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Sevilla vs Osasuna prediction

Sevilla vs Osasuna prediction for the La Liga on 26 Oct 2026: Sevilla or draw (78%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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SevillaOsasuna
2 - 0Full time · Mon 26 OctHT 1-0
Estadio Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán, Seville

Match events

SevillaOsasuna
  1. Goal: Isaac RomeroAssist: Youssouf Fofana24'
  2. 29'Yellow card: Alejandro CatenaFoul

HT 1-0

  1. Yellow card: Isaac RomeroDissent55'
  2. 63'Substitution: Raul MoroOff: Rubén García
  3. 63'Substitution: Raul GarcíaOff: Jonathan Dubasin
  4. Substitution: Lucas StassinOff: Robbie Ure63'
  5. 68'Yellow card: Valentin RosierFoul
  6. Substitution: Chidera EjukeOff: Rubén Vargas71'
  7. Substitution: Isaac RomeroOff: Manuel Bueno Sebastián71'
  8. 79'Substitution: Asier OsambelaOff: Lucas Torró
  9. 79'Substitution: Enrique Barja AlfonsoOff: Moi Gómez
  10. 79'Substitution: Valentin RosierOff: Íñigo Arguibide
  11. Goal: Felix CorreiaAssist: Youssouf Fofana82'
  12. Substitution: Felix CorreiaOff: José Ángel Carmona86'

Our verdict

1X ✓

Sevilla or draw

Bet365 1.20

78%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 2-0

Expected goals2.5

Win probability

1 · Sevilla51%
Fair odds 1.96
X · Draw27%
Fair odds 3.70
2 · Osasuna22%
Fair odds 4.55

Match statistics

  • 44%Possession56%
  • 1.18Expected goals (xG)0.79
  • 17Total shots10
  • 7Shots on target2
  • 7Shots off target4
  • 3Blocked shots4
  • 9Shots inside the box6
  • 7Corners4
  • 0Offsides1
  • 11Fouls8
  • 1Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0
  • 2Goalkeeper saves5
  • 405Passes500
  • 318Accurate passes422

Line-ups

Sevilla

4-4-2

Starting XI

  1. 1O. VlachodimosG
  2. 2Juan IglesiasD
  3. 5Andrés CastrínD
  4. 4Kike SalasD
  5. 17G. SuazoD
  6. 21C. EjukeM
  7. 6L. AgouméM
  8. 24Y. FofanaM
  9. 20Félix CorreiaM
  10. 16IsaacF
  11. 19L. StassinF

Substitutes

  1. 22José Ángel CarmonaD
  2. 3Julio Díaz del RomoD
  3. 10Peque FernándezF
  4. 7Alfon GonzálezF
  5. 13Fran GonzálezG
  6. 18Jon GuridiM
  7. 8G. KochorashviliM
  8. 15Fábio CardosoD
  9. 12A. SanganteD
  10. 9R. UreF
  11. 11R. VargasM
  12. 14Manu BuenoM

Coach: Luis García

Osasuna

4-3-3

Starting XI

  1. 13Aitor FernándezG
  2. 19V. RosierD
  3. 24CatenaD
  4. 22F. BoyomoD
  5. 23Abel BretonesD
  6. 7MoncayolaM
  7. 6Lucas TorróM
  8. 16Moi GómezM
  9. 14Rubén GarcíaF
  10. 17A. BudimirF
  11. 21Jonathan DubasinF

Substitutes

  1. 1Sergio HerreraG
  2. 31Rafa FernándezG
  3. 27Íñigo ArguibideD
  4. 35U. SantosD
  5. 29Asier OsambelaM
  6. 48R. YeboahD
  7. 15Diego RicoD
  8. 26Mauro EchegoyenM
  9. 18Raul MoroF
  10. 8Iker MuñozM
  11. 9Raúl GarcíaF
  12. 11Kike BarjaF

Coach: Arrasate

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.57 – 0.96
0.5 goalsOver92.0%Under8.0%
1.5 goalsOver71.9%Under28.1%
2.5 goalsOver46.4%Under53.6%
3.5 goalsOver24.9%Under75.1%
4.5 goalsOver11.3%Under88.7%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

SevillaOsasuna
0%Form100%
33%Attack67%
5%Defence95%
50%Head to head50%
62%Expected goals38%
70%Overall30%

Last matches

Newest first

La Liga table

La Liga table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Barcelona11+3430
2Atletico Madrid11+1428
3Real Madrid11+1827
4Real Betis11+323
5Real Sociedad11019
6Sevilla11-217
7Athletic Club10+415
8Villarreal11012
9Celta Vigo11012
10Alaves11-212
11Rayo Vallecano10-512
12Getafe11-812
13Deportivo La Coruna10011
14Espanyol11-111
15Osasuna10-1011
16Racing Santander11-1411
17Elche11-410
18Levante11-510
19Valencia11-99
20Malaga11-135
See full table ›

Top scorers

La Liga top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1RaphinhaBarcelona1015
2Kylian MbappéReal Madrid1112
3Lamine YamalBarcelona1110
4M. ZabiriRacing Santander118
5Sergio CamelloRayo Vallecano117

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatSevillaOsasuna
Played11
Wins01
Draws00
Losses10
Goals for (avg)12
Goals against (avg)40
Clean sheets01
Failed to score00
Best win streak01

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 1 games went over the line

Over 1.51/11/1
Over 2.51/10/1
Over 3.51/10/1
BTTS – yes1/10/1

Match preview

Sevilla host Osasuna in the La Liga (Regular Season - 10) at Estadio Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán, Seville, with kick-off on Monday, 26 October 2026 at 21:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Sevilla favourites, giving Sevilla a 51% chance of winning, 27% for the draw and 22% for Osasuna. Our tip is: Sevilla or draw.

Sevilla have taken 0 points from their last 1 games (0W 0D 1L). Osasuna have taken 3 points from their last 1 games (1W 0D 0L).

On the goals markets, we expect a tighter game, with only a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Spain La Liga
Date
Monday, 26 October 2026, 21:00 WAT
Venue
Estadio Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán, Seville

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Sevilla vs Osasuna?

Sevilla vs Osasuna kicks off on Monday, 26 October 2026 at 21:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Sevilla vs Osasuna in?

The match is in the Spain La Liga.

Where are Sevilla and Osasuna in the table?

Sevilla are 6th and Osasuna are 15th in the La Liga.

Who will win Sevilla vs Osasuna?

Our prediction is Sevilla or draw. Win probabilities: Sevilla 51%, draw 27%, Osasuna 22%.

Will both teams score in Sevilla vs Osasuna?

We estimate a 49% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is No.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Sevilla vs Osasuna?

We estimate a 46% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Under 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

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