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Real Sociedad II vs Almeria prediction

Real Sociedad II vs Almeria prediction for the Segunda División on 17 Oct 2026: Almeria or draw (72%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Saturday17October 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
Segunda División · Regular Season - 10
Real Sociedad IINo recent gamesAlmeriaNo recent games
2 - 4Full time · Sat 17 OctHT 0-2
Estadio Ciudad Deportiva Zubieta, San Sebastian

Match events

Real Sociedad IIAlmeria
  1. 23'Goal: Brian CipengaAssist: Javier Muñoz Jiménez
  2. 30'Substitution: Daijiro ChirinoOff: Jon Morcillo
  3. Yellow card: Dani DiazFoul34'
  4. 37'Yellow card: Jorge PulidoFoul
  5. 38'Goal: Miguel De La Fuente

HT 0-2

  1. Yellow card: Javier SoroetaFoul49'
  2. 51'VARVAR: Javier Muñoz JiménezPenalty confirmed
  3. 54'Penalty goal: Sergio Arribas Calvo (pen)
  4. Goal: Lander AstiazaránAssist: Dani Diaz58'
  5. Substitution: Jon EceizabarrenaOff: Ibai Aguirre68'
  6. Substitution: Arkaitz MariezkurrenaOff: Gorka Gorosabel68'
  7. Substitution: Gorka Carrera ZarranzOff: Javier Soroeta68'
  8. 74'Substitution: Álex MuñozOff: Leonardo Lelo
  9. 74'Substitution: Brian CipengaOff: Nicolás Melamed Ribaudo
  10. Substitution: Dani DiazOff: Andrews Adjabeng81'
  11. 86'Substitution: Miguel De La FuenteOff: Léo Baptistão
  12. 86'Substitution: Sergio Arribas CalvoOff: Quim junyent
  13. Substitution: Iker CalderonOff: Sydney Osazuwa88'
  14. Goal: Arkaitz Mariezkurrena90+5'
  15. 90+6'Own goal: Inaki Ruperez (og)

Our verdict

X2 ✓

Almeria or draw

Bet365 1.30

72%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 2-4

Expected goals2.8

Win probability

1 · Real Sociedad II28%
Fair odds 3.57
X · Draw26%
Fair odds 3.85
2 · Almeria46%
Fair odds 2.17

Match statistics

  • 53%Possession47%
  • 1.59Expected goals (xG)1.91
  • 21Total shots7
  • 9Shots on target4
  • 7Shots off target3
  • 5Blocked shots0
  • 14Shots inside the box4
  • 10Corners2
  • 1Offsides0
  • 14Fouls12
  • 2Yellow cards1
  • 0Red cards0
  • 1Goalkeeper saves7
  • 483Passes447
  • 398Accurate passes361

Line-ups

Real Sociedad II

4-3-3

Starting XI

  1. 1Aitor FragaG
  2. 22RupérezD
  3. 15I. CalderonD
  4. 5K. KitaD
  5. 3Jon BaldaD
  6. 16Gorka GorosabelM
  7. 14Tomás CarbonellM
  8. 8Ibai AguirreM
  9. 7Dani DíazF
  10. 19Javier SoroetaF
  11. 17Lander AstiazaránF

Substitutes

  1. 34Andrews AdjabengF
  2. 18Gorka CarreraF
  3. 21Jon EceizabarrenaM
  4. 2Jon GarroD
  5. 10Arkaitz MariezkurrenaF
  6. 32Lander OlasagastiG
  7. 12J. OleagaM
  8. 20Sydney OsazuwaF
  9. 24A. UnaxD
  10. 23Unax AgoteD

Coach: Ion Ansotegi

Almeria

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1Andrés FernándezG
  2. 2Marcos LunaD
  3. 5Jorge PulidoD
  4. 18F. BoniniD
  5. 15Leonardo LeloD
  6. 29S. DžodićM
  7. 14Javi MuñozM
  8. 22D. ChirinoM
  9. 11Sergio ArribasM
  10. 17B. CipengaM
  11. 24Miguel de la FuenteF

Substitutes

  1. 23Adri EmbarbaF
  2. 9ThalysF
  3. 33Quim JunyentM
  4. 31Á. YaakobishviliG
  5. 20Álex SolaF
  6. 3Álex MuñozD
  7. 7Jon MorcilloF
  8. 10Nico MelamedM
  9. 13Fernando MartínezG
  10. 26K. KoneM
  11. 21ChumiD
  12. 12Léo BaptistãoF

Coach: Xavier García Pimienta

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.18 – 1.57
0.5 goalsOver93.6%Under6.4%
1.5 goalsOver76.0%Under24.0%
2.5 goalsOver51.9%Under48.1%
3.5 goalsOver29.7%Under70.3%
4.5 goalsOver14.5%Under85.5%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

Real Sociedad IIAlmeria
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
43%Expected goals57%
38%Overall62%

Last matches

Newest first
Real Sociedad II0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Almeria0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Segunda División table

Segunda División table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Castellón12+1827
2Almeria12+1326
3Eibar12+723
4Granada CF12+623
5Sporting Gijon12022
6Girona12+1121
7Burgos12+421
8Mallorca11+719
9Oviedo11+318
10Sabadell12+117
11Cordoba12-316
12Tenerife11-214
13Eldense12-414
14Las Palmas11-514
15Celta de Vigo II12-513
16Valladolid11012
17Leganes11-912
18Real Sociedad II12-711
19Cadiz11010
20FC Andorra11-510
21Albacete12-137
22AD Ceuta FC12-175
See full table ›

Top scorers

Segunda División top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1Miguel de la FuenteAlmeria127
2A. MarinCelta de Vigo II127
3Enric GallegoTenerife107
4FuentesMallorca116
5Jordi CanoFC Andorra95

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatReal Sociedad IIAlmeria
Played00
Wins00
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)00
Goals against (avg)00
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Match preview

Real Sociedad II host Almeria in the Segunda División (Regular Season - 10) at Estadio Ciudad Deportiva Zubieta, San Sebastian, with kick-off on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 13:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Almeria slight favourites, giving Real Sociedad II a 28% chance of winning, 26% for the draw and 46% for Almeria. Our tip is: Almeria or draw.

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 52% chance of over 2.5 and a 56% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Spain Segunda División
Date
Saturday, 17 October 2026, 13:00 WAT
Venue
Estadio Ciudad Deportiva Zubieta, San Sebastian

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Real Sociedad II vs Almeria?

Real Sociedad II vs Almeria kicks off on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 13:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Real Sociedad II vs Almeria in?

The match is in the Spain Segunda División.

Where are Real Sociedad II and Almeria in the table?

Real Sociedad II are 18th and Almeria are 2nd in the Segunda División.

Who will win Real Sociedad II vs Almeria?

Our prediction is Almeria or draw. Win probabilities: Real Sociedad II 28%, draw 26%, Almeria 46%.

Will both teams score in Real Sociedad II vs Almeria?

We estimate a 56% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Real Sociedad II vs Almeria?

We estimate a 52% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Segunda División on Sat 17 Oct

FTEibar 1-1 Mallorca1X ✓FTSporting Gijon 2-1 Albacete1X ✓

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