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TodaysPrediction

Vaprus vs Kuressaare prediction

Vaprus vs Kuressaare prediction for the Meistriliiga on 28 Oct 2026: Over 1.5 (80%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Wednesday28October 2026
VaprusNo recent gamesKuressaare
1 - 1Full time · Wed 28 OctHT 1-0
Parnu Rannastaadion, Parnu

Match events

VaprusKuressaare
  1. Goal: M. LimbergAssist: T. Pajo14'
  2. Missed penalty: H. Valja42'

HT 1-0

  1. 49'Yellow card: M. Lukka
  2. 56'Substitution: R. TaluOff: A. Svedovski
  3. 57'Yellow card: R. Lukas
  4. 66'Substitution: G. RoivasseppOff: S. Prunn
  5. 66'Substitution: A. KiviOff: A. Visse
  6. Yellow card: Yellow card75'
  7. 78'Red card: R. Piil
  8. 80'Substitution: R. LukasOff: J. Kobin
  9. 83'Goal: T. Jurisoo
  10. Yellow card: Yellow card87'

Our verdict

Over 1.5 ✓

Over 1.5

Bet365 1.20

80%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 1-1

Expected goals3.0

Win probability

1 · Vaprus39%
Fair odds 2.56
X · Draw25%
Fair odds 4.00
2 · Kuressaare36%
Fair odds 2.78

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.53 – 1.46
0.5 goalsOver95.0%Under5.0%
1.5 goalsOver79.9%Under20.1%
2.5 goalsOver57.5%Under42.5%
3.5 goalsOver35.1%Under64.9%
4.5 goalsOver18.3%Under81.7%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

VaprusKuressaare
0%Form100%
0%Attack100%
71%Defence29%
50%Head to head50%
51%Expected goals49%
52%Overall48%

Last matches

Newest first

Meistriliiga table

Meistriliiga table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1FC Levadia Tallinn3+49
2Kalju Nomme2+36
3Kuressaare304
4Tammeka2+33
5Nõmme United1+13
6Paide2-13
7Vaprus101
8Laagri1-10
9Flora Tallinn2-30
10Trans Narva3-60
See full table ›

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatVaprusKuressaare
Played02
Wins01
Draws00
Losses01
Goals for (avg)00.5
Goals against (avg)00.5
Clean sheets01
Failed to score01
Best win streak01

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 2 games went over the line

Over 1.50/00/2
Over 2.50/00/2
Over 3.50/00/2
BTTS – yes0/00/2

Match preview

Vaprus host Kuressaare in the Meistriliiga (Regular Season - 34) at Parnu Rannastaadion, Parnu, with kick-off on Wednesday, 28 October 2026 at 17:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Vaprus narrow favourites, giving Vaprus a 39% chance of winning, 25% for the draw and 36% for Kuressaare. Our tip is: Over 1.5.

Kuressaare have taken 3 points from their last 2 games (1W 0D 1L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 57% chance of over 2.5 and a 61% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Estonia Meistriliiga
Date
Wednesday, 28 October 2026, 17:00 WAT
Venue
Parnu Rannastaadion, Parnu

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Vaprus vs Kuressaare?

Vaprus vs Kuressaare kicks off on Wednesday, 28 October 2026 at 17:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Vaprus vs Kuressaare in?

The match is in the Estonia Meistriliiga.

Where are Vaprus and Kuressaare in the table?

Vaprus are 7th and Kuressaare are 3rd in the Meistriliiga.

Who will win Vaprus vs Kuressaare?

Our prediction is Over 1.5. Win probabilities: Vaprus 39%, draw 25%, Kuressaare 36%.

Will both teams score in Vaprus vs Kuressaare?

We estimate a 61% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Vaprus vs Kuressaare?

We estimate a 57% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Meistriliiga on Wed 28 Oct

FTPaide 0-2 Kalju NommeOver 1.5 ✓

All football predictions for today