Match events
- 19'Yellow card: Antonio José Raíllo ArenasFoul
- Substitution: Javier Martón AnsóOff: Jon Bautista45'
- Substitution: Unai Elgezabal UdondoOff: Peru Nolaskoain45'
HT 0-0
- 52'Goal: Adrian FuentesAssist: Adrian Liso
- 54'Yellow card: Zito LuvumboFoul
- 63'Substitution: Guille FernándezOff: Pablo Torre
- Substitution: jon guruzetaOff: Pejiño66'
- 71'Substitution: Sergi DarderOff: Zito Luvumbo
- 71'Substitution: Antonio Latorre GruesoOff: Alberto Moreno
- Substitution: Ander Madariaga SusaetaOff: Lucas Nuñez Ramirez71'
- 73'Yellow card: Adrian FuentesFoul
- Substitution: Markel Arana MateoOff: Anaitz Arbilla76'
- 81'Red card: John DonaldViolent Conduct
- 83'Yellow card: Abdón PratsDissent
- 84'Substitution: Alex SalaOff: Miguel Calatayud García
- Missed penalty: Javier Martón Ansó84'
- 85'Substitution: Adrian FuentesOff: Adam Buksa
- Yellow card: Malcom AresDissent90+1'
- Penalty goal: Iván Gil (pen)90+4'
Our verdict
Eibar or draw
Bet365 1.40
✓ This tip was correct · final score 1-1
Win probability
Match statistics
- 53%Possession47%
- 2.49Expected goals (xG)1.93
- 13Total shots16
- 6Shots on target5
- 6Shots off target8
- 1Blocked shots3
- 8Shots inside the box8
- 5Corners7
- 1Offsides1
- 8Fouls18
- 1Yellow cards4
- 0Red cards1
- 4Goalkeeper saves5
- 443Passes405
- 370Accurate passes324
Line-ups
Eibar
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 13Jon MikelG
- 22Álvaro RodríguezD
- 4Unai ElgezabalD
- 23Anaitz ArbillaD
- 24Juan BernatD
- 8Ander MadariagaM
- 30Aleix GarridoM
- 7Malcom AduM
- 21Iván GilM
- 10Jon GuruzetaM
- 9Jon BautistaF
Substitutes
- 28Lucas NuñezM
- 11Jon MagunazelaiaM
- 20Javi MartónF
- 14OlaetxeaM
- 18M. AranaD
- 15Jair AmadorD
- 17PejiñoF
- 2Sergio CuberoD
- 3Imanol García de AlbénizD
- 27Elijah Gift Izobodo JohnF
- 1Luis LópezG
- 5Peru NolaskoainM
Coach: Jokin Arambarri
Mallorca
4-4-2Starting XI
- 1Arnau TenasG
- 15John NwankwoD
- 24M. ValjentD
- 21RaílloD
- 5Alberto MorenoD
- 11Zito LuvumboM
- 7Álex SalaM
- 6Antonio SánchezM
- 33Adrian LisoM
- 18FuentesF
- 20Pablo TorreF
Substitutes
- 34M. CalatayudD
- 25Iván CuéllarG
- 10DarderM
- 2Guille FernándezM
- 30J. KalumbaF
- 3Toni LatoD
- 4David LópezD
- 9Abdón PratsF
- 22A. SouhmahoroD
- 16A. BuksaF
- 13L. BergströmG
- 19Josep CerdàF
Coach: Luis García
Betting markets
Expected goals 1.26 – 1.13Half time / full time result. 1 = Eibar, X = draw, 2 = Mallorca.
Asian handicap applied to Eibar.
Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.
Model comparison
Last matches
Newest firstSegunda División table
| # | Team | P | +/- | Pts | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Castellón | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | +18 | 27 | DWWLD |
| 2 | Almeria | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | +13 | 26 | DDWWW |
| 3 | Eibar | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +7 | 23 | DLDLW |
| 4 | Granada CF | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +6 | 23 | WWWWW |
| 5 | Sporting Gijon | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 22 | WLWWW |
| 6 | Girona | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | +11 | 21 | LWWDD |
| 7 | Burgos | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | +4 | 21 | DWWLL |
| 8 | Mallorca | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | +7 | 19 | DDWDL |
| 9 | Oviedo | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 18 | DWWLW |
| 10 | Sabadell | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | +1 | 17 | LDLWD |
| 11 | Cordoba | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | -3 | 16 | DWWLW |
| 12 | Tenerife | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | -2 | 14 | DDDLD |
| 13 | Eldense | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 14 | LLWWW |
| 14 | Las Palmas | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 14 | WLLDL |
| 15 | Celta de Vigo II | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -5 | 13 | DLDWL |
| 16 | Valladolid | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 12 | LLWDW |
| 17 | Leganes | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -9 | 12 | DLLLL |
| 18 | Real Sociedad II | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -7 | 11 | WLLLL |
| 19 | Cadiz | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 10 | WLLWD |
| 20 | FC Andorra | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -5 | 10 | LLWDW |
| 21 | Albacete | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | -13 | 7 | WWLLL |
| 22 | AD Ceuta FC | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | -17 | 5 | LLLLD |
Top scorers
| # | Player | M | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 7 | |
| 2 | 12 | 7 | |
| 3 | 10 | 7 | |
| 4 | 11 | 6 | |
| 5 | 9 | 5 |
Season statistics
This season, all competitions we cover| Stat | Eibar | Mallorca |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 0 | 0 |
| Wins | 0 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
| Goals for (avg) | 0 | 0 |
| Goals against (avg) | 0 | 0 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 |
| Best win streak | 0 | 0 |
Match preview
Eibar host Mallorca in the Segunda División (Regular Season - 10) at Estadio Municipal de Ipurua, Eibar, with kick-off on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 15:15 WAT.
Our prediction model makes Eibar narrow favourites, giving Eibar a 39% chance of winning, 29% for the draw and 32% for Mallorca. Our tip is: Eibar or draw.
On the goals markets, we expect a tighter game, with only a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance that both teams score.
- Competition
- Spain Segunda División
- Date
- Saturday, 17 October 2026, 15:15 WAT
- Venue
- Estadio Municipal de Ipurua, Eibar
TodaysPrediction analysis team
Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work
Quick answers
When is Eibar vs Mallorca?
Eibar vs Mallorca kicks off on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 15:15 West Africa Time.
Which competition is Eibar vs Mallorca in?
The match is in the Spain Segunda División.
Where are Eibar and Mallorca in the table?
Eibar are 3rd and Mallorca are 8th in the Segunda División.
Who will win Eibar vs Mallorca?
Our prediction is Eibar or draw. Win probabilities: Eibar 39%, draw 29%, Mallorca 32%.
Will both teams score in Eibar vs Mallorca?
We estimate a 49% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is No.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Eibar vs Mallorca?
We estimate a 43% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Under 2.5 goals.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.
How often are predictions updated?
Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

