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Saint Etienne vs Nantes prediction

Saint Etienne vs Nantes prediction for the Ligue 2 on 24 Oct 2026: Over 1.5 (78%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Saturday24October 2026
Saint EtienneNantes
1 - 0Full time · Sat 24 OctHT 0-0
Stade Geoffroy-Guichard, Saint Etienne

Match events

Saint EtienneNantes
  1. 10'Substitution: Thomas RobinetOff: Killian Corredor
  2. 45+2'Yellow card: Kelvin AmianFoul

HT 0-0

  1. Yellow card: Augustine BoakyeFoul53'
  2. 58'Yellow card: Fode DoucoureFoul
  3. 60'Substitution: Fode DoucoureOff: Fabien Centonze
  4. 60'Substitution: Ibrahima SissokoOff: Louis Leroux
  5. 62'Yellow card: Johann LepenantFoul
  6. Substitution: Ben OldOff: Chico Lamba64'
  7. Substitution: Irvin CardonaOff: Thierno Ballo64'
  8. 83'Substitution: Igniatius GanagoOff: Antoine Joujou
  9. 83'Substitution: Killian CorredorOff: Mathieu Cafaro
  10. Substitution: Zuriko DavitashviliOff: Joshua Duffus83'
  11. Substitution: Maxime BernauerOff: Mahmoud Jaber84'
  12. 88'Yellow card: Ryad HachemArgument
  13. Yellow card: Jakob BreumArgument88'
  14. Goal: Augustine BoakyeAssist: Mahmoud Jaber90'
  15. Substitution: Augustine BoakyeOff: Nadir El Jamali90+7'
  16. Yellow card: Joshua DuffusFoul90+9'

Our verdict

Over 1.5 ✗

Over 1.5

Bet365 1.25

78%

✗ This tip lost · final score 1-0

Expected goals2.9

Win probability

1 · Saint Etienne56%
Fair odds 1.79
X · Draw24%
Fair odds 4.17
2 · Nantes20%
Fair odds 5.00

Match statistics

  • 65%Possession35%
  • 0.84Expected goals (xG)0.30
  • 11Total shots4
  • 3Shots on target2
  • 4Shots off target1
  • 4Blocked shots1
  • 6Shots inside the box3
  • 7Corners6
  • 5Offsides2
  • 11Fouls17
  • 3Yellow cards4
  • 0Red cards0
  • 2Goalkeeper saves2
  • 641Passes340
  • 561Accurate passes253

Line-ups

Saint Etienne

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1Mamour NdiayeG
  2. 13João FerreiraD
  3. 23K. PedroD
  4. 26J. Le CardinalD
  5. 11B. OldD
  6. 14Á. CsongvaiM
  7. 6M. BernauerM
  8. 20A. BoakyeM
  9. 10J. BreumM
  10. 22Z. DavitashviliM
  11. 7I. CardonaF

Substitutes

  1. 32Adam BaallalM
  2. 37N. Kasia NkondoD
  3. 5M. JaberM
  4. 40L. LavalléeG
  5. 17J. DuffusF
  6. 15Chico LambaD
  7. 31N. El JamaliM
  8. 46E. DhaouiM
  9. 8T. BalloF

Coach: Ian Cathro

Nantes

5-3-2

Starting XI

  1. 30P. CarlgrenG
  2. 13F. DoucouréD
  3. 24F. GuilbertD
  4. 4S. SowD
  5. 98K. AmianD
  6. 26R. HachemD
  7. 44B. PierretM
  8. 28I. SissokoM
  9. 8J. LepenantM
  10. 37I. GanagoF
  11. 27T. RobinetF

Substitutes

  1. 23W. YounoussaM
  2. 20M. CafaroM
  3. 18F. CentonzeD
  4. 75A. CherniD
  5. 12K. CorredorF
  6. 1M. DupéG
  7. 7A. JoujouF
  8. 19Louis LerouxM
  9. 5L. PerrinD

Coach: Grégory Poirier

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.83 – 1.02
0.5 goalsOver94.2%Under5.8%
1.5 goalsOver77.7%Under22.3%
2.5 goalsOver54.2%Under45.8%
3.5 goalsOver31.9%Under68.1%
4.5 goalsOver16.0%Under84.0%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

Saint EtienneNantes
100%Form0%
33%Attack67%
94%Defence6%
50%Head to head50%
64%Expected goals36%
74%Overall26%

Last matches

Newest first

Ligue 2 table

Ligue 2 table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Saint Etienne10+1525
2Montpellier10+721
3PAU11+520
4Nancy10+419
5Reims10+818
6RED Star FC 9310+117
7Annecy10+216
8Dijon11+115
9Metz11014
10Rodez11-513
11Dunkerque11-312
12Guingamp10-211
13Sochaux10-411
14Boulogne11-110
15Nantes11-69
16Laval11-79
17Clermont Foot11-58
18Grenoble11-108
See full table ›

Top scorers

Ligue 2 top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1Y. FofanaReims108
2P. FallMetz108
3A. BoakyeSaint Etienne106
4I. CardonaSaint Etienne105
5T. BalloSaint Etienne105

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatSaint EtienneNantes
Played11
Wins10
Draws00
Losses01
Goals for (avg)12
Goals against (avg)03
Clean sheets10
Failed to score00
Best win streak10

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 1 games went over the line

Over 1.50/11/1
Over 2.50/11/1
Over 3.50/11/1
BTTS – yes0/11/1

Match preview

Saint Etienne host Nantes in the Ligue 2 (Regular Season - 10) at Stade Geoffroy-Guichard, Saint Etienne, with kick-off on Saturday, 24 October 2026 at 19:45 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Saint Etienne favourites, giving Saint Etienne a 56% chance of winning, 24% for the draw and 20% for Nantes. Our tip is: Over 1.5.

Saint Etienne have taken 3 points from their last 1 games (1W 0D 0L). Nantes have taken 0 points from their last 1 games (0W 0D 1L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 54% chance of over 2.5 and a 54% chance that both teams score.

Competition
France Ligue 2
Date
Saturday, 24 October 2026, 19:45 WAT
Venue
Stade Geoffroy-Guichard, Saint Etienne

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Saint Etienne vs Nantes?

Saint Etienne vs Nantes kicks off on Saturday, 24 October 2026 at 19:45 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Saint Etienne vs Nantes in?

The match is in the France Ligue 2.

Where are Saint Etienne and Nantes in the table?

Saint Etienne are 1st and Nantes are 15th in the Ligue 2.

Who will win Saint Etienne vs Nantes?

Our prediction is Over 1.5. Win probabilities: Saint Etienne 56%, draw 24%, Nantes 20%.

Will both teams score in Saint Etienne vs Nantes?

We estimate a 54% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Saint Etienne vs Nantes?

We estimate a 54% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Ligue 2 on Sat 24 Oct

FTDijon 1-2 Rodez1X ✗

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