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FK Liepaja vs Tukums prediction

FK Liepaja vs Tukums prediction for the Virsliga on 24 Oct 2026: FK Liepaja to win (61%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Saturday24October 2026
Yesterday: 78/96 correct(81%)
Virsliga · Regular Season - 34
FK LiepajaTukums
0 - 0Full time · Sat 24 OctHT 0-0
Daugava Stadium, Liepaja

Match events

FK LiepajaTukums
  1. Yellow card: Rodolphe Ekou45'

HT 0-0

  1. 49'Yellow card: marcis davis valmiers
  2. Substitution: Rodolphe EkouOff: Bart Straalman55'
  3. 60'Substitution: marcis davis valmiersOff: Rudolfs Melkis
  4. 72'Yellow card: Jun Toba
  5. Substitution: abiodun ogunniyiOff: Amar haidara75'
  6. Substitution: Kyvon·LeidsmanOff: Lucas Crysthyan75'
  7. 80'Yellow card: Kristaps klavins
  8. 85'Substitution: Koyo ShigemaOff: Shun Shibata
  9. 85'Substitution: Daniels radzenieksOff: Joksts H.
  10. Substitution: danila patijcuksOff: Bruno Melnis85'

Our verdict

1 ✗

FK Liepaja to win

Bet365 1.48

61%

✗ This tip lost · final score 0-0

Expected goals3.2

Win probability

1 · FK Liepaja61%
Fair odds 1.64
X · Draw21%
Fair odds 4.76
2 · Tukums18%
Fair odds 5.56

Match statistics

  • 58%Possession42%
  • 2.50Expected goals (xG)0.43
  • 18Total shots9
  • 5Shots on target3
  • 9Shots off target4
  • 4Blocked shots2
  • 15Shots inside the box3
  • 9Corners3
  • 16Fouls18
  • 1Yellow cards3
  • 0Red cards0
  • 3Goalkeeper saves5
  • 509Passes254
  • 417Accurate passes173

Line-ups

FK Liepaja

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 24D. OšsG
  2. 28A. KorobenkoM
  3. 34João PedroD
  4. 4M. MartinsD
  5. 3K. IļjinsD
  6. 5L. StrumiaF
  7. 6E. RodolpheD
  8. 7A. OgunniyiM
  9. 44K. LeidsmanF
  10. 70D. PatijčuksF
  11. 18J. EdeF

Substitutes

  1. 35V. SorokinsD
  2. 2B. StraalmanD
  3. 9Crysthyan LucasF
  4. 23A. HaïdaraM
  5. 26V. IsajevsD
  6. 77Afonso LeiteF
  7. 17B. MelnisF
  8. 22Irad MushindiM
  9. 12D. PetkovićG

Coach: J. Goba

Tukums

5-3-2

Starting XI

  1. 1S. VilkovsG
  2. 21D. ValmiersD
  3. 6K. VolkovsM
  4. 5J. TobaM
  5. 8R. ReingolcsD
  6. 16Kristaps KlavinsM
  7. 29K. ShigemaM
  8. 4K. AnmanisM
  9. 10B. SamoilovsM
  10. 19D. RadzenieksF
  11. 27R. DeružinskisF

Substitutes

  1. 35I. IvanausksG
  2. 25H. JokstsM
  3. 12A. KuprinsG
  4. 28R. MeļķisD
  5. 7S. ShibataM
  6. 22E. SpruktsF
  7. 88M. ŠtālsD
  8. 30M. ŠustsD
  9. 18D. CalbergsD

Coach: K. Dišlers

Betting markets

Expected goals 2.14 – 1.10
0.5 goalsOver96.1%Under3.9%
1.5 goalsOver83.4%Under16.6%
2.5 goalsOver62.8%Under37.2%
3.5 goalsOver40.6%Under59.4%
4.5 goalsOver22.7%Under77.3%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

FK LiepajaTukums
100%Form0%
100%Attack0%
91%Defence9%
50%Head to head50%
66%Expected goals34%
77%Overall23%

Last matches

Newest first
FK Liepaja1W 0D 0L · last 1
WFK Liepaja vs FS Jelgava18 Oct 2026 · Virsliga3-0
Tukums0W 0D 1L · last 1
LRīgas FS vs Tukums19 Oct 2026 · Virsliga2-0

Virsliga table

Virsliga table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Rīgas FS4+1212
2BFC Daugavpils3+49
3Auda3+36
4FK Liepaja3+35
5Riga2+34
6Ogre United2-31
7Tukums3-41
8Super Nova3-71
9FS Jelgava3-50
10Grobiņa2-60
See full table ›

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatFK LiepajaTukums
Played11
Wins10
Draws00
Losses01
Goals for (avg)30
Goals against (avg)02
Clean sheets10
Failed to score01
Best win streak10

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 1 games went over the line

Over 1.51/11/1
Over 2.51/10/1
Over 3.50/10/1
BTTS – yes0/10/1

Match preview

FK Liepaja host Tukums in the Virsliga (Regular Season - 34) at Daugava Stadium, Liepaja, with kick-off on Saturday, 24 October 2026 at 11:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes FK Liepaja favourites, giving FK Liepaja a 61% chance of winning, 21% for the draw and 18% for Tukums. Our tip is: FK Liepaja to win.

FK Liepaja have taken 3 points from their last 1 games (1W 0D 0L). Tukums have taken 0 points from their last 1 games (0W 0D 1L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 63% chance of over 2.5 and a 59% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Latvia Virsliga
Date
Saturday, 24 October 2026, 11:00 WAT
Venue
Daugava Stadium, Liepaja

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is FK Liepaja vs Tukums?

FK Liepaja vs Tukums kicks off on Saturday, 24 October 2026 at 11:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is FK Liepaja vs Tukums in?

The match is in the Latvia Virsliga.

Where are FK Liepaja and Tukums in the table?

FK Liepaja are 4th and Tukums are 7th in the Virsliga.

Who will win FK Liepaja vs Tukums?

Our prediction is FK Liepaja to win. Win probabilities: FK Liepaja 61%, draw 21%, Tukums 18%.

Will both teams score in FK Liepaja vs Tukums?

We estimate a 59% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in FK Liepaja vs Tukums?

We estimate a 63% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

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