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SV Elversberg vs FSV Mainz 05 prediction

SV Elversberg vs FSV Mainz 05 prediction for the Bundesliga on 30 Oct 2026: FSV Mainz 05 or draw (69%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Friday30October 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
Bundesliga · Regular Season - 8
SV ElversbergFSV Mainz 05
4 - 1Full time · Fri 30 OctHT 3-0
Ursapharm-Arena an der Kaiserlinde, Spiesen-Elversberg

Match events

SV ElversbergFSV Mainz 05
  1. 4'Yellow card: Phillipp MweneFoul
  2. Goal: Felix Keidel7'
  3. Goal: Francis OnyekaAssist: David Mokwa26'
  4. 33'Yellow card: Danny da CostaFoul
  5. Goal: Maurice Krattenmacher45+1'

HT 3-0

  1. 63'Substitution: Nadiem AmiriOff: Benedict Hollerbach
  2. 63'Substitution: Phillip TietzOff: Ransford Königsdörffer
  3. 63'Substitution: Phillipp MweneOff: Silvan Widmer
  4. 63'Substitution: Paul NebelOff: Lennard Maloney
  5. 65'VARVAR: Ransford KönigsdörfferGoal cancelled
  6. Substitution: Lasse GüntherOff: Nicholas Mickelson68'
  7. 75'Yellow card: Ransford KönigsdörfferFoul
  8. Substitution: Francis OnyekaOff: Frederik Schmahl77'
  9. Substitution: Maurice KrattenmacherOff: Cole Campbell77'
  10. 85'Yellow card: Stefan PoschFoul
  11. 87'Substitution: Kaishu SanoOff: Eric Martel
  12. Substitution: Lukas PetkovOff: Raif Adam88'
  13. Substitution: David MokwaOff: Luca Schnellbacher88'
  14. Goal: Cole CampbellAssist: Nicholas Mickelson90'
  15. 90+2'Goal: Benedict Hollerbach
  16. 90+5'Red card: Stefan Posch

Our verdict

X2 ✗

FSV Mainz 05 or draw

Bet365 1.36

69%

✗ This tip lost · final score 4-1

Expected goals3.3

Win probability

1 · SV Elversberg31%
Fair odds 3.23
X · Draw24%
Fair odds 4.17
2 · FSV Mainz 0545%
Fair odds 2.22

Match statistics

  • 54%Possession46%
  • 1.02Expected goals (xG)1.21
  • 13Total shots10
  • 6Shots on target2
  • 3Shots off target6
  • 4Blocked shots2
  • 7Shots inside the box7
  • 5Corners11
  • 0Offsides2
  • 8Fouls22
  • 0Yellow cards3
  • 0Red cards1
  • 1Goalkeeper saves2
  • 412Passes334
  • 326Accurate passes240

Line-ups

SV Elversberg

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 20N. KristofG
  2. 26L. SirchD
  3. 19L. PinckertD
  4. 31M. RohrD
  5. 21L. GüntherD
  6. 43F. KeidelM
  7. 8Ł. PorębaM
  8. 25L. PetkovM
  9. 40Francis-Ikechukwu OnyekaM
  10. 7M. KrattenmacherM
  11. 42D. MokwaF

Substitutes

  1. 15R. AdamF
  2. 28T. BossG
  3. 39William Cole CampbellF
  4. 6A. CondéM
  5. 9N. FutkeuF
  6. 3F. Le JoncourD
  7. 2N. MickelsonD
  8. 17F. SchmahlM
  9. 24L. SchnellbacherM

Coach: V. Wagner

FSV Mainz 05

3-5-2

Starting XI

  1. 27R. ZentnerG
  2. 21D. da CostaD
  3. 4S. PoschD
  4. 48K. PotulskiD
  5. 19A. CaciM
  6. 8P. NebelM
  7. 6K. SanoM
  8. 10N. AmiriM
  9. 2P. MweneM
  10. 23S. BeckerF
  11. 9P. TietzF

Substitutes

  1. 30S. WidmerD
  2. 1A. SchwolowG
  3. 5E. MartelM
  4. 15L. MaloneyM
  5. 7Lee Jae-SungM
  6. 11R. KönigsdörfferF
  7. 17B. HollerbachF
  8. 3F. GruberD
  9. 16S. BellD

Coach: U. Fischer

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.50 – 1.82
0.5 goalsOver96.4%Under3.6%
1.5 goalsOver84.4%Under15.6%
2.5 goalsOver64.5%Under35.5%
3.5 goalsOver42.4%Under57.6%
4.5 goalsOver24.1%Under75.9%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

SV ElversbergFSV Mainz 05
50%Form50%
80%Attack20%
6%Defence94%
50%Head to head50%
45%Expected goals55%
41%Overall59%

Last matches

Newest first
SV Elversberg1W 0D 0L · last 1
WSV Elversberg vs FC Augsburg17 Oct 2026 · Bundesliga4-3
FSV Mainz 051W 0D 0L · last 1
WFC Schalke 04 vs FSV Mainz 0517 Oct 2026 · Bundesliga0-1

Bundesliga table

Bundesliga table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Bayern München8+1918
2Borussia Dortmund8+818
3SC Freiburg8+816
4RB Leipzig8+1115
5Werder Bremen8+315
6Bayer Leverkusen8+213
7SV Elversberg8013
8Eintracht Frankfurt8-511
9FSV Mainz 058010
10FC Augsburg8+39
11VfB Stuttgart8-19
121899 Hoffenheim8-29
131. FC Köln8-39
14SC Paderborn 078-39
15Hamburger SV8-129
16Union Berlin8-127
17FC Schalke 048-56
18Borussia Mönchengladbach8-114
See full table ›

Top scorers

Bundesliga top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1N. FüllkrugWerder Bremen89
2P. SchickBayer Leverkusen87
3M. OliseBayern München86
4Y. EbnoutalibEintracht Frankfurt86
5E. DemirovićVfB Stuttgart85

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatSV ElversbergFSV Mainz 05
Played11
Wins11
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)41
Goals against (avg)30
Clean sheets01
Failed to score00
Best win streak11

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 1 games went over the line

Over 1.51/10/1
Over 2.51/10/1
Over 3.51/10/1
BTTS – yes1/10/1

Match preview

SV Elversberg host FSV Mainz 05 in the Bundesliga (Regular Season - 8) at Ursapharm-Arena an der Kaiserlinde, Spiesen-Elversberg, with kick-off on Friday, 30 October 2026 at 20:30 WAT.

Our prediction model makes FSV Mainz 05 slight favourites, giving SV Elversberg a 31% chance of winning, 24% for the draw and 45% for FSV Mainz 05. Our tip is: FSV Mainz 05 or draw.

SV Elversberg have taken 3 points from their last 1 games (1W 0D 0L). FSV Mainz 05 have taken 3 points from their last 1 games (1W 0D 0L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 64% chance of over 2.5 and a 65% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Germany Bundesliga
Date
Friday, 30 October 2026, 20:30 WAT
Venue
Ursapharm-Arena an der Kaiserlinde, Spiesen-Elversberg

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is SV Elversberg vs FSV Mainz 05?

SV Elversberg vs FSV Mainz 05 kicks off on Friday, 30 October 2026 at 20:30 West Africa Time.

Which competition is SV Elversberg vs FSV Mainz 05 in?

The match is in the Germany Bundesliga.

Where are SV Elversberg and FSV Mainz 05 in the table?

SV Elversberg are 7th and FSV Mainz 05 are 9th in the Bundesliga.

Who will win SV Elversberg vs FSV Mainz 05?

Our prediction is FSV Mainz 05 or draw. Win probabilities: SV Elversberg 31%, draw 24%, FSV Mainz 05 45%.

Will both teams score in SV Elversberg vs FSV Mainz 05?

We estimate a 65% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in SV Elversberg vs FSV Mainz 05?

We estimate a 64% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

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