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Universidad de Chile vs Everton de Vina prediction

Universidad de Chile vs Everton de Vina prediction for the Primera División on 26 Oct 2026: Over 1.5 (79%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Monday26October 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
Primera División · Regular Season - 25
Universidad de ChileNo recent gamesEverton de VinaNo recent games
4 - 1Full time · Mon 26 OctHT 2-0
Estadio Nacional Julio Martínez Prádanos, Santiago

Match events

Universidad de ChileEverton de Vina
  1. 12'Yellow card: Joaquin MoyaFoul
  2. Goal: Eduardo VargasAssist: Maximiliano Guerrero30'
  3. 45'Substitution: nicolas montielOff: Josué Miguel Nehemías Ovalle Aranda
  4. Goal: Eduardo VargasAssist: Maximiliano Guerrero45+4'

HT 2-0

  1. 55'Yellow card: Julian AlfaroFoul
  2. Goal: Agustín ArceAssist: Maximiliano Guerrero57'
  3. 59'Substitution: Nicolás BaezaOff: Braian Aaron Martínez
  4. 59'Substitution: Valentin VidalOff: Hugo Magallanes
  5. Substitution: Matias ZaldiviaOff: Fabián Hormazabal62'
  6. Substitution: Marcelo Ariel Morales SuárezOff: Nicolás Fernández63'
  7. Substitution: Charles AránguizOff: Lucas Emilio Barrera Hacicki63'
  8. Yellow card: Nicolás FernándezFoul68'
  9. 69'Yellow card: Braian Aaron MartínezDissent
  10. 71'Yellow card: Alan MedinaFoul
  11. Substitution: Ignacio VásquezOff: Octavio Rivero73'
  12. 75'Substitution: Julian AlfaroOff: Cristian Palacios
  13. 75'Substitution: Joaquin MoyaOff: Gustavo Charrupi
  14. 80'Goal: Cristian PalaciosAssist: Josué Miguel Nehemías Ovalle Aranda
  15. Goal: Eduardo VargasAssist: Maximiliano Guerrero81'
  16. Substitution: Agustín ArceOff: Marcelo Díaz81'
  17. 85'VARVAR: Lucas SotoCard upgrade confirmed
  18. 86'Red card: Lucas SotoViolent Conduct

Our verdict

Over 1.5 ✓

Over 1.5

Bet365 1.20

79%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 4-1

Expected goals2.9

Win probability

1 · Universidad de Chile56%
Fair odds 1.79
X · Draw24%
Fair odds 4.17
2 · Everton de Vina20%
Fair odds 5.00

Match statistics

  • 48%Possession52%
  • 2.93Expected goals (xG)1.14
  • 17Total shots8
  • 10Shots on target4
  • 4Shots off target3
  • 3Blocked shots1
  • 11Shots inside the box6
  • 6Corners5
  • 1Offsides2
  • 9Fouls10
  • 1Yellow cards4
  • 0Red cards1
  • 4Goalkeeper saves6
  • 332Passes358
  • 264Accurate passes286

Line-ups

Universidad de Chile

3-4-3

Starting XI

  1. 25G. CastellónG
  2. 3I. LichnovskyD
  3. 22M. ZaldiviaD
  4. 5N. RamírezD
  5. 7M. GuerreroM
  6. 20C. AránguizM
  7. 15T. ReinhartM
  8. 14M. MoralesM
  9. 28A. ArceF
  10. 11E. VargasF
  11. 23I. VásquezF

Substitutes

  1. 21M. DíazM
  2. 6N. FernándezD
  3. 17F. HormazábalF
  4. 18J. LuceroF
  5. 8I. PobleteM
  6. 32G. AñasgoM
  7. 9O. RiveroF
  8. 1C. ToselliG
  9. 29L. BarreraM

Coach: Fernando Gago

Everton de Vina

4-4-1-1

Starting XI

  1. 1I. GonzálezG
  2. 8L. SotoD
  3. 37V. VidalD
  4. 24D. OyarzúnD
  5. 14N. BaezaD
  6. 9J. AlfaroM
  7. 21B. BerríosM
  8. 7J. MoyaM
  9. 11E. RamosM
  10. 10A. MedinaM
  11. 40N. MontielF

Substitutes

  1. 25E. KirkmanG
  2. 4H. MagallanesD
  3. 29B. MartínezF
  4. 2Ó. OpazoD
  5. 20J. OvalleM
  6. 30C. PalaciosF
  7. 19V. VegaD
  8. 5R. GonzálezD
  9. 6G. CharrupíF

Coach: W. Ribonetto

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.88 – 1.04
0.5 goalsOver94.6%Under5.4%
1.5 goalsOver78.9%Under21.1%
2.5 goalsOver55.9%Under44.1%
3.5 goalsOver33.5%Under66.5%
4.5 goalsOver17.1%Under82.9%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

Universidad de ChileEverton de Vina
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
64%Expected goals36%
74%Overall26%

Last matches

Newest first
Universidad de Chile0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Everton de Vina0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Primera División table

Primera División table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Colo Colo2+54
2D. La Serena2+24
3Universidad de Chile2+23
4Union La Calera2+13
5Nublense1+13
6Coquimbo Unido203
7U. Catolica2-13
8Cobresal101
9Palestino101
10Huachipato101
11Everton de Vina2-31
12Concepción1-20
13Universidad de Concepcion1-50
See full table ›

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatUniversidad de ChileEverton de Vina
Played00
Wins00
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)00
Goals against (avg)00
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Match preview

Universidad de Chile host Everton de Vina in the Primera División (Regular Season - 25) at Estadio Nacional Julio Martínez Prádanos, Santiago, with kick-off on Monday, 26 October 2026 at 22:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Universidad de Chile favourites, giving Universidad de Chile a 56% chance of winning, 24% for the draw and 20% for Everton de Vina. Our tip is: Over 1.5.

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 56% chance of over 2.5 and a 55% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Chile Primera División
Date
Monday, 26 October 2026, 22:00 WAT
Venue
Estadio Nacional Julio Martínez Prádanos, Santiago

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Universidad de Chile vs Everton de Vina?

Universidad de Chile vs Everton de Vina kicks off on Monday, 26 October 2026 at 22:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Universidad de Chile vs Everton de Vina in?

The match is in the Chile Primera División.

Where are Universidad de Chile and Everton de Vina in the table?

Universidad de Chile are 3rd and Everton de Vina are 11th in the Primera División.

Who will win Universidad de Chile vs Everton de Vina?

Our prediction is Over 1.5. Win probabilities: Universidad de Chile 56%, draw 24%, Everton de Vina 20%.

Will both teams score in Universidad de Chile vs Everton de Vina?

We estimate a 55% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Universidad de Chile vs Everton de Vina?

We estimate a 56% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

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