Liga Nacional · Regular Season - 16
Match events
Municipal- Yellow card: O. de Leon7'
- 37'Yellow card: Yellow card
- Goal: D. Casas41'
HT 1-0
- 46'Substitution: J. MartinezOff: A. Cabeza
- 46'Substitution: E. ElingtonOff: E. Lopez
- Substitution: O. de LeonOff: Y. Diaz46'
- 50'Yellow card: Y. Y. Perez
- 58'Substitution: J. MendezOff: J. Bantes
- Red card: D. Casas65'
- Yellow card: Yellow card69'
- 70'Substitution: Y. Y. PerezOff: P. Altan
- 75'Substitution: C. HernandezOff: O. Paniagua
- Substitution: Y. JaenOff: J. Castaneda75'
- 86'Red card: R. Saravia
- 90+2'Yellow card: Yellow card
- Yellow card: Yellow card90+6'
- Yellow card: Yellow card90+11'
Our verdict
Xelajú or draw
Bet365 1.30
✓ This tip was correct · final score 1-0
Win probability
Betting markets
Expected goals 1.37 – 1.12Half time / full time result. 1 = Xelajú, X = draw, 2 = Municipal.
Asian handicap applied to Xelajú.
Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.
Model comparison
Last matches
Newest firstXelajú1W 0D 0L · last 1Municipal0W 0D 1L · last 1Liga Nacional table
| # | Team | P | +/- | Pts | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Xelajú | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 6 | |
| 2 | Cobán Imperial | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | |
| 3 | Malacateco | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | |
| 4 | Municipal | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
Season statistics
This season, all competitions we cover| Stat | Xelajú | Municipal |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 1 | 1 |
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
| Goals for (avg) | 2 | 1 |
| Goals against (avg) | 1 | 2 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 |
| Best win streak | 1 | 0 |
Recent goal lines
How many of each team's last 1 games went over the line
| Over 1.5 | 1/1 | 1/1 |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 1/1 | 1/1 |
| Over 3.5 | 0/1 | 0/1 |
| BTTS – yes | 1/1 | 1/1 |
Match preview
Xelajú host Municipal in the Liga Nacional (Regular Season - 16) at Estadio Mario Camposeco, Quetzaltenango, with kick-off on Saturday, 24 October 2026 at 21:00 WAT.
Our prediction model makes Xelajú slight favourites, giving Xelajú a 42% chance of winning, 28% for the draw and 30% for Municipal. Our tip is: Xelajú or draw.
Xelajú have taken 3 points from their last 1 games (1W 0D 0L). Municipal have taken 0 points from their last 1 games (0W 0D 1L).
On the goals markets, we expect a tighter game, with only a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance that both teams score.
- Competition
- Guatemala Liga Nacional
- Date
- Saturday, 24 October 2026, 21:00 WAT
- Venue
- Estadio Mario Camposeco, Quetzaltenango
TodaysPrediction analysis team
Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work
Quick answers
When is Xelajú vs Municipal?
Xelajú vs Municipal kicks off on Saturday, 24 October 2026 at 21:00 West Africa Time.
Which competition is Xelajú vs Municipal in?
The match is in the Guatemala Liga Nacional.
Where are Xelajú and Municipal in the table?
Xelajú are 1st and Municipal are 4th in the Liga Nacional.
Who will win Xelajú vs Municipal?
Our prediction is Xelajú or draw. Win probabilities: Xelajú 42%, draw 28%, Municipal 30%.
Will both teams score in Xelajú vs Municipal?
We estimate a 51% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Xelajú vs Municipal?
We estimate a 45% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Under 2.5 goals.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.
How often are predictions updated?
Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.