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Racing Club vs Independiente prediction

Racing Club vs Independiente prediction for the Liga Profesional Argentina on 18 Oct 2026: Under 3.5 (80%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Sunday18October 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
Liga Profesional Argentina · Clausura - 13
Racing ClubNo recent gamesIndependienteNo recent games
1 - 1Full time · Sun 18 OctHT 1-0
Estadio Juan Domingo Perón, Avellaneda

Match events

Racing ClubIndependiente
  1. Yellow card: Juan BarinagaFoul6'
  2. Yellow card: Matías ZarachoFoul17'
  3. Goal: Matías Zaracho29'
  4. 45'Substitution: Luciano CabralOff: Matías Abaldo

HT 1-0

  1. Yellow card: Mateo Ezequiel MartínezArgument49'
  2. Yellow card: Gonzalo EscuderoFoul64'
  3. 65'Penalty goal: Maximiliano Meza (pen)
  4. Substitution: Tomás ConechnyOff: Duván Vergara72'
  5. Substitution: Matías ZarachoOff: Diego Ulises·Ortegoza72'
  6. Substitution: Matías KranevitterOff: Leonel Pérez73'
  7. Substitution: Juan BarinagaOff: Ezequiel Cannavo76'
  8. 78'Substitution: Chimy ÁvilaOff: Iván Morales
  9. 78'Substitution: Santiago AriasOff: Leonardo Godoy
  10. Substitution: Lautaro DiazOff: Elías David Torres81'
  11. 86'Substitution: Nahuel BanegasOff: Facundo Zabala
  12. 87'Yellow card: Iván MoralesFoul
  13. 89'Substitution: Maximiliano MezaOff: Lautaro Millán
  14. 90+2'Yellow card: Leonardo GodoyFoul
  15. Yellow card: Leonel PérezFoul90+3'

Our verdict

Under 3.5 ✓

Under 3.5

Bet365 1.22

80%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 1-1

Expected goals2.3

Win probability

1 · Racing Club42%
Fair odds 2.38
X · Draw29%
Fair odds 3.45
2 · Independiente29%
Fair odds 3.45

Match statistics

  • 53%Possession47%
  • 1.27Expected goals (xG)1.07
  • 9Total shots10
  • 3Shots on target3
  • 4Shots off target5
  • 2Blocked shots2
  • 6Shots inside the box6
  • 8Corners4
  • 2Offsides1
  • 16Fouls9
  • 5Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0
  • 2Goalkeeper saves1
  • 397Passes365
  • 301Accurate passes259

Line-ups

Racing Club

4-3-3

Starting XI

  1. 25F. CambesesG
  2. 14J. BarinagaD
  3. 38M. MartinezD
  4. 43G. EscuderoD
  5. 19I. RodríguezD
  6. 11M. ZarachoM
  7. 5M. KranevitterM
  8. 20G. LodicoM
  9. 32L. DíazF
  10. 9A. MartínezF
  11. 17T. ConechnyF

Substitutes

  1. 18A. EspinoD
  2. 24A. FernándezM
  3. 23N. ColomboD
  4. 40F. FragaF
  5. 16D. OrtegozaM
  6. 33L. PérezM
  7. 2M. PérezD
  8. 30M. TagliamonteG
  9. 46A. TelloM
  10. 22E. TorresF
  11. 7D. VergaraF
  12. 4E. CannavoD

Coach: S. Romero

Independiente

4-3-3

Starting XI

  1. 33R. ReyG
  2. 4S. AriasD
  3. 36S. ValdezD
  4. 35J. ArrayagoD
  5. 5N. BanegasD
  6. 16M. PerezM
  7. 23I. MarconeM
  8. 8M. MezaM
  9. 7S. MontielF
  10. 6E. ÁvilaF
  11. 10L. CabralF

Substitutes

  1. 2F. CalderónD
  2. 13J. FedorcoD
  3. 29L. GodoyD
  4. 32D. MartínezM
  5. 77S. MeleG
  6. 14Lautaro MillánM
  7. 9I. MoralesF
  8. 24J. PalaisM
  9. 30Tomás ParmoM
  10. 34F. TemponeF
  11. 22F. ZabalaD
  12. 19M. AbaldoF

Coach: Jádson Viera

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.29 – 1.01
0.5 goalsOver90.0%Under10.0%
1.5 goalsOver66.9%Under33.1%
2.5 goalsOver40.4%Under59.6%
3.5 goalsOver20.1%Under79.9%
4.5 goalsOver8.4%Under91.6%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

Racing ClubIndependiente
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
56%Expected goals44%
59%Overall41%

Last matches

Newest first
Racing Club0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Independiente0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Liga Profesional Argentina table

Liga Profesional Argentina table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Estudiantes L.P.16+1231
1Independ. Rivadavia16+1434
2Boca Juniors16+1330
2River Plate16+1029
3Velez Sarsfield16+628
3Argentinos JRS16+429
4Talleres Cordoba16+426
4Rosario Central16+428
5Independiente16+424
5Belgrano Cordoba16+426
6Lanus16+324
6Gimnasia L.P.16026
7San Lorenzo16022
7Huracan16+422
8Union Santa Fe16+421
8Racing Club16+221
9Instituto Cordoba16021
9Barracas Central16021
10Defensa Y Justicia16-319
10Tigre16+320
11Gimnasia M.16-819
11Sarmiento Junin16-719
12Platense16-516
12Banfield16-218
13Central Cordoba de Santiago16-1016
13Atletico Tucuman16-514
14Newells Old Boys16-1215
14Aldosivi16-138
15Deportivo Riestra16-711
15Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto16-195
See full table ›

Top scorers

Liga Profesional Argentina top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1C. TarragonaUnion Santa Fe3115
2A. MódicaGimnasia M.2614
3J. MarabelSarmiento Junin3114
4J. CaicedoHuracan2814
5R. MartínezVelez Sarsfield3013

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatRacing ClubIndependiente
Played00
Wins00
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)00
Goals against (avg)00
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Match preview

Racing Club host Independiente in the Liga Profesional Argentina (Clausura - 13) at Estadio Juan Domingo Perón, Avellaneda, with kick-off on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at 18:45 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Racing Club slight favourites, giving Racing Club a 42% chance of winning, 29% for the draw and 29% for Independiente. Our tip is: Under 3.5.

On the goals markets, we expect a tighter game, with only a 41% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Argentina Liga Profesional Argentina
Date
Sunday, 18 October 2026, 18:45 WAT
Venue
Estadio Juan Domingo Perón, Avellaneda

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Racing Club vs Independiente?

Racing Club vs Independiente kicks off on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at 18:45 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Racing Club vs Independiente in?

The match is in the Argentina Liga Profesional Argentina.

Where are Racing Club and Independiente in the table?

Racing Club are 8th and Independiente are 5th in the Liga Profesional Argentina.

Who will win Racing Club vs Independiente?

Our prediction is Under 3.5. Win probabilities: Racing Club 42%, draw 29%, Independiente 29%.

Will both teams score in Racing Club vs Independiente?

We estimate a 47% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is No.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Racing Club vs Independiente?

We estimate a 41% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Under 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Liga Profesional Argentina on Sun 18 Oct

FTEstudiantes L.P. 1-2 San Lorenzo1X ✗FTEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto 2-1 Aldosivi1X ✓

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