Match events
- Goal: A. KorobenkoAssist: D. Patijcuks12'
HT 1-0
- Goal: A. Ogunniyi59'
- 63'Substitution: E. SmaukstelisOff: M. Pudil
- Goal: E. Oloko66'
- Yellow card: L. Strumia67'
- Substitution: A. KorobenkoOff: V. Isajevs70'
- Substitution: D. PatijcuksOff: B. Melnis70'
- 76'Substitution: A. DreimanisOff: T. Rataj
- 78'Yellow card: R. Becers
- Substitution: K. LeidsmanOff: Crysthyan79'
- Substitution: E. RodolpheOff: I. Mushindi79'
- 82'Substitution: R. BecersOff: G. Kacanovs
- 82'Substitution: G. PatikaOff: A. Deklavs
- Substitution: A. OgunniyiOff: L. Lakutis84'
Our verdict
Over 1.5
Bet365 1.22
✓ This tip was correct · final score 3-0
Win probability
Betting markets
Expected goals 1.80 – 1.09Half time / full time result. 1 = FK Liepaja, X = draw, 2 = FS Jelgava.
Asian handicap applied to FK Liepaja.
Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.
Model comparison
Last matches
Newest firstNo finished matches yet.
No finished matches yet.
Virsliga table
| # | Team | P | +/- | Pts | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rīgas FS | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +12 | 12 | |
| 2 | BFC Daugavpils | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 9 | |
| 3 | Auda | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 6 | |
| 4 | FK Liepaja | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +3 | 5 | |
| 5 | Riga | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +3 | 4 | |
| 6 | Ogre United | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 1 | |
| 7 | Tukums | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | 1 | |
| 8 | Super Nova | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -7 | 1 | |
| 9 | FS Jelgava | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -5 | 0 | |
| 10 | Grobiņa | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -6 | 0 |
Season statistics
This season, all competitions we cover| Stat | FK Liepaja | FS Jelgava |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 0 | 0 |
| Wins | 0 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
| Goals for (avg) | 0 | 0 |
| Goals against (avg) | 0 | 0 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 |
| Best win streak | 0 | 0 |
Match preview
FK Liepaja host FS Jelgava in the Virsliga (Regular Season - 33) at Daugava Stadium, Liepaja, with kick-off on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at 14:00 WAT.
Our prediction model makes FK Liepaja favourites, giving FK Liepaja a 54% chance of winning, 24% for the draw and 22% for FS Jelgava. Our tip is: Over 1.5.
On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 55% chance of over 2.5 and a 56% chance that both teams score.
- Competition
- Latvia Virsliga
- Date
- Sunday, 18 October 2026, 14:00 WAT
- Venue
- Daugava Stadium, Liepaja
TodaysPrediction analysis team
Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work
Quick answers
When is FK Liepaja vs FS Jelgava?
FK Liepaja vs FS Jelgava kicks off on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at 14:00 West Africa Time.
Which competition is FK Liepaja vs FS Jelgava in?
The match is in the Latvia Virsliga.
Where are FK Liepaja and FS Jelgava in the table?
FK Liepaja are 4th and FS Jelgava are 9th in the Virsliga.
Who will win FK Liepaja vs FS Jelgava?
Our prediction is Over 1.5. Win probabilities: FK Liepaja 54%, draw 24%, FS Jelgava 22%.
Will both teams score in FK Liepaja vs FS Jelgava?
We estimate a 56% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in FK Liepaja vs FS Jelgava?
We estimate a 55% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.
How often are predictions updated?
Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

