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AD Ceuta FC vs Oviedo prediction

AD Ceuta FC vs Oviedo prediction for the Segunda División on 18 Oct 2026: Oviedo or draw (69%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Sunday18October 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
Segunda División · Regular Season - 10
AD Ceuta FCNo recent gamesOviedoNo recent games
1 - 2Full time · Sun 18 OctHT 0-1
Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube, Ceuta

Match events

AD Ceuta FCOviedo
  1. Yellow card: Alexander Petxarroman EizagirrePersistent Infringement20'
  2. Yellow card: Marino IllescaFoul22'
  3. 23'Goal: Samuel Rodríguez de la RivaAssist: David Jimenez
  4. 25'Yellow card: David JimenezFoul
  5. Yellow card: Jordi EscobarFoul43'
  6. Substitution: Alexander Petxarroman EizagirreOff: Carlos Redruello Nimo45'

HT 0-1

  1. VAR: Kialy Abdoul KonePenalty cancelledVAR53'
  2. Yellow card: José Juan Romero GilDissent56'
  3. 59'Substitution: Víctor García MingoOff: José Luis Morales
  4. 59'Substitution: David JimenezOff: Nacho Vidal
  5. 59'Substitution: Pablo SaenzOff: Alberto Reina
  6. 61'Goal: Carlos Dominguez
  7. Substitution: Edgar SevikyanOff: Omar Sadik72'
  8. Substitution: Kialy Abdoul KoneOff: Alejandro Camacho Ramírez72'
  9. 74'Substitution: Mikel Goti LopezOff: Jacobo González
  10. Substitution: Abraham Bueno EspinosaOff: José Matos81'
  11. Goal: Alejandro Camacho Ramírez83'
  12. 84'Substitution: Enzo Pérez MirandaOff: Daniel Villahermosa
  13. Yellow card: Kuki ZalazarDissent90'
  14. 90+6'Yellow card: Aritz AldasoroFoul

Our verdict

X2 ✓

Oviedo or draw

Bet365 1.36

69%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 1-2

Expected goals2.5

Win probability

1 · AD Ceuta FC31%
Fair odds 3.23
X · Draw28%
Fair odds 3.57
2 · Oviedo41%
Fair odds 2.44

Match statistics

  • 52%Possession48%
  • 2.60Expected goals (xG)2.12
  • 24Total shots17
  • 5Shots on target9
  • 11Shots off target4
  • 8Blocked shots4
  • 16Shots inside the box8
  • 15Corners2
  • 1Offsides1
  • 14Fouls20
  • 4Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0
  • 7Goalkeeper saves4
  • 388Passes381
  • 335Accurate passes307

Line-ups

AD Ceuta FC

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1Pedro LópezG
  2. 18Alex PetxarromanD
  3. 6Carlos HernándezD
  4. 4Albert CaparrósD
  5. 3José MatosD
  6. 32Chidiebere Gabriel OkoroM
  7. 10Marino IllescasM
  8. 19E. SevikyanM
  9. 8KukiM
  10. 22K. KonéM
  11. 9Jordi EscobarF

Substitutes

  1. 28Abraham Bueno EspinosaM
  2. 14Y. BodigerM
  3. 15JoaquínM
  4. 7Alejandro Camacho RamírezM
  5. 5Adrián LapeñaD
  6. 20Álex MeléndezM
  7. 17Mawuli MensahM
  8. 16RedruD
  9. 29O. SadikF
  10. 11Cedric TeguiaM
  11. 13Guille VallejoG
  12. 26Arick BetancourtM

Coach: José Juan Romero

Oviedo

4-4-2

Starting XI

  1. 13Aarón EscandellG
  2. 21David JiménezD
  3. 12Dani CalvoD
  4. 23Carlos DomínguezD
  5. 15S. RodriguezD
  6. 8Mikel GotiM
  7. 16Aritz AldasoroM
  8. 5Y. DidiM
  9. 32Enzo PerezM
  10. 18V. MingoF
  11. 10Alberto ReinaF

Substitutes

  1. 27Samuel FranganilloG
  2. 4David CostasD
  3. 19B. DominguèsM
  4. 30Marco EstebanD
  5. 11Jacobo GonzálezF
  6. 28D. MenendezM
  7. 25José Luis MoralesF
  8. 20Pablo SáenzF
  9. 22Nacho VidalD
  10. 6Dani VillahermosaM
  11. 1Miguel NarváezG

Coach: Julián Calero

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.16 – 1.38
0.5 goalsOver92.1%Under7.9%
1.5 goalsOver72.1%Under27.9%
2.5 goalsOver46.6%Under53.4%
3.5 goalsOver25.1%Under74.9%
4.5 goalsOver11.4%Under88.6%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

AD Ceuta FCOviedo
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
46%Expected goals54%
43%Overall57%

Last matches

Newest first
AD Ceuta FC0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Oviedo0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Segunda División table

Segunda División table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Castellón12+1827
2Almeria12+1326
3Eibar12+723
4Granada CF12+623
5Sporting Gijon12022
6Girona12+1121
7Burgos12+421
8Mallorca11+719
9Oviedo11+318
10Sabadell12+117
11Cordoba12-316
12Tenerife11-214
13Eldense12-414
14Las Palmas11-514
15Celta de Vigo II12-513
16Valladolid11012
17Leganes11-912
18Real Sociedad II12-711
19Cadiz11010
20FC Andorra11-510
21Albacete12-137
22AD Ceuta FC12-175
See full table ›

Top scorers

Segunda División top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1Miguel de la FuenteAlmeria127
2A. MarinCelta de Vigo II127
3Enric GallegoTenerife107
4FuentesMallorca116
5Jordi CanoFC Andorra95

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatAD Ceuta FCOviedo
Played00
Wins00
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)00
Goals against (avg)00
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Match preview

AD Ceuta FC host Oviedo in the Segunda División (Regular Season - 10) at Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube, Ceuta, with kick-off on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at 13:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Oviedo slight favourites, giving AD Ceuta FC a 31% chance of winning, 28% for the draw and 41% for Oviedo. Our tip is: Oviedo or draw.

On the goals markets, we expect a tighter game, with only a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Spain Segunda División
Date
Sunday, 18 October 2026, 13:00 WAT
Venue
Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube, Ceuta

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is AD Ceuta FC vs Oviedo?

AD Ceuta FC vs Oviedo kicks off on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at 13:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is AD Ceuta FC vs Oviedo in?

The match is in the Spain Segunda División.

Where are AD Ceuta FC and Oviedo in the table?

AD Ceuta FC are 22nd and Oviedo are 9th in the Segunda División.

Who will win AD Ceuta FC vs Oviedo?

Our prediction is Oviedo or draw. Win probabilities: AD Ceuta FC 31%, draw 28%, Oviedo 41%.

Will both teams score in AD Ceuta FC vs Oviedo?

We estimate a 52% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in AD Ceuta FC vs Oviedo?

We estimate a 46% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Under 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Segunda División on Sun 18 Oct

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