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BFC Daugavpils vs Auda prediction

BFC Daugavpils vs Auda prediction for the Virsliga on 19 Oct 2026: Auda or draw (72%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Monday19October 2026
Yesterday: 28/42 correct(67%)
Virsliga · Regular Season - 33
BFC DaugavpilsNo recent gamesAudaNo recent games
2 - 1Full time · Mon 19 OctHT 1-0
Celtnieks, Daugavpils

Match events

BFC DaugavpilsAuda
  1. Goal: Daniel KiwindaAssist: Ervins pinaskins1'
  2. 31'Yellow card: hussaini ibrahim

HT 1-0

  1. 53'Penalty goal: Andrews Appiah (pen)
  2. Goal: Ervins pinaskinsAssist: Daniel Kiwinda57'
  3. 67'Substitution: Mahamoud FofanaOff: Eduards Daskevics
  4. 67'Substitution: Jevgenijs MiņinsOff: Mohamed Fofana
  5. 67'Substitution: Alvis JaunzemsOff: Alexander Olabanjo Ogunji
  6. 67'Substitution: Wally FofanaOff: Edvin Bongemba
  7. 74'Yellow card: Tin Hrvoj
  8. Substitution: Kader abdoul traoreOff: Doukumo Ayebadiepreye82'
  9. 83'Substitution: ralfs kragliksOff: Moussa ouedraogo

Our verdict

X2 ✗

Auda or draw

Bet365 1.28

72%

✗ This tip lost · final score 2-1

Expected goals2.9

Win probability

1 · BFC Daugavpils28%
Fair odds 3.57
X · Draw25%
Fair odds 4.00
2 · Auda47%
Fair odds 2.13

Match statistics

  • 44%Possession56%
  • 1.08Expected goals (xG)2.53
  • 7Total shots15
  • 5Shots on target4
  • 2Shots off target10
  • 0Blocked shots1
  • 5Shots inside the box10
  • 3Corners2
  • 4Offsides2
  • 9Fouls15
  • 0Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0
  • 3Goalkeeper saves3
  • 319Passes515
  • 197Accurate passes409

Line-ups

BFC Daugavpils

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 12J. BeksG
  2. 37Gļebs MihaļcovsD
  3. 5Omar GningueD
  4. 20Ceti Junior Taty TchibindaM
  5. 34Z. Ouled-Haj-M'hand
  6. 8R. SkrebelsM
  7. 4W. MukwelleF
  8. 11J. YakubuM
  9. 19E. PinaskinsF
  10. 9A. TraoreF
  11. 97D. KiwindaF

Substitutes

  1. 58Vladislavs RazumejevsG
  2. 42A. Saveljevs
  3. 77R. AizupsD
  4. 3D. AyebadiepreyeF
  5. 6Ņ. BarkovskisM
  6. 66K. BujanovsD
  7. 33D. CucursD
  8. 27M. KopilovsF
  9. 2nikita ogijenkoM

Coach: K. Kurbatovs

Auda

4-1-4-1

Starting XI

  1. 1R. StūriņšG
  2. 2T. HrvojD
  3. 6R. KragliksD
  4. 3D. BalodisD
  5. 66A. JaunzemsD
  6. 14H. IbrahimM
  7. 23M. FofanaF
  8. 10W. FofanaM
  9. 77J. MiņinsF
  10. 46J. GeroldF
  11. 7A. AppiahF

Substitutes

  1. 80S. ArandaD
  2. 21R. BocsF
  3. 8E. BongembaM
  4. 17E. DašķevičsF
  5. 42M. FofanaM
  6. 22O. OgunjiD
  7. 4M. OuedraogoD
  8. 20Youba TraoreM
  9. 12N. AleksandrovsG

Coach: Didier Zanetti

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.23 – 1.66
0.5 goalsOver94.4%Under5.6%
1.5 goalsOver78.4%Under21.6%
2.5 goalsOver55.2%Under44.8%
3.5 goalsOver32.8%Under67.2%
4.5 goalsOver16.7%Under83.3%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

BFC DaugavpilsAuda
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
43%Expected goals57%
37%Overall63%

Last matches

Newest first
BFC Daugavpils0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Auda0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Virsliga table

Virsliga table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Rīgas FS3+99
2BFC Daugavpils2+26
3FK Liepaja2+34
4Riga1+33
5Auda2+23
6Tukums2-21
7Grobiņa1-30
8Ogre United1-30
9FS Jelgava2-40
10Super Nova2-70
See full table ›

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatBFC DaugavpilsAuda
Played00
Wins00
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)00
Goals against (avg)00
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Match preview

BFC Daugavpils host Auda in the Virsliga (Regular Season - 33) at Celtnieks, Daugavpils, with kick-off on Monday, 19 October 2026 at 16:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Auda slight favourites, giving BFC Daugavpils a 28% chance of winning, 25% for the draw and 47% for Auda. Our tip is: Auda or draw.

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 55% chance of over 2.5 and a 58% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Latvia Virsliga
Date
Monday, 19 October 2026, 16:00 WAT
Venue
Celtnieks, Daugavpils

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is BFC Daugavpils vs Auda?

BFC Daugavpils vs Auda kicks off on Monday, 19 October 2026 at 16:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is BFC Daugavpils vs Auda in?

The match is in the Latvia Virsliga.

Where are BFC Daugavpils and Auda in the table?

BFC Daugavpils are 2nd and Auda are 5th in the Virsliga.

Who will win BFC Daugavpils vs Auda?

Our prediction is Auda or draw. Win probabilities: BFC Daugavpils 28%, draw 25%, Auda 47%.

Will both teams score in BFC Daugavpils vs Auda?

We estimate a 58% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in BFC Daugavpils vs Auda?

We estimate a 55% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Virsliga on Mon 19 Oct

FTRīgas FS 2-0 TukumsOver 2.5 ✗

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