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Philadelphia Union vs Charlotte prediction

Philadelphia Union vs Charlotte prediction for the Major League Soccer on 17 Oct 2026: Philadelphia Union to win (61%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Saturday17October 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 30
Philadelphia UnionNo recent gamesCharlotteNo recent games
2 - 2Full time · Sat 17 OctHT 1-0
Talen Energy Stadium, Philadelphia

Match events

Philadelphia UnionCharlotte
  1. 19'Yellow card: Allan Saint-MaximinFoul
  2. Penalty goal: Milan Iloski (pen)24'
  3. 44'Yellow card: Morrison AgyemangFoul
  4. 45+1'Yellow card: David SchneggFoul

HT 1-0

  1. 48'Goal: Rodolfo AlokoAssist: Idan Toklomati Jorno
  2. Substitution: Indiana VassilevOff: Quinn Sullivan55'
  3. 62'Goal: Idan Toklomati JornoAssist: David Schnegg
  4. Goal: Bruno DamianiAssist: Danley Jean Jacques73'
  5. Substitution: Bruno DamianiOff: Malik Jakupovic82'
  6. 83'Substitution: Allan Saint-MaximinOff: Liel Abada
  7. 83'Substitution: Djibril DianiOff: Luca De La Torre
  8. 83'Substitution: David SchneggOff: Harry Toffolo
  9. 90+12'Substitution: Rodolfo AlokoOff: Tyger Smalls

Our verdict

1 ✗

Philadelphia Union to win

Bet365 1.50

61%

✗ This tip lost · final score 2-2

Expected goals3.5

Win probability

1 · Philadelphia Union61%
Fair odds 1.64
X · Draw20%
Fair odds 5.00
2 · Charlotte19%
Fair odds 5.26

Match statistics

  • 41%Possession59%
  • 2.64Expected goals (xG)1.63
  • 21Total shots13
  • 5Shots on target3
  • 9Shots off target6
  • 7Blocked shots4
  • 12Shots inside the box10
  • 7Corners1
  • 2Offsides0
  • 17Fouls15
  • 0Yellow cards3
  • 0Red cards0
  • 1Goalkeeper saves3
  • 301Passes459
  • 225Accurate passes372

Line-ups

Philadelphia Union

4-4-2

Starting XI

  1. 18A. BlakeG
  2. 39F. WestfieldD
  3. 44Neil PierreD
  4. 26N. HarrielD
  5. 27K. WagnerD
  6. 6Cavan SullivanM
  7. 21D. Jean-JacquesM
  8. 4J. LukićM
  9. 19I. VassilevM
  10. 9B. DamianiF
  11. 10M. IloskiF

Substitutes

  1. 14J. RafanelloM
  2. 51M. JakupovicF
  3. 16B. BenderM
  4. 11A. BedoyaM
  5. 5J. Sery LarsenD
  6. 76A. RickG
  7. 33Q. SullivanM
  8. 28A. AnelloF
  9. 23E. AlladohF

Coach: Ryan Richter

Charlotte

4-3-3

Starting XI

  1. 1K. KahlinaG
  2. 14N. ByrneD
  3. 44M. AgyemangD
  4. 22H. KesslerD
  5. 23D. SchneggD
  6. 28D. DianiM
  7. 8A. WestwoodM
  8. 16Pep BielM
  9. 37R. AlokoF
  10. 9I. Toklomati GiornoF
  11. 10A. Saint-MaximinF

Substitutes

  1. 13B. BronicoM
  2. 35Will ClearyD
  3. 17L. de la TorreM
  4. 21T. MillerG
  5. 4A. PrivettD
  6. 3T. ReamD
  7. 25Tyger SmallsF
  8. 15H. ToffoloD
  9. 11L. AbadaF

Coach: D. Smith

Betting markets

Expected goals 2.31 – 1.23
0.5 goalsOver97.1%Under2.9%
1.5 goalsOver86.8%Under13.2%
2.5 goalsOver68.6%Under31.4%
3.5 goalsOver47.2%Under52.8%
4.5 goalsOver28.2%Under71.8%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

Philadelphia UnionCharlotte
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
65%Expected goals35%
76%Overall24%

Last matches

Newest first
Philadelphia Union0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Charlotte0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Major League Soccer table

Major League Soccer table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Vancouver Whitecaps32+3458
1Nashville SC32+4371
2FC Dallas33+955
2New England Revolution32+1058
3San Jose Earthquakes33+852
3Inter Miami32+2056
4St. Louis City33+1051
4Chicago Fire33+1155
5Houston Dynamo32+351
5Charlotte33+1553
6Los Angeles FC32+1547
6Philadelphia Union33+1147
7Los Angeles Galaxy33-644
7FC Cincinnati33-646
8Colorado Rapids33-143
8Columbus Crew33+644
9Seattle Sounders32+143
9Orlando City SC33-1643
10Real Salt Lake33042
10New York Red Bulls32-1639
11Portland Timbers32-340
11New York City FC33+339
12San Diego33-538
12Toronto FC32-1039
13Minnesota United FC32-638
13DC United33-2133
14Austin33-2134
14Atlanta United FC32-1630
15Sporting Kansas City33-4223
15CF Montreal33-3026
See full table ›

Top scorers

Major League Soccer top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1L. MessiInter Miami2925
2P. MusaFC Dallas2922
3Rafael NavarroSt. Louis City3319
4M. IloskiPhiladelphia Union3119
5D. BouangaLos Angeles FC3018

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatPhiladelphia UnionCharlotte
Played00
Wins00
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)00
Goals against (avg)00
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Match preview

Philadelphia Union host Charlotte in the Major League Soccer (Regular Season - 30) at Talen Energy Stadium, Philadelphia, with kick-off on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 19:30 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Philadelphia Union favourites, giving Philadelphia Union a 61% chance of winning, 20% for the draw and 19% for Charlotte. Our tip is: Philadelphia Union to win.

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 69% chance of over 2.5 and a 64% chance that both teams score.

Competition
USA Major League Soccer
Date
Saturday, 17 October 2026, 19:30 WAT
Venue
Talen Energy Stadium, Philadelphia

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Philadelphia Union vs Charlotte?

Philadelphia Union vs Charlotte kicks off on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 19:30 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Philadelphia Union vs Charlotte in?

The match is in the USA Major League Soccer.

Where are Philadelphia Union and Charlotte in the table?

Philadelphia Union are 6th and Charlotte are 5th in the Major League Soccer.

Who will win Philadelphia Union vs Charlotte?

Our prediction is Philadelphia Union to win. Win probabilities: Philadelphia Union 61%, draw 20%, Charlotte 19%.

Will both teams score in Philadelphia Union vs Charlotte?

We estimate a 64% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Philadelphia Union vs Charlotte?

We estimate a 69% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

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