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Cadiz vs AD Ceuta FC prediction

Cadiz vs AD Ceuta FC prediction for the Segunda División on 25 Oct 2026: Cadiz or draw (77%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Sunday25October 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
Segunda División · Regular Season - 11
CadizAD Ceuta FC
3 - 1Full time · Sun 25 OctHT 0-1
Nuevo Mirandilla, Cadiz

Match events

CadizAD Ceuta FC
  1. Substitution: Vladyslav KopotunOff: Álvaro García Pascual45'
  2. 45+1'Penalty goal: Yann Bodiger (pen)
  3. Yellow card: Dilan ZárateFoul45+3'

HT 0-1

  1. Yellow card: Álvaro García PascualFoul49'
  2. Goal: Ibon Ignacio Sánchez Océn51'
  3. Yellow card: Beñat de Jesús DomingoHandball64'
  4. 65'Substitution: Edgar SevikyanOff: Carlos Hernández
  5. 70'Yellow card: Albert CaparrosFoul
  6. Penalty goal: Antonio Cordero (pen)71'
  7. 75'Substitution: Albert CaparrosOff: Kialy Abdoul Kone
  8. 75'Substitution: Jordi EscobarOff: Cedric Teguia
  9. 75'Substitution: Yann BodigerOff: Alejandro Camacho Ramírez
  10. Yellow card: Sergio Arribas PrietoTime Wasting81'
  11. Substitution: Beñat de Jesús DomingoOff: Cristian Gutiérrez83'
  12. Substitution: Juan Díaz PeregrinaOff: Antonio Cordero83'
  13. Substitution: Urko Iruretagoiena LertxundiOff: Javier Ontiveros83'
  14. 88'Substitution: José Antonio Abad MartínezOff: Umaru Konare
  15. Substitution: Ibon Ignacio Sánchez OcénOff: Borja Vazquez89'
  16. 90+1'Yellow card: José Juan Romero GilDissent
  17. Yellow card: Borja VazquezFoul90+2'
  18. 90+3'Yellow card: Umaru KonareDissent
  19. Goal: Borja VazquezAssist: Álvaro García Pascual90+5'

Our verdict

1X ✓

Cadiz or draw

Bet365 1.25

77%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 3-1

Expected goals2.7

Win probability

1 · Cadiz51%
Fair odds 1.96
X · Draw26%
Fair odds 3.85
2 · AD Ceuta FC23%
Fair odds 4.35

Match statistics

  • 32%Possession68%
  • 1.28Expected goals (xG)2.43
  • 11Total shots24
  • 5Shots on target5
  • 5Shots off target7
  • 1Blocked shots12
  • 9Shots inside the box16
  • 3Corners10
  • 4Offsides2
  • 20Fouls7
  • 5Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0
  • 3Goalkeeper saves2
  • 242Passes522
  • 165Accurate passes438

Line-ups

Cadiz

4-4-2

Starting XI

  1. 13Jokin EzkietaG
  2. 2Beñat de JesúsD
  3. 14B. KovačevićD
  4. 6Manu FernándezD
  5. 3Sergio ArribasD
  6. 24Ibon SánchezM
  7. 28D. A. Zarate HidalgoM
  8. 23Damián RodríguezM
  9. 16Antonio CorderoM
  10. 19Urko IzetaF
  11. 21V. KopotunF

Substitutes

  1. 27J. Diaz PeregrinaD
  2. 5M. DouéM
  3. 9Álvaro GarcíaF
  4. 1David GilG
  5. 22Cristian GutiérrezD
  6. 17A. MoueffekM
  7. 10Javi OntiverosM
  8. 18Jandro OrellanaM
  9. 15K. ToibibouD
  10. 8E. AghamaF
  11. 31N. UkwuijeD
  12. 20Borja VazquezF

Coach: Borja Jiménez

AD Ceuta FC

4-3-3

Starting XI

  1. 1Pedro LópezG
  2. 2Toni AbadD
  3. 4Albert CaparrósD
  4. 5Adrián LapeñaD
  5. 16RedruD
  6. 20Álex MeléndezM
  7. 14Y. BodigerM
  8. 10Marino IllescasM
  9. 19E. SevikyanF
  10. 8KukiF
  11. 11Cedric TeguiaF

Substitutes

  1. 7Alejandro Camacho RamírezM
  2. 9Jordi EscobarF
  3. 6Carlos HernándezD
  4. 27U. KonareF
  5. 22K. KonéF
  6. 3José MatosD
  7. 17Mawuli MensahM
  8. 32Chidiebere Gabriel OkoroM
  9. 18Alex PetxarromanD
  10. 29O. SadikF
  11. 13Guille VallejoG
  12. 28Abraham Bueno EspinosaM

Coach: José Juan Romero

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.64 – 1.03
0.5 goalsOver93.1%Under6.9%
1.5 goalsOver74.6%Under25.4%
2.5 goalsOver49.9%Under50.1%
3.5 goalsOver27.9%Under72.1%
4.5 goalsOver13.3%Under86.7%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

CadizAD Ceuta FC
50%Form50%
0%Attack100%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
61%Expected goals39%
69%Overall31%

Last matches

Newest first
Cadiz0W 0D 1L · last 1
LGranada CF vs Cadiz18 Oct 2026 · Segunda División2-0
AD Ceuta FC0W 0D 1L · last 1
LAD Ceuta FC vs Oviedo18 Oct 2026 · Segunda División1-2

Segunda División table

Segunda División table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Castellón12+1827
2Almeria12+1326
3Eibar12+723
4Granada CF12+623
5Sporting Gijon12022
6Girona12+1121
7Burgos12+421
8Mallorca11+719
9Oviedo11+318
10Sabadell12+117
11Cordoba12-316
12Tenerife11-214
13Eldense12-414
14Las Palmas11-514
15Celta de Vigo II12-513
16Valladolid11012
17Leganes11-912
18Real Sociedad II12-711
19Cadiz11010
20FC Andorra11-510
21Albacete12-137
22AD Ceuta FC12-175
See full table ›

Top scorers

Segunda División top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1Miguel de la FuenteAlmeria127
2A. MarinCelta de Vigo II127
3Enric GallegoTenerife107
4FuentesMallorca116
5Jordi CanoFC Andorra95

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatCadizAD Ceuta FC
Played11
Wins00
Draws00
Losses11
Goals for (avg)01
Goals against (avg)22
Clean sheets00
Failed to score10
Best win streak00

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 1 games went over the line

Over 1.51/11/1
Over 2.50/11/1
Over 3.50/10/1
BTTS – yes0/11/1

Match preview

Cadiz host AD Ceuta FC in the Segunda División (Regular Season - 11) at Nuevo Mirandilla, Cadiz, with kick-off on Sunday, 25 October 2026 at 16:15 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Cadiz favourites, giving Cadiz a 51% chance of winning, 26% for the draw and 23% for AD Ceuta FC. Our tip is: Cadiz or draw.

Cadiz have taken 0 points from their last 1 games (0W 0D 1L). AD Ceuta FC have taken 0 points from their last 1 games (0W 0D 1L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 50% chance of over 2.5 and a 52% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Spain Segunda División
Date
Sunday, 25 October 2026, 16:15 WAT
Venue
Nuevo Mirandilla, Cadiz

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Cadiz vs AD Ceuta FC?

Cadiz vs AD Ceuta FC kicks off on Sunday, 25 October 2026 at 16:15 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Cadiz vs AD Ceuta FC in?

The match is in the Spain Segunda División.

Where are Cadiz and AD Ceuta FC in the table?

Cadiz are 19th and AD Ceuta FC are 22nd in the Segunda División.

Who will win Cadiz vs AD Ceuta FC?

Our prediction is Cadiz or draw. Win probabilities: Cadiz 51%, draw 26%, AD Ceuta FC 23%.

Will both teams score in Cadiz vs AD Ceuta FC?

We estimate a 52% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Cadiz vs AD Ceuta FC?

We estimate a 50% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Segunda División on Sun 25 Oct

FTSabadell 1-1 Tenerife1X ✓FTAlbacete 2-0 EldenseOver 1.5 ✓FTCastellón 4-0 Sporting GijonOver 1.5 ✓

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