175
See full table ›

Top scorers

Segunda División top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1Miguel de la FuenteAlmeria127
2A. MarinCelta de Vigo II127
3Enric GallegoTenerife107
4Israel SueroCastellón106
5FuentesMallorca116

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatValladolidEldense
Played00
Wins00
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)00
Goals against (avg)00
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Match preview

Valladolid host Eldense in the Segunda División (Regular Season - 10) at Estadio José Zorrilla, Valladolid, with kick-off on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at 17:30 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Valladolid favourites, giving Valladolid a 51% chance of winning, 27% for the draw and 22% for Eldense. Our tip is: Valladolid or draw.

On the goals markets, we expect a tighter game, with only a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Spain Segunda División
Date
Sunday, 18 October 2026, 17:30 WAT
Venue
Estadio José Zorrilla, Valladolid

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Valladolid vs Eldense?

Valladolid vs Eldense kicks off on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at 17:30 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Valladolid vs Eldense in?

The match is in the Spain Segunda División.

Where are Valladolid and Eldense in the table?

Valladolid are 16th and Eldense are 13th in the Segunda División.

Who will win Valladolid vs Eldense?

Our prediction is Valladolid or draw. Win probabilities: Valladolid 51%, draw 27%, Eldense 22%.

Will both teams score in Valladolid vs Eldense?

We estimate a 49% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is No.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Valladolid vs Eldense?

We estimate a 47% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Under 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

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