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Eibar vs Almeria prediction

Eibar vs Almeria prediction for the Segunda División on 31 Oct 2026: Over 1.5 (76%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Saturday31October 2026
EibarAlmeria
1 - 1Full time · Sat 31 OctHT 0-1
Ipurua Municipal Stadium, Eibar

Match events

EibarAlmeria
  1. 18'Goal: Quim junyentAssist: Sergio Arribas Calvo
  2. Yellow card: Aleix GarridoFoul35'
  3. Substitution: Markel Arana MateoOff: Juan Bernat45'
  4. Yellow card: Anaitz ArbillaFoul45+3'

HT 0-1

  1. 59'Substitution: Juan Brandáriz MovillaOff: Jorge Pulido
  2. Substitution: jon guruzetaOff: Pejiño61'
  3. Substitution: Javier Martón AnsóOff: Jon Bautista61'
  4. 68'Yellow card: Álex MuñozFoul
  5. Yellow card: Peru NolaskoainFoul74'
  6. 75'Yellow card: Stefan DžodićArgument
  7. Substitution: Ander Madariaga SusaetaOff: Lucas Nuñez Ramirez75'
  8. 81'Substitution: Brian CipengaOff: Gui Guedes
  9. 81'Substitution: Sergio Arribas CalvoOff: Álex Sola
  10. Substitution: Imanol GarcíaOff: Aleix Garrido85'
  11. 85'Substitution: Javier Muñoz JiménezOff: Mikel Vesga
  12. Goal: PejiñoAssist: Malcom Ares87'
  13. 88'Substitution: Miguel De La FuenteOff: Léo Baptistão
  14. 89'Substitution: Quim junyentOff: Leonardo Lelo
  15. 90+6'Yellow card: Marcos LunaFoul

Our verdict

Over 1.5 ✓

Over 1.5

Bet365 1.25

76%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 1-1

Expected goals2.7

Win probability

1 · Eibar40%
Fair odds 2.50
X · Draw27%
Fair odds 3.70
2 · Almeria33%
Fair odds 3.03

Match statistics

  • 52%Possession48%
  • 1.06Expected goals (xG)1.14
  • 20Total shots13
  • 4Shots on target3
  • 8Shots off target5
  • 8Blocked shots5
  • 9Shots inside the box11
  • 5Corners3
  • 4Offsides1
  • 13Fouls11
  • 3Yellow cards3
  • 0Red cards0
  • 2Goalkeeper saves3
  • 511Passes485
  • 439Accurate passes395

Line-ups

Eibar

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 13Jon MikelG
  2. 22Álvaro RodríguezD
  3. 5Peru NolaskoainD
  4. 23Anaitz ArbillaD
  5. 24Juan BernatD
  6. 8Ander MadariagaM
  7. 30Aleix GarridoM
  8. 7Malcom AduM
  9. 21Iván GilM
  10. 10Jon GuruzetaM
  11. 9Jon BautistaF

Substitutes

  1. 15Jair AmadorD
  2. 17PejiñoF
  3. 2Sergio CuberoD
  4. 3Imanol García de AlbénizD
  5. 1Luis LópezG
  6. 11Jon MagunazelaiaM
  7. 20Javi MartónF
  8. 28Lucas NuñezM
  9. 14OlaetxeaM
  10. 19Eric PérezF
  11. 6Sergio ÁlvarezM
  12. 18M. AranaD

Coach: Jokin Arambarri

Almeria

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1Andrés FernándezG
  2. 2Marcos LunaD
  3. 5Jorge PulidoD
  4. 18F. BoniniD
  5. 3Álex MuñozD
  6. 29S. DžodićM
  7. 14Javi MuñozM
  8. 33Quim JunyentM
  9. 11Sergio ArribasM
  10. 17B. CipengaM
  11. 24Miguel de la FuenteF

Substitutes

  1. 23Adri EmbarbaF
  2. 8GuiM
  3. 21ChumiD
  4. 12Léo BaptistãoF
  5. 9ThalysF
  6. 13Fernando MartínezG
  7. 7Jon MorcilloF
  8. 20Álex SolaF
  9. 6Mikel VesgaM
  10. 31Á. YaakobishviliG
  11. 15Leonardo LeloD

Coach: Xavier García Pimienta

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.43 – 1.28
0.5 goalsOver93.3%Under6.7%
1.5 goalsOver75.3%Under24.7%
2.5 goalsOver50.9%Under49.1%
3.5 goalsOver28.8%Under71.2%
4.5 goalsOver13.9%Under86.1%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

EibarAlmeria
25%Form75%
20%Attack80%
67%Defence33%
50%Head to head50%
53%Expected goals47%
55%Overall45%

Last matches

Newest first

Segunda División table

Segunda División table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Castellón11+1826
2Almeria12+1326
3Eibar12+723
4Girona12+1121
5Granada CF11+420
6Burgos11+420
7Mallorca11+719
8Sporting Gijon11-219
9Oviedo11+318
10Sabadell12+117
11Cordoba12-316
12Tenerife11-214
13Eldense11-214
14Las Palmas11-514
15Celta de Vigo II12-513
16Valladolid11012
17Leganes11-912
18Real Sociedad II12-711
19Cadiz11010
20FC Andorra11-510
21Albacete12-137
22AD Ceuta FC11-155
See full table ›

Top scorers

Segunda División top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1Miguel de la FuenteAlmeria127
2A. MarinCelta de Vigo II127
3Enric GallegoTenerife107
4FuentesMallorca116
5Jordi CanoFC Andorra95

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatEibarAlmeria
Played11
Wins01
Draws10
Losses00
Goals for (avg)14
Goals against (avg)12
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak01

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 1 games went over the line

Over 1.51/11/1
Over 2.50/11/1
Over 3.50/11/1
BTTS – yes1/11/1

Match preview

Eibar host Almeria in the Segunda División (Regular Season - 12) at Ipurua Municipal Stadium, Eibar, with kick-off on Saturday, 31 October 2026 at 16:15 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Eibar slight favourites, giving Eibar a 40% chance of winning, 27% for the draw and 33% for Almeria. Our tip is: Over 1.5.

Eibar have taken 1 points from their last 1 games (0W 1D 0L). Almeria have taken 3 points from their last 1 games (1W 0D 0L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 51% chance of over 2.5 and a 56% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Spain Segunda División
Date
Saturday, 31 October 2026, 16:15 WAT
Venue
Ipurua Municipal Stadium, Eibar

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Eibar vs Almeria?

Eibar vs Almeria kicks off on Saturday, 31 October 2026 at 16:15 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Eibar vs Almeria in?

The match is in the Spain Segunda División.

Where are Eibar and Almeria in the table?

Eibar are 3rd and Almeria are 2nd in the Segunda División.

Who will win Eibar vs Almeria?

Our prediction is Over 1.5. Win probabilities: Eibar 40%, draw 27%, Almeria 33%.

Will both teams score in Eibar vs Almeria?

We estimate a 56% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Eibar vs Almeria?

We estimate a 51% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Segunda División on Sat 31 Oct

FTReal Sociedad II 1-0 GironaX2 ✗FTCelta de Vigo II 2-2 CordobaX2 ✓FTAlbacete 2-1 SabadellX2 ✗

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