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TodaysPrediction

Bahia vs Flamengo prediction

Bahia vs Flamengo prediction for the Brasileiro Série A on 18 Oct 2026: Flamengo or draw (71%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Sunday18October 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
Brasileiro Série A · Regular Season - 31
BahiaNo recent gamesFlamengoNo recent games
0 - 3Full time · Sun 18 OctHT 0-0
Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador

Match events

BahiaFlamengo
  1. 3'Yellow card: Erick PulgarFoul
  2. Yellow card: Cristian OliveraFoul41'

HT 0-0

  1. 48'Yellow card: Léo PereiraDissent
  2. Yellow card: Jean LucasFoul51'
  3. 64'Penalty goal: Jorginho (pen)
  4. Substitution: Nicolas AcevedoOff: Caio Alexandre65'
  5. Substitution: Román GómezOff: Marcos Victor65'
  6. Substitution: Cristian OliveraOff: Ademir65'
  7. 68'Substitution: Jorge CarrascalOff: Lucas Paquetá
  8. 73'Goal: Gonzalo PlataAssist: Samuel Lino
  9. Substitution: Éverton RibeiroOff: Rodrigo Nestor75'
  10. Substitution: erick pulgaOff: Mateo Naín Sanabria75'
  11. 75'Substitution: Joaquín FreitasOff: Samuel Lino
  12. 76'Substitution: Bruno HenriqueOff: Pedro
  13. 78'Goal: Lucas PaquetáAssist: Guillermo Varela
  14. 83'Substitution: VitãoOff: Léo Ortiz
  15. 83'Substitution: Erick PulgarOff: Nicolas De la Cruz
  16. Yellow card: Marco MorenoFoul86'
  17. Yellow card: Román GómezFoul89'

Our verdict

X2 ✓

Flamengo or draw

Bet365 1.28

71%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 0-3

Expected goals2.9

Win probability

1 · Bahia29%
Fair odds 3.45
X · Draw25%
Fair odds 4.00
2 · Flamengo46%
Fair odds 2.17

Match statistics

  • 36%Possession64%
  • 0.99Expected goals (xG)2.89
  • 9Total shots21
  • 3Shots on target15
  • 3Shots off target2
  • 3Blocked shots4
  • 6Shots inside the box16
  • 4Corners14
  • 1Offsides3
  • 12Fouls9
  • 4Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0
  • 11Goalkeeper saves3
  • 341Passes573
  • 278Accurate passes512

Line-ups

Bahia

5-3-2

Starting XI

  1. 1RonaldoG
  2. 99C. OliveraD
  3. 44Marcos VictorD
  4. 33David DuarteD
  5. 3Marco MorenoD
  6. 46Luciano JubaD
  7. 6Jean LucasM
  8. 5N. AcevedoM
  9. 11Rodrigo NestorM
  10. 16Erick PulgaF
  11. 9A. VélizF

Substitutes

  1. 66Zé GuilhermeD
  2. 12Willian JoséF
  3. 23M. SanabriaF
  4. 15M. AraújoM
  5. 4KanuD
  6. 17G. HerreraG
  7. 31Roman GomezD
  8. 10Éverton RibeiroM
  9. 27EveraldoF
  10. 14ErickM
  11. 8Caio AlexandreM
  12. 7AdemirF

Coach: Rogério Ceni

Flamengo

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1A. RossiG
  2. 2G. VarelaD
  3. 3Léo OrtizD
  4. 4Léo PereiraD
  5. 22Emerson RoyalD
  6. 21JorginhoM
  7. 5E. PulgarM
  8. 19G. PlataM
  9. 15J. CarrascalM
  10. 16Samuel LinoM
  11. 9PedroF

Substitutes

  1. 42AndrewG
  2. 27Bruno HenriqueF
  3. 26Alex SandroD
  4. 49DyogoG
  5. 18N. de la CruzM
  6. 77Johnny GóesD
  7. 61João Victor CunhaD
  8. 11Lucas PaquetáM
  9. 7Luiz AraújoF
  10. 14A. ValenciaF
  11. 44VitãoD
  12. 30J. FreitasF

Coach: Leonardo Jardim

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.25 – 1.64
0.5 goalsOver94.4%Under5.6%
1.5 goalsOver78.4%Under21.6%
2.5 goalsOver55.2%Under44.8%
3.5 goalsOver32.8%Under67.2%
4.5 goalsOver16.7%Under83.3%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

BahiaFlamengo
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
43%Expected goals57%
39%Overall61%

Last matches

Newest first
Bahia0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Flamengo0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Brasileiro Série A table

Brasileiro Série A table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Flamengo33+4073
2Palmeiras33+3470
3Cruzeiro33+657
4Fluminense33+1054
5Atletico Paranaense33+1054
6Bahia33+653
7Atletico-MG33+550
8Santos33+247
9RB Bragantino33+444
10Sao Paulo33043
11Coritiba33-1042
12Botafogo33-839
13Vasco DA Gama32-938
14Vitoria33-1338
15Gremio33-737
16Mirassol33-1037
17Corinthians33-636
18Internacional33-535
19Remo33-1529
20Chapecoense-sc32-3421
See full table ›

Top scorers

Brasileiro Série A top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1K. ViverosAtletico Paranaense3121
2PedroFlamengo3318
3Gabriel BarbosaSantos2515
4Kaio JorgeCruzeiro2612
5Samuel LinoFlamengo3211

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatBahiaFlamengo
Played00
Wins00
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)00
Goals against (avg)00
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Match preview

Bahia host Flamengo in the Brasileiro Série A (Regular Season - 31) at Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador, with kick-off on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at 22:30 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Flamengo slight favourites, giving Bahia a 29% chance of winning, 25% for the draw and 46% for Flamengo. Our tip is: Flamengo or draw.

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 55% chance of over 2.5 and a 58% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Brazil Brasileiro Série A
Date
Sunday, 18 October 2026, 22:30 WAT
Venue
Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Bahia vs Flamengo?

Bahia vs Flamengo kicks off on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at 22:30 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Bahia vs Flamengo in?

The match is in the Brazil Brasileiro Série A.

Where are Bahia and Flamengo in the table?

Bahia are 6th and Flamengo are 1st in the Brasileiro Série A.

Who will win Bahia vs Flamengo?

Our prediction is Flamengo or draw. Win probabilities: Bahia 29%, draw 25%, Flamengo 46%.

Will both teams score in Bahia vs Flamengo?

We estimate a 58% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Bahia vs Flamengo?

We estimate a 55% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Brasileiro Série A on Sun 18 Oct

FTGremio 2-4 CruzeiroX2 ✓FTFluminense 1-2 SantosOver 1.5 ✓

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