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Eibar vs Mallorca prediction

Eibar vs Mallorca prediction for the Segunda División on 17 Oct 2026: Eibar or draw (68%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Saturday17October 2026
EibarNo recent gamesMallorcaNo recent games
1 - 1Full time · Sat 17 OctHT 0-0
Estadio Municipal de Ipurua, Eibar

Match events

EibarMallorca
  1. 19'Yellow card: Antonio José Raíllo ArenasFoul
  2. Substitution: Javier Martón AnsóOff: Jon Bautista45'
  3. Substitution: Unai Elgezabal UdondoOff: Peru Nolaskoain45'

HT 0-0

  1. 52'Goal: Adrian FuentesAssist: Adrian Liso
  2. 54'Yellow card: Zito LuvumboFoul
  3. 63'Substitution: Guille FernándezOff: Pablo Torre
  4. Substitution: jon guruzetaOff: Pejiño66'
  5. 71'Substitution: Sergi DarderOff: Zito Luvumbo
  6. 71'Substitution: Antonio Latorre GruesoOff: Alberto Moreno
  7. Substitution: Ander Madariaga SusaetaOff: Lucas Nuñez Ramirez71'
  8. 73'Yellow card: Adrian FuentesFoul
  9. Substitution: Markel Arana MateoOff: Anaitz Arbilla76'
  10. 81'Red card: John DonaldViolent Conduct
  11. 83'Yellow card: Abdón PratsDissent
  12. 84'Substitution: Alex SalaOff: Miguel Calatayud García
  13. Missed penalty: Javier Martón Ansó84'
  14. 85'Substitution: Adrian FuentesOff: Adam Buksa
  15. Yellow card: Malcom AresDissent90+1'
  16. Penalty goal: Iván Gil (pen)90+4'

Our verdict

1X ✓

Eibar or draw

Bet365 1.40

68%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 1-1

Expected goals2.4

Win probability

1 · Eibar39%
Fair odds 2.56
X · Draw29%
Fair odds 3.45
2 · Mallorca32%
Fair odds 3.13

Match statistics

  • 53%Possession47%
  • 2.49Expected goals (xG)1.93
  • 13Total shots16
  • 6Shots on target5
  • 6Shots off target8
  • 1Blocked shots3
  • 8Shots inside the box8
  • 5Corners7
  • 1Offsides1
  • 8Fouls18
  • 1Yellow cards4
  • 0Red cards1
  • 4Goalkeeper saves5
  • 443Passes405
  • 370Accurate passes324

Line-ups

Eibar

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 13Jon MikelG
  2. 22Álvaro RodríguezD
  3. 4Unai ElgezabalD
  4. 23Anaitz ArbillaD
  5. 24Juan BernatD
  6. 8Ander MadariagaM
  7. 30Aleix GarridoM
  8. 7Malcom AduM
  9. 21Iván GilM
  10. 10Jon GuruzetaM
  11. 9Jon BautistaF

Substitutes

  1. 28Lucas NuñezM
  2. 11Jon MagunazelaiaM
  3. 20Javi MartónF
  4. 14OlaetxeaM
  5. 18M. AranaD
  6. 15Jair AmadorD
  7. 17PejiñoF
  8. 2Sergio CuberoD
  9. 3Imanol García de AlbénizD
  10. 27Elijah Gift Izobodo JohnF
  11. 1Luis LópezG
  12. 5Peru NolaskoainM

Coach: Jokin Arambarri

Mallorca

4-4-2

Starting XI

  1. 1Arnau TenasG
  2. 15John NwankwoD
  3. 24M. ValjentD
  4. 21RaílloD
  5. 5Alberto MorenoD
  6. 11Zito LuvumboM
  7. 7Álex SalaM
  8. 6Antonio SánchezM
  9. 33Adrian LisoM
  10. 18FuentesF
  11. 20Pablo TorreF

Substitutes

  1. 34M. CalatayudD
  2. 25Iván CuéllarG
  3. 10DarderM
  4. 2Guille FernándezM
  5. 30J. KalumbaF
  6. 3Toni LatoD
  7. 4David LópezD
  8. 9Abdón PratsF
  9. 22A. SouhmahoroD
  10. 16A. BuksaF
  11. 13L. BergströmG
  12. 19Josep CerdàF

Coach: Luis García

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.26 – 1.13
0.5 goalsOver90.8%Under9.2%
1.5 goalsOver68.9%Under31.1%
2.5 goalsOver42.8%Under57.2%
3.5 goalsOver21.9%Under78.1%
4.5 goalsOver9.5%Under90.5%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

EibarMallorca
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
53%Expected goals47%
55%Overall45%

Last matches

Newest first
Eibar0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Mallorca0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Segunda División table

Segunda División table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Castellón12+1827
2Almeria12+1326
3Eibar12+723
4Granada CF12+623
5Sporting Gijon12022
6Girona12+1121
7Burgos12+421
8Mallorca11+719
9Oviedo11+318
10Sabadell12+117
11Cordoba12-316
12Tenerife11-214
13Eldense12-414
14Las Palmas11-514
15Celta de Vigo II12-513
16Valladolid11012
17Leganes11-912
18Real Sociedad II12-711
19Cadiz11010
20FC Andorra11-510
21Albacete12-137
22AD Ceuta FC12-175
See full table ›

Top scorers

Segunda División top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1Miguel de la FuenteAlmeria127
2A. MarinCelta de Vigo II127
3Enric GallegoTenerife107
4FuentesMallorca116
5Jordi CanoFC Andorra95

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatEibarMallorca
Played00
Wins00
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)00
Goals against (avg)00
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Match preview

Eibar host Mallorca in the Segunda División (Regular Season - 10) at Estadio Municipal de Ipurua, Eibar, with kick-off on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 15:15 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Eibar narrow favourites, giving Eibar a 39% chance of winning, 29% for the draw and 32% for Mallorca. Our tip is: Eibar or draw.

On the goals markets, we expect a tighter game, with only a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Spain Segunda División
Date
Saturday, 17 October 2026, 15:15 WAT
Venue
Estadio Municipal de Ipurua, Eibar

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Eibar vs Mallorca?

Eibar vs Mallorca kicks off on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 15:15 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Eibar vs Mallorca in?

The match is in the Spain Segunda División.

Where are Eibar and Mallorca in the table?

Eibar are 3rd and Mallorca are 8th in the Segunda División.

Who will win Eibar vs Mallorca?

Our prediction is Eibar or draw. Win probabilities: Eibar 39%, draw 29%, Mallorca 32%.

Will both teams score in Eibar vs Mallorca?

We estimate a 49% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is No.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Eibar vs Mallorca?

We estimate a 43% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Under 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Segunda División on Sat 17 Oct

FTReal Sociedad II 2-4 AlmeriaX2 ✓FTSporting Gijon 2-1 Albacete1X ✓

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