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Minnesota United FC vs St. Louis City prediction

Minnesota United FC vs St. Louis City prediction for the Major League Soccer on 17 Oct 2026: Minnesota United FC or draw (63%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Saturday17October 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 30
Minnesota United FCNo recent gamesSt. Louis CityNo recent games
3 - 2Full time · Sat 17 OctHT 0-2
Allianz Field, Sao Paulo

Match events

Minnesota United FCSt. Louis City
  1. 4'Goal: Rafael Navarro Leal
  2. 10'Goal: Sang-bin JungAssist: Rafael Navarro Leal
  3. Yellow card: Aziel JacksonFoul24'
  4. 26'Yellow card: Miguel PerezFoul
  5. 45'Substitution: Dante PolvaraOff: Daniel Edelman
  6. 45'Substitution: Tomas TotlandOff: Rafael Santos

HT 0-2

  1. Goal: Aziel JacksonAssist: Kelvin Yeboah49'
  2. 51'Yellow card: Sang-bin JungFoul
  3. Goal: Kelvin YeboahAssist: Mauricio González Carabalí68'
  4. 69'Substitution: Simon BecherOff: Damion Downs
  5. 69'Substitution: Sang-bin JungOff: Lukas MacNaughton
  6. Substitution: Mauricio González CarabalíOff: Marcus Caldeira70'
  7. Substitution: Aziel JacksonOff: Joaquín Pereyra79'
  8. 82'Substitution: Mykhi JoynerOff: Tomas Ostrak
  9. Goal: Marcus CaldeiraAssist: Joaquín Pereyra86'
  10. Yellow card: Jefferson Abel Díaz BeleñoFoul90'
  11. Substitution: Kelvin YeboahOff: Tomás Chancalay90+2'
  12. Substitution: Michael BoxallOff: Cherrion Valerius90+2'

Our verdict

1X ✓

Minnesota United FC or draw

Bet365 1.44

63%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 3-2

Expected goals3.2

Win probability

1 · Minnesota United FC38%
Fair odds 2.63
X · Draw25%
Fair odds 4.00
2 · St. Louis City37%
Fair odds 2.70

Match statistics

  • 45%Possession55%
  • 2.53Expected goals (xG)1.23
  • 27Total shots15
  • 11Shots on target6
  • 8Shots off target5
  • 8Blocked shots4
  • 19Shots inside the box11
  • 6Corners7
  • 0Offsides2
  • 14Fouls15
  • 2Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0
  • 4Goalkeeper saves7
  • 338Passes419
  • 267Accurate passes344

Line-ups

Minnesota United FC

3-4-1-2

Starting XI

  1. 12D. CallenderG
  2. 52Cherrion ValeriusD
  3. 28J. DíazD
  4. 23M. DugganD
  5. 21B. HlongwaneM
  6. 25N. TriantisM
  7. 20W. TrappM
  8. 13A. MarkanichM
  9. 18M. GonzalezM
  10. 16A. JacksonF
  11. 9K. YeboahF

Substitutes

  1. 5N. RomeroD
  2. 94Kayne RizvanovichG
  3. 26J. PereyraM
  4. 11M. MaloneF
  5. 30O. GeneM
  6. 3K. DuncanD
  7. 8T. ChancalayF
  8. 22Marcus CaldeiraF
  9. 15M. BoxallD

Coach: C. Knowles

St. Louis City

3-4-1-2

Starting XI

  1. 1R. BürkiG
  2. 99J. OrozcoD
  3. 32T. BaumgartlD
  4. 27F. FallD
  5. 59M. JoynerM
  6. 21D. PolvaraM
  7. 28M. PerezM
  8. 14T. TotlandM
  9. 77Jeong Sang-BinM
  10. 11S. BecherF
  11. 9Rafael NavarroF

Substitutes

  1. 20Rafael SantosD
  2. 18C. BrunetM
  3. 42D. DownsF
  4. 24D. EdelmanM
  5. 19C. HolseF
  6. 39B. LundtG
  7. 5L. MacNaughtonD
  8. 23A. MățanM
  9. 7T. OstrákM

Coach: Y. Damet

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.61 – 1.58
0.5 goalsOver95.9%Under4.1%
1.5 goalsOver82.7%Under17.3%
2.5 goalsOver61.8%Under38.2%
3.5 goalsOver39.5%Under60.5%
4.5 goalsOver21.8%Under78.2%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

Minnesota United FCSt. Louis City
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
50%Expected goals50%
51%Overall49%

Last matches

Newest first
Minnesota United FC0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

St. Louis City0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Major League Soccer table

Major League Soccer table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Vancouver Whitecaps32+3458
1Nashville SC32+4371
2FC Dallas33+955
2New England Revolution32+1058
3San Jose Earthquakes33+852
3Inter Miami32+2056
4St. Louis City33+1051
4Chicago Fire33+1155
5Houston Dynamo32+351
5Charlotte33+1553
6Los Angeles FC32+1547
6Philadelphia Union33+1147
7Los Angeles Galaxy33-644
7FC Cincinnati33-646
8Colorado Rapids33-143
8Columbus Crew33+644
9Seattle Sounders32+143
9Orlando City SC33-1643
10Real Salt Lake33042
10New York Red Bulls32-1639
11Portland Timbers32-340
11New York City FC33+339
12San Diego33-538
12Toronto FC32-1039
13Minnesota United FC32-638
13DC United33-2133
14Austin33-2134
14Atlanta United FC32-1630
15Sporting Kansas City33-4223
15CF Montreal33-3026
See full table ›

Top scorers

Major League Soccer top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1L. MessiInter Miami2925
2P. MusaFC Dallas2922
3Rafael NavarroSt. Louis City3319
4M. IloskiPhiladelphia Union3119
5D. BouangaLos Angeles FC3018

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatMinnesota United FCSt. Louis City
Played00
Wins00
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)00
Goals against (avg)00
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Match preview

Minnesota United FC host St. Louis City in the Major League Soccer (Regular Season - 30) at Allianz Field, Sao Paulo, with kick-off on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 21:30 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Minnesota United FC narrow favourites, giving Minnesota United FC a 38% chance of winning, 25% for the draw and 37% for St. Louis City. Our tip is: Minnesota United FC or draw.

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 62% chance of over 2.5 and a 64% chance that both teams score.

Competition
USA Major League Soccer
Date
Saturday, 17 October 2026, 21:30 WAT
Venue
Allianz Field, Sao Paulo

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Minnesota United FC vs St. Louis City?

Minnesota United FC vs St. Louis City kicks off on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 21:30 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Minnesota United FC vs St. Louis City in?

The match is in the USA Major League Soccer.

Where are Minnesota United FC and St. Louis City in the table?

Minnesota United FC are 13th and St. Louis City are 4th in the Major League Soccer.

Who will win Minnesota United FC vs St. Louis City?

Our prediction is Minnesota United FC or draw. Win probabilities: Minnesota United FC 38%, draw 25%, St. Louis City 37%.

Will both teams score in Minnesota United FC vs St. Louis City?

We estimate a 64% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Minnesota United FC vs St. Louis City?

We estimate a 62% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

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