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U. Catolica vs Universidad de Chile prediction

U. Catolica vs Universidad de Chile prediction for the Primera División on 1 Nov 2026: Over 1.5 (76%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Sunday1November 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
Primera División · Regular Season - 26
U. CatolicaUniversidad de Chile
1 - 0Full time · Sun 1 NovHT 1-0
San Carlos de Apoquindo, Santiago

Match events

U. CatolicaUniversidad de Chile
  1. Goal: Clemente MontesAssist: Jimmy Martínez4'
  2. 42'Yellow card: Nicolás RamírezFoul
  3. Substitution: Juan Francisco RosselOff: Sebastián Andrés Arancibia Flores45'

HT 1-0

  1. Substitution: Clemente MontesOff: Justo Giani58'
  2. Yellow card: Cristian CuevasFoul62'
  3. 66'Substitution: Ignacio VásquezOff: Octavio Rivero
  4. 66'Yellow card: Charles AránguizFoul
  5. Substitution: Jhojan ValenciaOff: Alfred Canales75'
  6. Substitution: Eugenio MenaOff: Agustín García Basso75'
  7. 76'Substitution: Tobías ReinhartOff: Javier Altamirano
  8. 76'Substitution: Charles AránguizOff: Lucas Emilio Barrera Hacicki
  9. 80'Yellow card: Marcelo Ariel Morales SuárezTime Wasting
  10. VAR: Justo GianiGoal cancelledVAR80'
  11. 86'Substitution: Agustín ArceOff: Juan Martin Lucero
  12. 86'Substitution: Nicolás RamírezOff: Fabián Hormazabal
  13. Substitution: Sebastián Andrés Arancibia FloresOff: Diego Corral Contreras86'
  14. Yellow card: Fernando ZampedriArgument90+7'
  15. 90+7'Yellow card: Maximiliano GuerreroArgument

Our verdict

Over 1.5 ✗

Over 1.5

Bet365 1.25

76%

✗ This tip lost · final score 1-0

Expected goals2.7

Win probability

1 · U. Catolica38%
Fair odds 2.63
X · Draw27%
Fair odds 3.70
2 · Universidad de Chile35%
Fair odds 2.86

Match statistics

  • 30%Possession70%
  • 0.72Expected goals (xG)0.56
  • 6Total shots10
  • 2Shots on target0
  • 4Shots off target4
  • 0Blocked shots6
  • 1Shots inside the box3
  • 2Corners4
  • 2Offsides5
  • 14Fouls11
  • 2Yellow cards4
  • 0Red cards0
  • 0Goalkeeper saves1
  • 211Passes510
  • 137Accurate passes424

Line-ups

U. Catolica

4-1-4-1

Starting XI

  1. 27D. MeloG
  2. 23Tomas AstaburuagaD
  3. 5A. FaríasD
  4. 26J. DíazD
  5. 3E. MenaD
  6. 20J. ValenciaM
  7. 11C. MontesM
  8. 14J. MartínezM
  9. 18J. RosselM
  10. 15C. CuevasM
  11. 9F. ZampedriF

Substitutes

  1. 7J. GianiM
  2. 30D. ValenciaF
  3. 1V. BernedoG
  4. 21A. GarcíaD
  5. 6S. ArancibiaD
  6. 13A. CanalesM
  7. 10M. PalavecinoM
  8. 22M. GómezM
  9. 25D. CorralF

Coach: Daniel Garnero

Universidad de Chile

3-4-3

Starting XI

  1. 25G. CastellónG
  2. 3I. LichnovskyD
  3. 22M. ZaldiviaD
  4. 5N. RamírezD
  5. 7M. GuerreroM
  6. 15T. ReinhartM
  7. 20C. AránguizM
  8. 14M. MoralesM
  9. 28A. ArceF
  10. 11E. VargasF
  11. 23I. VásquezF

Substitutes

  1. 6N. FernándezD
  2. 17F. HormazábalF
  3. 29L. BarreraM
  4. 19J. AltamiranoM
  5. 8I. PobleteM
  6. 21M. DíazM
  7. 18J. LuceroF
  8. 9O. RiveroF
  9. 1C. ToselliG

Coach: Fernando Gago

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.39 – 1.32
0.5 goalsOver93.3%Under6.7%
1.5 goalsOver75.3%Under24.7%
2.5 goalsOver50.9%Under49.1%
3.5 goalsOver28.8%Under71.2%
4.5 goalsOver13.9%Under86.1%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

U. CatolicaUniversidad de Chile
0%Form100%
20%Attack80%
25%Defence75%
50%Head to head50%
51%Expected goals49%
52%Overall48%

Last matches

Newest first
U. Catolica0W 0D 1L · last 1
LUnion La Calera vs U. Catolica25 Oct 2026 · Primera División3-1
Universidad de Chile1W 0D 0L · last 1
WUniversidad de Chile vs Everton de Vina26 Oct 2026 · Primera División4-1

Primera División table

Primera División table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Colo Colo2+54
2D. La Serena2+24
3Universidad de Chile2+23
4Union La Calera2+13
5Nublense1+13
6Coquimbo Unido203
7U. Catolica2-13
8Cobresal101
9Palestino101
10Huachipato101
11Everton de Vina2-31
12Concepción1-20
13Universidad de Concepcion1-50
See full table ›

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatU. CatolicaUniversidad de Chile
Played11
Wins01
Draws00
Losses10
Goals for (avg)14
Goals against (avg)31
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak01

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 1 games went over the line

Over 1.51/11/1
Over 2.51/11/1
Over 3.51/11/1
BTTS – yes1/11/1

Match preview

U. Catolica host Universidad de Chile in the Primera División (Regular Season - 26) at San Carlos de Apoquindo, Santiago, with kick-off on Sunday, 1 November 2026 at 16:30 WAT.

Our prediction model makes U. Catolica narrow favourites, giving U. Catolica a 38% chance of winning, 27% for the draw and 35% for Universidad de Chile. Our tip is: Over 1.5.

U. Catolica have taken 0 points from their last 1 games (0W 0D 1L). Universidad de Chile have taken 3 points from their last 1 games (1W 0D 0L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 51% chance of over 2.5 and a 56% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Chile Primera División
Date
Sunday, 1 November 2026, 16:30 WAT
Venue
San Carlos de Apoquindo, Santiago

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is U. Catolica vs Universidad de Chile?

U. Catolica vs Universidad de Chile kicks off on Sunday, 1 November 2026 at 16:30 West Africa Time.

Which competition is U. Catolica vs Universidad de Chile in?

The match is in the Chile Primera División.

Where are U. Catolica and Universidad de Chile in the table?

U. Catolica are 7th and Universidad de Chile are 3rd in the Primera División.

Who will win U. Catolica vs Universidad de Chile?

Our prediction is Over 1.5. Win probabilities: U. Catolica 38%, draw 27%, Universidad de Chile 35%.

Will both teams score in U. Catolica vs Universidad de Chile?

We estimate a 56% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in U. Catolica vs Universidad de Chile?

We estimate a 51% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Primera División on Sun 1 Nov

FTHuachipato 0-0 D. La Serena1X ✓FTCobresal 2-2 Everton de VinaX2 ✓

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