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Guingamp vs PAU prediction

Guingamp vs PAU prediction for the Ligue 2 on 16 Oct 2026: Over 1.5 (75%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Friday16October 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 9
GuingampNo recent gamesPAUNo recent games
1 - 2Full time · Fri 16 OctHT 0-2
Stade de Roudourou, Guingamp

Match events

GuingampPAU
  1. 6'Goal: Cheikh FallAssist: Lorenzo Rajot
  2. 13'Yellow card: Anthony BriançonDissent
  3. 25'Yellow card: Gaëtan PaquiezFoul
  4. 33'Goal: Bilal BrahimiAssist: Anthony Briançon
  5. Substitution: Tanguy AhileOff: Brandon Bokangu45'
  6. 45'Substitution: Anthony BriançonOff: Rony Ulrich Jordan·Mimb Baheng

HT 0-2

  1. Substitution: Tom DucrocqOff: Florent Sanchez Da Silva57'
  2. Substitution: Tuomas OllilaOff: Amadou Samoura57'
  3. 62'Substitution: Bilal BrahimiOff: Jeremy Sebas
  4. 66'Yellow card: Jeremy SebasFoul
  5. 66'Substitution: Hacene BenaliOff: Luan Gadegbeku
  6. Substitution: Stanislas KieltOff: Dylan Louiserre67'
  7. Yellow card: Nathan FondjaFoul74'
  8. Substitution: Nathan FondjaOff: Ibrahim Fomba74'
  9. Goal: Teddy Andami Averlant75'
  10. 80'Substitution: Babacar LeyeOff: Abdoulaye Mbaye
  11. 80'Substitution: Tom PouillyOff: Abdel Hakim Abdallah
  12. Yellow card: Jeovanni DiangangaFoul83'

Our verdict

Over 1.5 ✓

Over 1.5

Bet365 1.25

75%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 1-2

Expected goals2.7

Win probability

1 · Guingamp42%
Fair odds 2.38
X · Draw27%
Fair odds 3.70
2 · PAU31%
Fair odds 3.23

Match statistics

  • 64%Possession36%
  • 1.26Expected goals (xG)0.47
  • 17Total shots7
  • 4Shots on target3
  • 8Shots off target2
  • 5Blocked shots2
  • 10Shots inside the box5
  • 5Corners2
  • 14Fouls19
  • 2Yellow cards3
  • 0Red cards0
  • 1Goalkeeper saves3
  • 592Passes348
  • 514Accurate passes269

Line-ups

Guingamp

4-4-2

Starting XI

  1. 16Adrián OrtoláG
  2. 2E. KoffiD
  3. 24J. DiangangaD
  4. 35N. FondjaD
  5. 5T. OllilaD
  6. 11T. AverlantM
  7. 25T. DucrocqM
  8. 21T. AhileM
  9. 20S. Ben BrahimM
  10. 10A. HemiaF
  11. 18S. KieltF

Substitutes

  1. 8F. Da SilvaM
  2. 22B. BokanguM
  3. 1T. BartoucheG
  4. 38E. AucanM
  5. 33Ibrahim FombaD
  6. 4D. LouiserreM
  7. 31J. MatondoM
  8. 3J. MatumonaD
  9. 17A. SamouraF

Coach: S. Ripoll

PAU

5-3-2

Starting XI

  1. 1B. MaubleuG
  2. 2T. PouillyD
  3. 29G. PaquiezD
  4. 23A. BriançonD
  5. 88A. BambaD
  6. 39M. TourraineD
  7. 10B. BrahimiM
  8. 5L. RajotM
  9. 6C. FallM
  10. 9B. LeyeF
  11. 7H. BenaliF

Substitutes

  1. 8S. BasseD
  2. 25Q. DaubinM
  3. 4A. DodoteD
  4. 27L. GadegbekuM
  5. 56Abdoulaye MbayeF
  6. 22R. BahengD
  7. 30E. SallesG
  8. 97A. AbdallahD
  9. 18J. SebasF

Coach: Thierry Debes

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.46 – 1.22
0.5 goalsOver93.1%Under6.9%
1.5 goalsOver74.8%Under25.2%
2.5 goalsOver50.1%Under49.9%
3.5 goalsOver28.2%Under71.8%
4.5 goalsOver13.4%Under86.6%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

GuingampPAU
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
54%Expected goals46%
58%Overall42%

Last matches

Newest first
Guingamp0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

PAU0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Ligue 2 table

Ligue 2 table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Saint Etienne11+1225
2Montpellier11+1024
3PAU11+520
4Nancy10+419
5Reims10+818
6RED Star FC 9310+117
7Annecy11-116
8Dijon11+115
9Guingamp11+114
10Metz11014
11Rodez11-513
12Dunkerque11-312
13Sochaux10-411
14Boulogne11-110
15Nantes11-69
16Laval11-79
17Clermont Foot11-58
18Grenoble11-108
See full table ›

Top scorers

Ligue 2 top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1Y. FofanaReims108
2P. FallMetz108
3A. BoakyeSaint Etienne116
4I. CardonaSaint Etienne115
5T. BalloSaint Etienne115

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatGuingampPAU
Played00
Wins00
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)00
Goals against (avg)00
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Match preview

Guingamp host PAU in the Ligue 2 (Regular Season - 9) at Stade de Roudourou, Guingamp, with kick-off on Friday, 16 October 2026 at 19:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Guingamp slight favourites, giving Guingamp a 42% chance of winning, 27% for the draw and 31% for PAU. Our tip is: Over 1.5.

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 50% chance of over 2.5 and a 55% chance that both teams score.

Competition
France Ligue 2
Date
Friday, 16 October 2026, 19:00 WAT
Venue
Stade de Roudourou, Guingamp

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Guingamp vs PAU?

Guingamp vs PAU kicks off on Friday, 16 October 2026 at 19:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Guingamp vs PAU in?

The match is in the France Ligue 2.

Where are Guingamp and PAU in the table?

Guingamp are 9th and PAU are 3rd in the Ligue 2.

Who will win Guingamp vs PAU?

Our prediction is Over 1.5. Win probabilities: Guingamp 42%, draw 27%, PAU 31%.

Will both teams score in Guingamp vs PAU?

We estimate a 55% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Guingamp vs PAU?

We estimate a 50% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Ligue 2 on Fri 16 Oct

FTLaval 3-3 Clermont Foot1X ✓FTReims 4-2 DijonOver 1.5 ✓FTGrenoble 0-2 BoulogneX2 ✓FTAnnecy 1-2 NancyX2 ✓

All football predictions for today