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Muğlaspor vs Bursaspor prediction

Muğlaspor vs Bursaspor prediction for the 1. Lig on 15 Oct 2026: Bursaspor to win (58%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Thursday15October 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
1. Lig · Regular Season - 10
MuğlasporNo recent gamesBursasporNo recent games
0 - 3Full time · Thu 15 OctHT 0-0
Mugla Ataturk Stadyumu, Mugla/Marmaris

Match events

MuğlasporBursaspor
  1. Yellow card: Yasin UzunogluArgument35'
  2. 35'Yellow card: Ertuğrul ErsoyArgument
  3. Substitution: Yasin UzunogluOff: Ibrahim Sissoko45'

HT 0-0

  1. 51'VARVAR: Kelechi IheanachoGoal cancelled
  2. Yellow card: Jurgen ÇelhakaFoul52'
  3. 58'Goal: Kelechi IheanachoAssist: Halil Akbunar
  4. Substitution: Korede OsundinaOff: Poyraz Yildirim62'
  5. 64'Substitution: Halil AkbunarOff: Hüseyin Maldar
  6. Substitution: A. KazmazOff: Bilal Ceylan72'
  7. Substitution: Jurgen ÇelhakaOff: Daniel Avramovski72'
  8. Substitution: Oguzhan MaturOff: Driton Camaj72'
  9. 74'Substitution: Eyüp AkcanOff: Lewis Baker
  10. 74'Substitution: Amine BoutrahOff: Emir Kaan Gultekin
  11. 79'Goal: Kelechi IheanachoAssist: Juergen Elitim
  12. 83'Goal: Hüseyin MaldarAssist: Kelechi Iheanacho
  13. 84'Substitution: Rahmetullah BerisbekOff: Zeki Yavru
  14. 84'Substitution: Kelechi IheanachoOff: Baran Başyiğit
  15. Yellow card: Luis MagoDissent90'

Our verdict

2 ✓

Bursaspor to win

Bet365 1.55

58%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 0-3

Expected goals2.7

Win probability

1 · Muğlaspor18%
Fair odds 5.56
X · Draw24%
Fair odds 4.17
2 · Bursaspor58%
Fair odds 1.72

Match statistics

  • 39%Possession61%
  • 0.53Expected goals (xG)2.06
  • 7Total shots14
  • 1Shots on target4
  • 2Shots off target4
  • 4Blocked shots6
  • 3Shots inside the box8
  • 2Corners1
  • 4Offsides5
  • 11Fouls9
  • 3Yellow cards1
  • 0Red cards0
  • 1Goalkeeper saves3
  • 308Passes498
  • 226Accurate passes411

Line-ups

Muğlaspor

3-4-3

Starting XI

  1. 17E. KılıçarslanG
  2. 15O. NahırcıD
  3. 44L. Del PinoD
  4. 53Alihan KazmazD
  5. 28A. EnginM
  6. 21J. ÇelhakaM
  7. 23A. GünerenM
  8. 5O. MaturM
  9. 11M. DiarraF
  10. 99Y. UzunogluF
  11. 13K. OsundinaF

Substitutes

  1. 10D. AvramovskiM
  2. 3A. BarakD
  3. 20B. BulutM
  4. 7D. CamajF
  5. 22B. CeylanD
  6. 91İ. FuratF
  7. 35Batıhan HanoğluG
  8. 27I. SissokoF
  9. 48O. SolM
  10. 9P. YıldırımF

Coach: Y. Koşukavak

Bursaspor

4-4-2

Starting XI

  1. 98K. MatisliG
  2. 77R. BerişbekD
  3. 4E. ErsoyD
  4. 5Emirhan BaşyiğitD
  5. 93B. GökD
  6. 7H. AkbunarM
  7. 34E. AkcanM
  8. 6J. ElitimM
  9. 73A. BoutrahM
  10. 10LincolnF
  11. 14K. ỊheanachọF

Substitutes

  1. 80I. ŠaranićF
  2. 57B. YayıkcıD
  3. 18Z. YavruD
  4. 66H. MaldarD
  5. 39A. KıvançG
  6. 9E. GültekinF
  7. 20B. BaşyiğitF
  8. 27T. BayramovD
  9. 42L. BakerM
  10. 52T. AydoğanM

Coach: M. Er

Betting markets

Expected goals 0.89 – 1.78
0.5 goalsOver93.1%Under6.9%
1.5 goalsOver74.6%Under25.4%
2.5 goalsOver49.9%Under50.1%
3.5 goalsOver27.9%Under72.1%
4.5 goalsOver13.3%Under86.7%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

MuğlasporBursaspor
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
33%Expected goals67%
24%Overall76%

Last matches

Newest first
Muğlaspor0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Bursaspor0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

1. Lig table

1. Lig table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Kayserispor2+106
2Bursaspor2+56
3Esenler Erokspor2+24
4Keçiörengücü2+14
5Batman Petrolspor1+23
6Mardin 19692-13
7Muğlaspor3-83
8Iğdır FK101
9Manisa F.K.2-11
10İstanbulspor1-20
11Fatih Karagümrük2-20
12Pendikspor1-20
13Antalyaspor1-40
See full table ›

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatMuğlasporBursaspor
Played00
Wins00
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)00
Goals against (avg)00
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Match preview

Muğlaspor host Bursaspor in the 1. Lig (Regular Season - 10) at Mugla Ataturk Stadyumu, Mugla/Marmaris, with kick-off on Thursday, 15 October 2026 at 18:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Bursaspor favourites, giving Muğlaspor a 18% chance of winning, 24% for the draw and 58% for Bursaspor. Our tip is: Bursaspor to win.

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 50% chance of over 2.5 and a 50% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Turkey 1. Lig
Date
Thursday, 15 October 2026, 18:00 WAT
Venue
Mugla Ataturk Stadyumu, Mugla/Marmaris

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Muğlaspor vs Bursaspor?

Muğlaspor vs Bursaspor kicks off on Thursday, 15 October 2026 at 18:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Muğlaspor vs Bursaspor in?

The match is in the Turkey 1. Lig.

Where are Muğlaspor and Bursaspor in the table?

Muğlaspor are 7th and Bursaspor are 2nd in the 1. Lig.

Who will win Muğlaspor vs Bursaspor?

Our prediction is Bursaspor to win. Win probabilities: Muğlaspor 18%, draw 24%, Bursaspor 58%.

Will both teams score in Muğlaspor vs Bursaspor?

We estimate a 50% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Muğlaspor vs Bursaspor?

We estimate a 50% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More 1. Lig on Thu 15 Oct

FTMardin 1969 1-0 Fatih KaragümrükOver 1.5 ✗FTManisa F.K. 1-1 Esenler EroksporX2 ✓

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