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TodaysPrediction

Xelajú vs Malacateco prediction

Xelajú vs Malacateco prediction for the Liga Nacional on 15 Oct 2026: Xelajú to win (69%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Thursday15October 2026
XelajúNo recent gamesMalacatecoNo recent games
2 - 1Full time · Thu 15 OctHT 1-1
Estadio Mario Camposeco, Quetzaltenango

Match events

XelajúMalacateco
  1. 17'Goal: E. Quinones
  2. Yellow card: O. de Leon32'
  3. Goal: J. Cardona32'

HT 1-1

  1. 46'Substitution: G. VasquezOff: J. Longo
  2. Goal: H. E. Quezada Gamez51'
  3. 58'Substitution: A. SotoOff: F. Morales
  4. 58'Substitution: D. J. Guzman MironOff: R. Garcia
  5. 72'Substitution: A. MoralesOff: J. Trigueno
  6. Substitution: O. de LeonOff: R. Marquez75'
  7. 76'Substitution: E. QuinonesOff: J. Correa
  8. 82'Yellow card: M. Chun
  9. Yellow card: Yellow card90+1'
  10. Substitution: H. E. Quezada GamezOff: J. Castaneda90+1'

Our verdict

1 ✓

Xelajú to win

Bet365 1.30

69%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 2-1

Expected goals2.7

Win probability

1 · Xelajú69%
Fair odds 1.45
X · Draw21%
Fair odds 4.76
2 · Malacateco10%
Fair odds 10.00

Betting markets

Expected goals 2.03 – 0.65
0.5 goalsOver93.1%Under6.9%
1.5 goalsOver74.8%Under25.2%
2.5 goalsOver50.1%Under49.9%
3.5 goalsOver28.1%Under71.9%
4.5 goalsOver13.4%Under86.6%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

XelajúMalacateco
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
76%Expected goals24%
87%Overall13%

Last matches

Newest first
Xelajú0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Malacateco0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Liga Nacional table

Liga Nacional table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Xelajú2+26
2Cobán Imperial1+13
3Malacateco1-10
4Municipal2-20
See full table ›

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatXelajúMalacateco
Played00
Wins00
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)00
Goals against (avg)00
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Match preview

Xelajú host Malacateco in the Liga Nacional (Regular Season - 14) at Estadio Mario Camposeco, Quetzaltenango, with kick-off on Thursday, 15 October 2026 at 19:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Xelajú clear favourites, giving Xelajú a 69% chance of winning, 21% for the draw and 10% for Malacateco. Our tip is: Xelajú to win.

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 50% chance of over 2.5 and a 42% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Guatemala Liga Nacional
Date
Thursday, 15 October 2026, 19:00 WAT
Venue
Estadio Mario Camposeco, Quetzaltenango

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Xelajú vs Malacateco?

Xelajú vs Malacateco kicks off on Thursday, 15 October 2026 at 19:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Xelajú vs Malacateco in?

The match is in the Guatemala Liga Nacional.

Where are Xelajú and Malacateco in the table?

Xelajú are 1st and Malacateco are 3rd in the Liga Nacional.

Who will win Xelajú vs Malacateco?

Our prediction is Xelajú to win. Win probabilities: Xelajú 69%, draw 21%, Malacateco 10%.

Will both teams score in Xelajú vs Malacateco?

We estimate a 42% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is No.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Xelajú vs Malacateco?

We estimate a 50% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Liga Nacional on Thu 15 Oct

FTCobán Imperial 2-1 MunicipalX2 ✗

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