Segunda División · Regular Season - 10
Match events
Sabadell- Yellow card: Alejandro Lizancos SaldañaFoul4'
- Yellow card: Grego SierraFoul13'
- 29'Yellow card: Óscar SanzPersistent Infringement
- Yellow card: Sergio Francisco RamosDissent32'
- Substitution: David GonzalezOff: Curro34'
- Substitution: Kevin AppinOff: Alberto Dadie45'
HT 0-0
- VAR: CurroVAR62'
- Penalty goal: Curro (pen)63'
- 64'Substitution: Eneko AguilarOff: Pere Pons
- 64'Substitution: Yanis RahmaniOff: Ton Ripoll
- 64'Substitution: Gastón Joaquín Valles VelázquezOff: José Luis Català
- Substitution: Álex ForésOff: Jon Karrikaburu75'
- Substitution: Javier Llabrés ExpositoOff: Victor Mollejo76'
- 78'Substitution: Joel PriegoOff: Alain Ribeiro
- 78'Substitution: Quadri LiameedOff: Nikolay Obolskiy
- Substitution: Pablo GaldamesOff: José Gragera79'
Our verdict
Burgos or draw
Bet365 1.36
✓ This tip was correct · final score 1-0
Win probability
Match statistics
- 63%Possession37%
- 2.13Expected goals (xG)0.43
- 12Total shots7
- 6Shots on target2
- 4Shots off target4
- 2Blocked shots1
- 11Shots inside the box5
- 10Corners3
- 2Offsides4
- 10Fouls21
- 2Yellow cards1
- 0Red cards0
- 2Goalkeeper saves6
- 375Passes296
- 266Accurate passes201
Line-ups
Burgos
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 13Ander CanteroG
- 2ÁlexD
- 15Oier LuengoD
- 8GregoD
- 22Brais MartínezD
- 12Unai VencedorM
- 4P. GaldamesM
- 10K. AppinM
- 14David GonzálezM
- 19Javi LlabrésM
- 7Jon KarrikaburuF
Substitutes
- 23Alberto DadieD
- 9Álex ForésF
- 21Fermin GarciaF
- 6Sergio GonzálezD
- 20José GrageraM
- 1Bruno IribarneG
- 36I. MartinezD
- 11Víctor MollejoF
- 16Curro SánchezM
- 3Ignasi VilarrasaD
- 18Saúl del CerroM
- 5Marcelo ExpósitoM
Coach: Sergio Francisco
Sabadell
3-1-4-2Starting XI
- 1Diego FuoliG
- 27José Luis CatalàD
- 14Óscar SanzD
- 5Arthur BonaldoD
- 20UrriM
- 7Ton RipollM
- 22Q. LiameedM
- 8Pere PonsM
- 2PipaM
- 23J. PriegoF
- 10Ángel BaenaF
Substitutes
- 25Marc VidalG
- 12Gastón VallesF
- 33Joaquim Utgés AlmedaF
- 21Alain RibeiroM
- 19Y. RahmaniF
- 13J. OrtegaG
- 9N. ObolskiyF
- 18Y. OwusuM
- 15Kaiser LázaroD
- 24Eneko AguilarM
Coach: Ferran Costa
Betting markets
Expected goals 1.14 – 0.98Half time / full time result. 1 = Burgos, X = draw, 2 = Sabadell.
Asian handicap applied to Burgos.
Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.
Model comparison
Last matches
Newest firstSegunda División table
| # | Team | P | +/- | Pts | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Castellón | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | +18 | 27 | DWWLD |
| 2 | Almeria | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | +13 | 26 | DDWWW |
| 3 | Eibar | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +7 | 23 | DLDLW |
| 4 | Granada CF | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +6 | 23 | WWWWW |
| 5 | Sporting Gijon | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 22 | WLWWW |
| 6 | Girona | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | +11 | 21 | LWWDD |
| 7 | Burgos | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | +4 | 21 | DWWLL |
| 8 | Mallorca | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | +7 | 19 | DDWDL |
| 9 | Oviedo | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 18 | DWWLW |
| 10 | Sabadell | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | +1 | 17 | LDLWD |
| 11 | Cordoba | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | -3 | 16 | DWWLW |
| 12 | Tenerife | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | -2 | 14 | DDDLD |
| 13 | Eldense | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 14 | LLWWW |
| 14 | Las Palmas | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 14 | WLLDL |
| 15 | Celta de Vigo II | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -5 | 13 | DLDWL |
| 16 | Valladolid | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 12 | LLWDW |
| 17 | Leganes | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -9 | 12 | DLLLL |
| 18 | Real Sociedad II | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -7 | 11 | WLLLL |
| 19 | Cadiz | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 10 | WLLWD |
| 20 | FC Andorra | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -5 | 10 | LLWDW |
| 21 | Albacete | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | -13 | 7 | WWLLL |
| 22 | AD Ceuta FC | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | -17 | 5 | LLLLD |
Top scorers
| # | Player | M | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Miguel de la FuenteAlmeria | 12 | 7 |
| 2 |  A. MarinCelta de Vigo II | 12 | 7 |
| 3 |  Enric GallegoTenerife | 10 | 7 |
| 4 |  FuentesMallorca | 11 | 6 |
| 5 |  Jordi CanoFC Andorra | 9 | 5 |
Season statistics
This season, all competitions we cover| Stat | Burgos | Sabadell |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 0 | 0 |
| Wins | 0 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
| Goals for (avg) | 0 | 0 |
| Goals against (avg) | 0 | 0 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 |
| Best win streak | 0 | 0 |
Match preview
Burgos host Sabadell in the Segunda División (Regular Season - 10) at Municipal El Plantio, Burgos, with kick-off on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at 20:00 WAT.
Our prediction model makes Burgos narrow favourites, giving Burgos a 39% chance of winning, 31% for the draw and 30% for Sabadell. Our tip is: Burgos or draw.
On the goals markets, we expect a tighter game, with only a 36% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 43% chance that both teams score.
- Competition
- Spain Segunda División
- Date
- Sunday, 18 October 2026, 20:00 WAT
- Venue
- Municipal El Plantio, Burgos
TodaysPrediction analysis team
Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work
Quick answers
When is Burgos vs Sabadell?
Burgos vs Sabadell kicks off on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at 20:00 West Africa Time.
Which competition is Burgos vs Sabadell in?
The match is in the Spain Segunda División.
Where are Burgos and Sabadell in the table?
Burgos are 7th and Sabadell are 10th in the Segunda División.
Who will win Burgos vs Sabadell?
Our prediction is Burgos or draw. Win probabilities: Burgos 39%, draw 31%, Sabadell 30%.
Will both teams score in Burgos vs Sabadell?
We estimate a 43% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is No.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Burgos vs Sabadell?
We estimate a 36% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Under 2.5 goals.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.
How often are predictions updated?
Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.