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Sporting Gijon vs Albacete prediction

Sporting Gijon vs Albacete prediction for the Segunda División on 17 Oct 2026: Sporting Gijon or draw (77%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Saturday17October 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
Segunda División · Regular Season - 10
Sporting GijonNo recent gamesAlbaceteNo recent games
2 - 1Full time · Sat 17 OctHT 1-0
El Molinón-Enrique Castro Quini, Gijon

Match events

Sporting GijonAlbacete
  1. Goal: Alejo SarcoAssist: Álex Corredera17'
  2. 42'VARVAR: Victor Valverde da Silva
  3. 45'Substitution: Álex Rubio RoldánOff: Higinio Marín

HT 1-0

  1. 57'Substitution: Víctor San BartoloméOff: Agustin Medina Delgado
  2. Yellow card: Emanuel GularteFoul63'
  3. Substitution: Manuel Rodríguez PazOff: Hugo Guillamón70'
  4. Substitution: Enol Prendes OrtizOff: Pablo García70'
  5. 74'Substitution: Dani BernabéuOff: Mario Soberon Gutierrez
  6. Substitution: Alejo SarcoOff: Juan Otero78'
  7. 78'Substitution: Antonio Pacheco RuizOff: Javi Villar
  8. Substitution: Gaspar CamposOff: Bruno Rubio Argüelles78'
  9. Yellow card: Hugo GuillamónFoul80'
  10. Yellow card: Pablo GarcíaFoul83'
  11. 86'Goal: Jesús VallejoAssist: Victor Valverde da Silva
  12. Yellow card: Nicolás Ricardo LarcamónDissent88'
  13. 90+4'Yellow card: Diego MariñoTime Wasting
  14. Goal: César GelabertAssist: Pablo García90+5'

Our verdict

1X ✓

Sporting Gijon or draw

Bet365 1.25

77%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 2-1

Expected goals2.6

Win probability

1 · Sporting Gijon51%
Fair odds 1.96
X · Draw26%
Fair odds 3.85
2 · Albacete23%
Fair odds 4.35

Match statistics

  • 52%Possession48%
  • 0.71Expected goals (xG)0.45
  • 11Total shots7
  • 5Shots on target2
  • 2Shots off target4
  • 4Blocked shots1
  • 6Shots inside the box4
  • 3Corners5
  • 1Offsides4
  • 13Fouls16
  • 3Yellow cards1
  • 0Red cards0
  • 1Goalkeeper saves3
  • 493Passes446
  • 388Accurate passes344

Line-ups

Sporting Gijon

4-4-2

Starting XI

  1. 1Rubén YáñezG
  2. 2Guille RosasD
  3. 4E. GularteD
  4. 23Jorge SáenzD
  5. 44Andrés CuencaD
  6. 10César GelabertM
  7. 8M. RodriguezM
  8. 14Álex CorrederaM
  9. 7Gaspar CamposM
  10. 16A. SarcoF
  11. 27Enol PrendesF

Substitutes

  1. 35C. FerreresM
  2. 3Pablo GarcíaD
  3. 22Hugo GuillamónM
  4. 21M. LoumM
  5. 6Nacho MartínM
  6. 26Iker MartínezD
  7. 34Diego Matabuena ÁlvarezM
  8. 19J. OteroF
  9. 36B. RubioM
  10. 5Diego SánchezD
  11. 15Pablo VázquezD
  12. 13AranaG

Coach: N. Larcamón

Albacete

3-5-2

Starting XI

  1. 13Diego MariñoG
  2. 24VallejoD
  3. 22Lluís LópezD
  4. 21Carlos NevaD
  5. 17José CorpasM
  6. 14San BartoloméM
  7. 6Antonio PachecoM
  8. 18Sergio OrtuM
  9. 27D. BernabeuM
  10. 19Alex RubioF
  11. 11Víctor ValverdeF

Substitutes

  1. 2Lorenzo AguadoD
  2. 32A. AlbarracínF
  3. 40Jota DomingoD
  4. 10RóberF
  5. 12Higinio MarínF
  6. 1Carlos MarínG
  7. 4Agus MedinaM
  8. 44Antonio DavidM
  9. 30Mario RamosG
  10. 9Mario SoberónF
  11. 28A. VelillaD
  12. 8Javi VillarM

Coach: Joseba Etxeberria

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.63 – 1.02
0.5 goalsOver92.9%Under7.1%
1.5 goalsOver74.2%Under25.8%
2.5 goalsOver49.4%Under50.6%
3.5 goalsOver27.5%Under72.5%
4.5 goalsOver13.0%Under87.0%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

Sporting GijonAlbacete
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
62%Expected goals38%
69%Overall31%

Last matches

Newest first
Sporting Gijon0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Albacete0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Segunda División table

Segunda División table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Castellón12+1827
2Almeria12+1326
3Eibar12+723
4Granada CF12+623
5Sporting Gijon12022
6Girona12+1121
7Burgos12+421
8Mallorca11+719
9Oviedo11+318
10Sabadell12+117
11Cordoba12-316
12Tenerife11-214
13Eldense12-414
14Las Palmas11-514
15Celta de Vigo II12-513
16Valladolid11012
17Leganes11-912
18Real Sociedad II12-711
19Cadiz11010
20FC Andorra11-510
21Albacete12-137
22AD Ceuta FC12-175
See full table ›

Top scorers

Segunda División top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1Miguel de la FuenteAlmeria127
2A. MarinCelta de Vigo II127
3Enric GallegoTenerife107
4FuentesMallorca116
5Jordi CanoFC Andorra95

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatSporting GijonAlbacete
Played00
Wins00
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)00
Goals against (avg)00
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Match preview

Sporting Gijon host Albacete in the Segunda División (Regular Season - 10) at El Molinón-Enrique Castro Quini, Gijon, with kick-off on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 17:30 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Sporting Gijon favourites, giving Sporting Gijon a 51% chance of winning, 26% for the draw and 23% for Albacete. Our tip is: Sporting Gijon or draw.

On the goals markets, we expect a tighter game, with only a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Spain Segunda División
Date
Saturday, 17 October 2026, 17:30 WAT
Venue
El Molinón-Enrique Castro Quini, Gijon

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Sporting Gijon vs Albacete?

Sporting Gijon vs Albacete kicks off on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 17:30 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Sporting Gijon vs Albacete in?

The match is in the Spain Segunda División.

Where are Sporting Gijon and Albacete in the table?

Sporting Gijon are 5th and Albacete are 21st in the Segunda División.

Who will win Sporting Gijon vs Albacete?

Our prediction is Sporting Gijon or draw. Win probabilities: Sporting Gijon 51%, draw 26%, Albacete 23%.

Will both teams score in Sporting Gijon vs Albacete?

We estimate a 52% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Sporting Gijon vs Albacete?

We estimate a 49% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Under 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Segunda División on Sat 17 Oct

FTReal Sociedad II 2-4 AlmeriaX2 ✓FTEibar 1-1 Mallorca1X ✓

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