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TodaysPrediction

FK Liepaja vs FS Jelgava prediction

FK Liepaja vs FS Jelgava prediction for the Virsliga on 18 Oct 2026: Over 1.5 (79%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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FK LiepajaNo recent gamesFS JelgavaNo recent games
3 - 0Full time · Sun 18 OctHT 1-0
Daugava Stadium, Liepaja

Match events

FK LiepajaFS Jelgava
  1. Goal: A. KorobenkoAssist: D. Patijcuks12'

HT 1-0

  1. Goal: A. Ogunniyi59'
  2. 63'Substitution: E. SmaukstelisOff: M. Pudil
  3. Goal: E. Oloko66'
  4. Yellow card: L. Strumia67'
  5. Substitution: A. KorobenkoOff: V. Isajevs70'
  6. Substitution: D. PatijcuksOff: B. Melnis70'
  7. 76'Substitution: A. DreimanisOff: T. Rataj
  8. 78'Yellow card: R. Becers
  9. Substitution: K. LeidsmanOff: Crysthyan79'
  10. Substitution: E. RodolpheOff: I. Mushindi79'
  11. 82'Substitution: R. BecersOff: G. Kacanovs
  12. 82'Substitution: G. PatikaOff: A. Deklavs
  13. Substitution: A. OgunniyiOff: L. Lakutis84'

Our verdict

Over 1.5 ✓

Over 1.5

Bet365 1.22

79%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 3-0

Expected goals2.9

Win probability

1 · FK Liepaja54%
Fair odds 1.85
X · Draw24%
Fair odds 4.17
2 · FS Jelgava22%
Fair odds 4.55

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.80 – 1.09
0.5 goalsOver94.4%Under5.6%
1.5 goalsOver78.4%Under21.6%
2.5 goalsOver55.2%Under44.8%
3.5 goalsOver32.8%Under67.2%
4.5 goalsOver16.7%Under83.3%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

FK LiepajaFS Jelgava
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
62%Expected goals38%
71%Overall29%

Last matches

Newest first
FK Liepaja0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

FS Jelgava0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Virsliga table

Virsliga table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Rīgas FS4+1212
2BFC Daugavpils3+49
3Auda3+36
4FK Liepaja3+35
5Riga2+34
6Ogre United2-31
7Tukums3-41
8Super Nova3-71
9FS Jelgava3-50
10Grobiņa2-60
See full table ›

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatFK LiepajaFS Jelgava
Played00
Wins00
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)00
Goals against (avg)00
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Match preview

FK Liepaja host FS Jelgava in the Virsliga (Regular Season - 33) at Daugava Stadium, Liepaja, with kick-off on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at 14:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes FK Liepaja favourites, giving FK Liepaja a 54% chance of winning, 24% for the draw and 22% for FS Jelgava. Our tip is: Over 1.5.

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 55% chance of over 2.5 and a 56% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Latvia Virsliga
Date
Sunday, 18 October 2026, 14:00 WAT
Venue
Daugava Stadium, Liepaja

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is FK Liepaja vs FS Jelgava?

FK Liepaja vs FS Jelgava kicks off on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at 14:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is FK Liepaja vs FS Jelgava in?

The match is in the Latvia Virsliga.

Where are FK Liepaja and FS Jelgava in the table?

FK Liepaja are 4th and FS Jelgava are 9th in the Virsliga.

Who will win FK Liepaja vs FS Jelgava?

Our prediction is Over 1.5. Win probabilities: FK Liepaja 54%, draw 24%, FS Jelgava 22%.

Will both teams score in FK Liepaja vs FS Jelgava?

We estimate a 56% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in FK Liepaja vs FS Jelgava?

We estimate a 55% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

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