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TodaysPrediction

Udinese vs Lecce prediction

Udinese vs Lecce prediction for the Serie A on 18 Oct 2026: Udinese or draw (78%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Sunday18October 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
Serie A · Regular Season - 7
UdineseNo recent gamesLecceNo recent games
0 - 3Full time · Sun 18 OctHT 0-2
Bluenergy Stadium, Udine

Match events

UdineseLecce
  1. 11'Goal: Kialonda GasparAssist: Antonino Gallo
  2. 33'Goal: Konan N'DriAssist: Tiago Gabriel
  3. 41'Substitution: Lassana CoulibalyOff: Mohamed Kaba
  4. Yellow card: Hassane KamaraFoul43'
  5. Substitution: David AlabaOff: Matteo Palma45'
  6. Substitution: Hassane KamaraOff: Juan Arizala45'
  7. Substitution: Jakub PiotrowskiOff: Oier Zarraga45'

HT 0-2

  1. VAR: Jakub PiotrowskiGoal cancelledVAR59'
  2. Substitution: Enzo EbosseOff: Alessandro Zanoli64'
  3. Substitution: Giorgi ChakvetadzeOff: Unai Gómez64'
  4. 69'Substitution: Amar FatahOff: Santiago Pierotti
  5. 70'Substitution: Willem GeubbelsOff: Paco Esteban
  6. 82'Substitution: Youssef MalehOff: Jamil Siebert
  7. 82'Substitution: Konan N'DriOff: Joel Almada Monteiro
  8. 86'Goal: Jamil Siebert

Our verdict

1X ✗

Udinese or draw

Bet365 1.20

78%

✗ This tip lost · final score 0-3

Expected goals2.5

Win probability

1 · Udinese51%
Fair odds 1.96
X · Draw27%
Fair odds 3.70
2 · Lecce22%
Fair odds 4.55

Match statistics

  • 67%Possession33%
  • 0.33Expected goals (xG)3.30
  • 14Total shots17
  • 2Shots on target11
  • 7Shots off target4
  • 5Blocked shots2
  • 7Shots inside the box15
  • 1Corners4
  • 3Offsides8
  • 10Fouls11
  • 1Yellow cards0
  • 0Red cards0
  • 8Goalkeeper saves2
  • 518Passes258
  • 434Accurate passes182

Line-ups

Udinese

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

  1. 40M. OkoyeG
  2. 28O. SoletD
  3. 5D. AlabaD
  4. 77E. EbosseD
  5. 23M. VojvodaM
  6. 8J. KarlströmM
  7. 6Oier ZarragaM
  8. 11H. KamaraM
  9. 32J. EkkelenkampM
  10. 30G. ChakvetadzeM
  11. 9K. DavisF

Substitutes

  1. 45G. VinciatiF
  2. 13N. BertolaD
  3. 14J. AbankwahD
  4. 24J. PiotrowskiM
  5. 59A. ZanoliD
  6. 20J. ArizalaM
  7. 46Unai GómezM
  8. 91L. JovanovićF
  9. 27C. KabaseleD
  10. 4S. LovrićM
  11. 38L. MillerM
  12. 41B. MrozekG
  13. 93D. PadelliG
  14. 16M. PalmaD

Coach: K. Runjaic

Lecce

4-3-3

Starting XI

  1. 30W. FalconeG
  2. 17Danilo VeigaD
  3. 4Kialonda GasparD
  4. 44Tiago GabrielD
  5. 25A. GalloD
  6. 29L. CoulibalyM
  7. 79O. NgomM
  8. 14Y. MalehM
  9. 11K. N’DriF
  10. 69W. GeubbelsF
  11. 7A. Ahmed FatahF

Substitutes

  1. 22Paco EstebanF
  2. 8S. FofanaM
  3. 16O. GandelmanM
  4. 28Olaf GorterM
  5. 18G. JeanD
  6. 77M. KabaM
  7. 99Joël MonteiroF
  8. 3C. NdabaD
  9. 50S. PierottiF
  10. 31E. ScottD
  11. 5J. SiebertD
  12. 9N. ŠtulićF
  13. 32A. BorbeiG
  14. 1M. BleveG
  15. 2A. DembéléD

Coach: E. Di Francesco

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.56 – 0.94
0.5 goalsOver91.8%Under8.2%
1.5 goalsOver71.3%Under28.7%
2.5 goalsOver45.6%Under54.4%
3.5 goalsOver24.2%Under75.8%
4.5 goalsOver10.9%Under89.1%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

UdineseLecce
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
62%Expected goals38%
70%Overall30%

Last matches

Newest first
Udinese0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Lecce0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Serie A table

Serie A table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Lazio10+1628
2Inter10+1325
3AS Roma10+1824
4Como10+1023
5AC Milan10+921
6Frosinone10+1020
7Juventus10+317
8Napoli10+414
9Bologna10+114
10Torino10-213
11Genoa10-413
12Cagliari10-613
13Atalanta9-111
14Lecce10-109
15Sassuolo9-88
16Monza10-77
17Fiorentina9-105
18Parma9-105
19Udinese10-125
20Venezia10-143
See full table ›

Top scorers

Serie A top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1Gustavo VarelaMonza99
2D. MalenAS Roma98
3A. RaimondoFrosinone98
4N. KrstovićAtalanta96
5A. RabiotAC Milan85

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatUdineseLecce
Played00
Wins00
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)00
Goals against (avg)00
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Match preview

Udinese host Lecce in the Serie A (Regular Season - 7) at Bluenergy Stadium, Udine, with kick-off on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at 11:30 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Udinese favourites, giving Udinese a 51% chance of winning, 27% for the draw and 22% for Lecce. Our tip is: Udinese or draw.

On the goals markets, we expect a tighter game, with only a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Italy Serie A
Date
Sunday, 18 October 2026, 11:30 WAT
Venue
Bluenergy Stadium, Udine

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Udinese vs Lecce?

Udinese vs Lecce kicks off on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at 11:30 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Udinese vs Lecce in?

The match is in the Italy Serie A.

Where are Udinese and Lecce in the table?

Udinese are 19th and Lecce are 14th in the Serie A.

Who will win Udinese vs Lecce?

Our prediction is Udinese or draw. Win probabilities: Udinese 51%, draw 27%, Lecce 22%.

Will both teams score in Udinese vs Lecce?

We estimate a 49% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is No.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Udinese vs Lecce?

We estimate a 46% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Under 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Serie A on Sun 18 Oct

FTFiorentina 1-3 ComoX2 ✓FTAC Milan 3-2 AtalantaOver 1.5 ✓FTJuventus 0-3 Lazio1 ✗

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