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Cuiaba vs São Bernardo prediction

Cuiaba vs São Bernardo prediction for the Serie B on 1 Nov 2026: Under 3.5 (77%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Sunday1November 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
Serie B · Regular Season - 36
CuiabaNo recent gamesSão Bernardo
1 - 2Full time · Sun 1 NovHT 1-1
Arena Pantanal, Cuiaba

Match events

CuiabaSão Bernardo
  1. 14'Goal: Fabrício DanielAssist: Lucas Fernandes
  2. 17'Yellow card: Marcão SilvaFoul
  3. 45'Substitution: Helder MacielOff: Jemerson
  4. Goal: CalebeAssist: David Miguel de Souza Arcanjo45+2'
  5. VAR: CalebeGoal confirmedVAR45+5'

HT 1-1

  1. 56'Substitution: Pedro Gabriel Pereira LopesOff: Felipe Garcia
  2. 56'Substitution: Daniel Davi Simão RoqueOff: Fabrício Daniel
  3. 58'Goal: Daniel Davi Simão RoqueAssist: Lucas Fernandes
  4. 65'Substitution: Breno Ruan Melo AlmeidaOff: Lucas Fernandes
  5. Substitution: Jean Dias da CostaOff: Eliel Chrystian70'
  6. Substitution: Raul Lô GonçalvesOff: Guilherme De Almeida Mansano70'
  7. Substitution: Nathan Cruz da Silva RosaOff: Vinicius Peixoto70'
  8. Substitution: IgorOff: Pedro Carminatti Jacomin78'
  9. 81'Substitution: João Vitor Rodrigues GaldinoOff: Foguinho
  10. Substitution: Kauan Cristtyan Cabral do CarmoOff: Eric Almeida de Melo86'
  11. 87'Substitution: Helder MacielOff: Augusto

Our verdict

Under 3.5 ✓

Under 3.5

Bet365 1.28

77%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 1-2

Expected goals2.5

Win probability

1 · Cuiaba52%
Fair odds 1.92
X · Draw27%
Fair odds 3.70
2 · São Bernardo21%
Fair odds 4.76

Match statistics

  • 57%Possession43%
  • 1.17Expected goals (xG)1.27
  • 20Total shots9
  • 5Shots on target5
  • 11Shots off target1
  • 4Blocked shots3
  • 10Shots inside the box3
  • 6Corners3
  • 1Offsides1
  • 15Fouls4
  • 0Yellow cards1
  • 0Red cards0
  • 3Goalkeeper saves4
  • 552Passes434
  • 502Accurate passes363

Line-ups

Cuiaba

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

  1. 1João CarlosG
  2. 13João BassoD
  3. 5CalebeD
  4. 4Vitor MendesD
  5. 2Igor InocêncioM
  6. 30RaulM
  7. 20David MiguelM
  8. 36LorenzoM
  9. 41KauanM
  10. 77Jean DiasM
  11. 29Vinicius PeixotoF

Substitutes

  1. 91LuisãoD
  2. 99Nathan Cruz da Silva RosaF
  3. 23Marcos JúniorM
  4. 11ElielF
  5. 53WeversonM
  6. 26Joao SilvaD
  7. 39Guilherme MansanoF
  8. 14EricD
  9. 97Luiz OtávioM
  10. 12BusattoG
  11. 22Pedro Carminatti JacominM
  12. 50Pedro Felipetto Colen BarcellosM

Coach: Eduardo Barros

São Bernardo

3-4-3

Starting XI

  1. 1Alex AlvesG
  2. 77MarcãoD
  3. 35JemersonD
  4. 90LuizãoD
  5. 21Hugo SanchesM
  6. 8FoguinhoM
  7. 14Lucas LimaM
  8. 6ParáM
  9. 31Lucas FernandesF
  10. 10Fabrício DanielF
  11. 29PedrinhoF

Substitutes

  1. 27EchaporãF
  2. 9Felipe GarciaF
  3. 42HyoranM
  4. 22Léo LangG
  5. 33Mário SérgioD
  6. 97AugustoD
  7. 3HélderD
  8. 30BreninhoM
  9. 36João Vitor Rodrigues GaldinoM
  10. 37D. DaviF
  11. 12Júnior OliveiraG
  12. 89Daniel AmorimF

Coach: Vinícius Bergantin

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.55 – 0.90
0.5 goalsOver91.4%Under8.6%
1.5 goalsOver70.2%Under29.8%
2.5 goalsOver44.3%Under55.7%
3.5 goalsOver23.2%Under76.8%
4.5 goalsOver10.2%Under89.8%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

CuiabaSão Bernardo
0%Form100%
0%Attack100%
88%Defence12%
50%Head to head50%
63%Expected goals37%
71%Overall29%

Last matches

Newest first
Cuiaba0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

São Bernardo1W 0D 1L · last 2
WSão Bernardo vs Vila Nova24 Oct 2026 · Serie B3-2LSão Bernardo vs Criciuma18 Oct 2026 · Serie B0-1

Serie B table

Serie B table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Novorizontino36+3367
2Juventude36+2265
3Vila Nova36+1463
4Criciuma36+862
5Fortaleza EC35+1261
6CRB35+455
7Sport Recife36+955
8Atletico Goianiense35+954
9Goias35-452
10São Bernardo36+1152
11Operario-PR36-251
12Botafogo SP36+248
13Cuiaba36+347
14Nautico Recife36-646
15Athletic Club35044
16Ceara35-743
17Avai36-1337
18Londrina36-932
19America Mineiro36-2926
20Ponte Preta36-5715
See full table ›

Top scorers

Serie B top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1RobsonNovorizontino3216
2MikaelCRB3316
3PerottiSport Recife3513
4BoschiliaOperario-PR2813
5Gustavo CoutinhoAtletico Goianiense3013

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatCuiabaSão Bernardo
Played02
Wins01
Draws00
Losses01
Goals for (avg)01.5
Goals against (avg)01.5
Clean sheets00
Failed to score01
Best win streak01

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 2 games went over the line

Over 1.50/01/2
Over 2.50/01/2
Over 3.50/01/2
BTTS – yes0/01/2

Match preview

Cuiaba host São Bernardo in the Serie B (Regular Season - 36) at Arena Pantanal, Cuiaba, with kick-off on Sunday, 1 November 2026 at 22:30 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Cuiaba favourites, giving Cuiaba a 52% chance of winning, 27% for the draw and 21% for São Bernardo. Our tip is: Under 3.5.

São Bernardo have taken 3 points from their last 2 games (1W 0D 1L).

On the goals markets, we expect a tighter game, with only a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Brazil Serie B
Date
Sunday, 1 November 2026, 22:30 WAT
Venue
Arena Pantanal, Cuiaba

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Cuiaba vs São Bernardo?

Cuiaba vs São Bernardo kicks off on Sunday, 1 November 2026 at 22:30 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Cuiaba vs São Bernardo in?

The match is in the Brazil Serie B.

Where are Cuiaba and São Bernardo in the table?

Cuiaba are 13th and São Bernardo are 10th in the Serie B.

Who will win Cuiaba vs São Bernardo?

Our prediction is Under 3.5. Win probabilities: Cuiaba 52%, draw 27%, São Bernardo 21%.

Will both teams score in Cuiaba vs São Bernardo?

We estimate a 47% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is No.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Cuiaba vs São Bernardo?

We estimate a 44% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Under 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Serie B on Sun 1 Nov

FTLondrina 1-3 America Mineiro1X ✗FTNovorizontino 2-1 Operario-PROver 1.5 ✓

All football predictions for today