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Union La Calera vs U. Catolica prediction

Union La Calera vs U. Catolica prediction for the Primera División on 25 Oct 2026: U. Catolica or draw (75%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Municipal Nicolas Chahuan , La Calera

Match events

Union La CaleraU. Catolica
  1. VAR: Nicolás AvellanedaRed card cancelledVAR14'
  2. 38'VARVAR: Fernando ZuquiPenalty confirmed
  3. 40'Penalty goal: Fernando Zampedri (pen)
  4. Yellow card: Camilo MoyaFoul44'
  5. Substitution: Matías Campos LópezOff: Brian Nicolás Ferreyra45'
  6. Substitution: Joan CruzOff: Bayron Oyarzo45'
  7. Goal: Sebastián SáezAssist: Christopher Díaz45+3'

HT 1-1

  1. VAR: Sebastián SáezGoal cancelledVAR51'
  2. 56'Substitution: Diego Corral ContrerasOff: Clemente Montes
  3. 56'Substitution: Justo GianiOff: Martin Gomez
  4. Goal: Brian Nicolás FerreyraAssist: Bayron Oyarzo58'
  5. Substitution: Joaquín SotoOff: Martín Hiriart Espinoza62'
  6. 70'Substitution: Sebastián Andrés Arancibia FloresOff: Branco Ampuero
  7. 70'Substitution: Matias PalavecinoOff: Jimmy Martínez
  8. 80'Substitution: Fernando ZuquiOff: Juan Francisco Rossel
  9. 84'Red card: Jimmy MartínezSerious Foul
  10. 90+3'Yellow card: Jhojan ValenciaFoul
  11. Substitution: Camilo MoyaOff: Vicente Lavín90+3'
  12. 90+3'Yellow card: Branco AmpueroTime Wasting
  13. Yellow card: Bayron OyarzoNot Retreating90+6'
  14. Goal: Bayron Oyarzo90+7'

Our verdict

X2 ✗

U. Catolica or draw

Bet365 1.25

75%

✗ This tip lost · final score 3-1

Expected goals2.7

Win probability

1 · Union La Calera25%
Fair odds 4.00
X · Draw26%
Fair odds 3.85
2 · U. Catolica49%
Fair odds 2.04

Match statistics

  • 39%Possession61%
  • 0.68Expected goals (xG)1.75
  • 9Total shots14
  • 3Shots on target3
  • 5Shots off target10
  • 1Blocked shots1
  • 5Shots inside the box9
  • 4Corners3
  • 9Offsides1
  • 14Fouls12
  • 2Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards1
  • 2Goalkeeper saves0
  • 294Passes458
  • 211Accurate passes386

Line-ups

Union La Calera

4-3-3

Starting XI

  1. 1N. AvellanedaG
  2. 25C. DíazD
  3. 15J. SalomoniD
  4. 27D. GutiérrezD
  5. 4C. GutiérrezD
  6. 23R. PérezM
  7. 5C. MoyaM
  8. 29J. SotoM
  9. 11S. SáezF
  10. 20J. CruzF
  11. 19M. CamposF

Substitutes

  1. 2Y. AndíaD
  2. 22Benjamín AstudilloG
  3. 32B. FerreyraF
  4. 17M. HiriartF
  5. 8Y. LeivaM
  6. 7B. OyarzoF
  7. 21Valentino TorrenteM
  8. 13Pablo Esteban Valero CifuentesM
  9. 6V. LavinD

Coach: J. Armijo

U. Catolica

4-1-4-1

Starting XI

  1. 1V. BernedoG
  2. 6S. ArancibiaD
  3. 2D. GónzalezD
  4. 21A. GarcíaD
  5. 3E. MenaD
  6. 20J. ValenciaM
  7. 25D. CorralM
  8. 10M. PalavecinoM
  9. 8F. ZuquiM
  10. 7J. GianiM
  11. 9F. ZampedriF

Substitutes

  1. 18J. RosselF
  2. 11C. MontesF
  3. 27D. MeloG
  4. 14J. MartínezM
  5. 5A. FaríasM
  6. 13A. CanalesM
  7. 19B. AmpueroD
  8. 22M. GómezM
  9. 39N. L’HuillierD

Coach: Daniel Garnero

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.11 – 1.62
0.5 goalsOver93.5%Under6.5%
1.5 goalsOver75.7%Under24.3%
2.5 goalsOver51.4%Under48.6%
3.5 goalsOver29.3%Under70.7%
4.5 goalsOver14.2%Under85.8%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

Union La CaleraU. Catolica
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
41%Expected goals59%
34%Overall66%

Last matches

Newest first
Union La Calera0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

U. Catolica0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Primera División table

Primera División table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Colo Colo2+54
2D. La Serena2+24
3Universidad de Chile2+23
4Union La Calera2+13
5Nublense1+13
6Coquimbo Unido203
7U. Catolica2-13
8Cobresal101
9Palestino101
10Huachipato101
11Everton de Vina2-31
12Concepción1-20
13Universidad de Concepcion1-50
See full table ›

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatUnion La CaleraU. Catolica
Played00
Wins00
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)00
Goals against (avg)00
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Match preview

Union La Calera host U. Catolica in the Primera División (Regular Season - 25) at Municipal Nicolas Chahuan , La Calera, with kick-off on Sunday, 25 October 2026 at 19:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes U. Catolica slight favourites, giving Union La Calera a 25% chance of winning, 26% for the draw and 49% for U. Catolica. Our tip is: U. Catolica or draw.

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 51% chance of over 2.5 and a 54% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Chile Primera División
Date
Sunday, 25 October 2026, 19:00 WAT
Venue
Municipal Nicolas Chahuan , La Calera

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Union La Calera vs U. Catolica?

Union La Calera vs U. Catolica kicks off on Sunday, 25 October 2026 at 19:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Union La Calera vs U. Catolica in?

The match is in the Chile Primera División.

Where are Union La Calera and U. Catolica in the table?

Union La Calera are 4th and U. Catolica are 7th in the Primera División.

Who will win Union La Calera vs U. Catolica?

Our prediction is U. Catolica or draw. Win probabilities: Union La Calera 25%, draw 26%, U. Catolica 49%.

Will both teams score in Union La Calera vs U. Catolica?

We estimate a 54% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Union La Calera vs U. Catolica?

We estimate a 51% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Primera División on Sun 25 Oct

FTNublense 2-1 Coquimbo UnidoX2 ✗FTPalestino 1-1 Colo ColoX2 ✓

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