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Boca Juniors vs River Plate prediction

Boca Juniors vs River Plate prediction for the Liga Profesional Argentina on 1 Nov 2026: Boca Juniors or draw (72%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Sunday1November 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
Liga Profesional Argentina · Clausura - 15
Boca JuniorsRiver Plate
1 - 0Full time · Sun 1 NovHT 1-0
Alberto J. Armando, Buenos Aires

Match events

Boca JuniorsRiver Plate
  1. 8'VARVAR: Lucas Martinez QuartaCard upgrade confirmed
  2. 10'Red card: Lucas Martinez Quarta
  3. 13'Substitution: Lucas BeltranOff: Lautaro Rivero
  4. Yellow card: Lautaro Di LolloFoul20'
  5. Goal: Lautaro Di LolloAssist: Sebastián Villa27'
  6. Yellow card: Facundo Ezequiel HerreraFoul43'
  7. Substitution: Facundo Ezequiel HerreraOff: Ayrton Enrique Costa45'
  8. 45'Substitution: Lucas SilvaOff: Lautaro Pereyra
  9. 45+4'Yellow card: Marcos AcuñaArgument
  10. Yellow card: Leandro ParedesTime Wasting45+5'

HT 1-0

  1. Yellow card: Lautaro BlancoFoul57'
  2. Substitution: Leonel FloresOff: Alan Velasco62'
  3. Yellow card: Alan VelascoArgument68'
  4. 71'Substitution: Thiago AlmadaOff: Sebastián Driussi
  5. 71'Substitution: Tobías AndradaOff: Juan Cruz Meza
  6. Substitution: Miguel MerentielOff: Enner Valencia76'
  7. Yellow card: Enner ValenciaFoul77'
  8. 79'Red card: Gonzalo MontielSerious Foul
  9. 82'Yellow card: Rafael BorréDissent
  10. 85'Substitution: Tomás Ezequiel GalvánOff: Giovanni Gonzalez
  11. Substitution: Sebastián VillaOff: Carlos Palacios88'
  12. Substitution: Leandro ParedesOff: Tomás Belmonte88'
  13. Yellow card: Ayrton Enrique CostaFoul90+7'

Our verdict

1X ✓

Boca Juniors or draw

Bet365 1.33

72%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 1-0

Expected goals2.3

Win probability

1 · Boca Juniors42%
Fair odds 2.38
X · Draw30%
Fair odds 3.33
2 · River Plate28%
Fair odds 3.57

Match statistics

  • 71%Possession29%
  • 1.23Expected goals (xG)0.13
  • 16Total shots3
  • 6Shots on target0
  • 8Shots off target3
  • 2Blocked shots0
  • 10Shots inside the box1
  • 10Corners2
  • 1Offsides2
  • 17Fouls8
  • 7Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards2
  • 0Goalkeeper saves5
  • 513Passes216
  • 439Accurate passes144

Line-ups

Boca Juniors

4-3-3

Starting XI

  1. 1Á. MonteroG
  2. 17L. LozanoD
  3. 2L. Di LolloD
  4. 42F. HerreraD
  5. 3L. BlancoD
  6. 25S. AscacíbarM
  7. 5L. ParedesM
  8. 18M. DelgadoM
  9. 19L. FloresF
  10. 16M. MerentielF
  11. 22S. VillaF

Substitutes

  1. 6R. BattagliaM
  2. 15W. AlarcónM
  3. 8T. BelmonteM
  4. 27M. BraidaM
  5. 12L. BreyG
  6. 32A. CostaD
  7. 4N. FigalD
  8. 24D. GorositoD
  9. 7C. PalaciosM
  10. 26Marco PellegrinoD
  11. 13E. ValenciaF
  12. 20A. VelascoM

Coach: R. Arruabarrena

River Plate

4-3-1-2

Starting XI

  1. 41S. BeltránG
  2. 29G. MontielD
  3. 28L. MartínezD
  4. 30N. OtamendiD
  5. 21M. AcuñaD
  6. 50T. AndradaM
  7. 44L. SilvaM
  8. 26T. GalvánM
  9. 23T. AlmadaM
  10. 10Á. CorreaF
  11. 18L. BeltránF

Substitutes

  1. 2T. PalacioD
  2. 13L. RiveroD
  3. 9S. DriussiF
  4. 33E. CenturiónG
  5. 19R. BorréF
  6. 8M. ArambarriM
  7. 27Santiago Joaquín EspíndolaM
  8. 20G. GonzálezD
  9. 43V. LuceroM
  10. 24J. MezaM
  11. 3F. OrtegaD
  12. 25L. PereyraF

Coach: Leonardo Ponzio

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.27 – 0.99
0.5 goalsOver89.6%Under10.4%
1.5 goalsOver66.0%Under34.0%
2.5 goalsOver39.3%Under60.7%
3.5 goalsOver19.3%Under80.7%
4.5 goalsOver7.9%Under92.1%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

Boca JuniorsRiver Plate
75%Form25%
50%Attack50%
83%Defence17%
50%Head to head50%
56%Expected goals44%
60%Overall40%

Last matches

Newest first
Boca Juniors1W 0D 0L · last 1
WIndependiente vs Boca Juniors25 Oct 2026 · Liga Profesional Argentina0-1
River Plate0W 1D 0L · last 1
DSarmiento Junin vs River Plate14 Oct 2026 · Liga Profesional Argentina1-1

Liga Profesional Argentina table

Liga Profesional Argentina table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Estudiantes L.P.16+1231
1Independ. Rivadavia16+1434
2Boca Juniors16+1330
2River Plate16+1029
3Velez Sarsfield16+628
3Argentinos JRS16+429
4Talleres Cordoba16+426
4Rosario Central16+428
5Independiente16+424
5Belgrano Cordoba16+426
6Lanus16+324
6Gimnasia L.P.16026
7San Lorenzo16022
7Huracan16+422
8Union Santa Fe16+421
8Racing Club16+221
9Instituto Cordoba16021
9Barracas Central16021
10Defensa Y Justicia16-319
10Tigre16+320
11Gimnasia M.16-819
11Sarmiento Junin16-719
12Platense16-516
12Banfield16-218
13Central Cordoba de Santiago16-1016
13Atletico Tucuman16-514
14Newells Old Boys16-1215
14Aldosivi16-138
15Deportivo Riestra16-711
15Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto16-195
See full table ›

Top scorers

Liga Profesional Argentina top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1C. TarragonaUnion Santa Fe3215
2A. MódicaGimnasia M.2714
3J. MarabelSarmiento Junin3114
4J. CaicedoHuracan2814
5R. MartínezVelez Sarsfield3013

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatBoca JuniorsRiver Plate
Played11
Wins10
Draws01
Losses00
Goals for (avg)11
Goals against (avg)01
Clean sheets10
Failed to score00
Best win streak10

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 1 games went over the line

Over 1.50/11/1
Over 2.50/10/1
Over 3.50/10/1
BTTS – yes0/11/1

Match preview

Boca Juniors host River Plate in the Liga Profesional Argentina (Clausura - 15) at Alberto J. Armando, Buenos Aires, with kick-off on Sunday, 1 November 2026 at 19:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Boca Juniors slight favourites, giving Boca Juniors a 42% chance of winning, 30% for the draw and 28% for River Plate. Our tip is: Boca Juniors or draw.

Boca Juniors have taken 3 points from their last 1 games (1W 0D 0L). River Plate have taken 1 points from their last 1 games (0W 1D 0L).

On the goals markets, we expect a tighter game, with only a 39% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Argentina Liga Profesional Argentina
Date
Sunday, 1 November 2026, 19:00 WAT
Venue
Alberto J. Armando, Buenos Aires

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Boca Juniors vs River Plate?

Boca Juniors vs River Plate kicks off on Sunday, 1 November 2026 at 19:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Boca Juniors vs River Plate in?

The match is in the Argentina Liga Profesional Argentina.

Where are Boca Juniors and River Plate in the table?

Boca Juniors are 2nd and River Plate are 2nd in the Liga Profesional Argentina.

Who will win Boca Juniors vs River Plate?

Our prediction is Boca Juniors or draw. Win probabilities: Boca Juniors 42%, draw 30%, River Plate 28%.

Will both teams score in Boca Juniors vs River Plate?

We estimate a 46% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is No.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Boca Juniors vs River Plate?

We estimate a 39% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Under 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Liga Profesional Argentina on Sun 1 Nov

FTNewells Old Boys 1-1 Union Santa Fe1X ✓FTBelgrano Cordoba 2-2 Barracas Central12 ✗

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