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TodaysPrediction

Paide vs Kalju Nomme prediction

Paide vs Kalju Nomme prediction for the Meistriliiga on 28 Oct 2026: Over 1.5 (80%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Wednesday28October 2026
PaideKalju Nomme
0 - 2Full time · Wed 28 OctHT 0-1
Paide linnastaadion, Paide

Match events

PaideKalju Nomme
  1. 12'Goal: F. JekimovAssist: A. Borolinstsikov
  2. 23'Yellow card: M. Podholjuzin
  3. Yellow card: Victor Hugo31'

HT 0-1

  1. 50'Yellow card: A. Borolinstsikov
  2. 58'Substitution: A. BorolinstsikovOff: M. Tambedou
  3. 58'Substitution: E. E. Lotar EyangOff: M. Orlov
  4. Substitution: Daniel CabralOff: A. Surogin71'
  5. Substitution: S. LutsOff: K. Piht71'
  6. Yellow card: Andrade71'
  7. Yellow card: Andrade75'
  8. Red card: Andrade75'
  9. 79'Penalty goal: M. Mannilaan (pen)
  10. Substitution: J. PalaciosOff: R. Smirnov80'
  11. Substitution: O. HoimOff: M. Jobarteh80'
  12. Substitution: M. MillerOff: P. A. Cham83'
  13. 87'Substitution: T. BaptistaOff: A. Nikolajev
  14. 90'Yellow card: M. Orlov
  15. 90+1'Yellow card: Yellow card

Our verdict

Over 1.5 ✓

Over 1.5

Bet365 1.20

80%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 0-2

Expected goals2.9

Win probability

1 · Paide40%
Fair odds 2.50
X · Draw26%
Fair odds 3.85
2 · Kalju Nomme34%
Fair odds 2.94

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.53 – 1.41
0.5 goalsOver94.7%Under5.3%
1.5 goalsOver79.2%Under20.8%
2.5 goalsOver56.3%Under43.7%
3.5 goalsOver33.9%Under66.1%
4.5 goalsOver17.5%Under82.5%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

PaideKalju Nomme
50%Form50%
33%Attack67%
83%Defence17%
50%Head to head50%
52%Expected goals48%
54%Overall46%

Last matches

Newest first

Meistriliiga table

Meistriliiga table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1FC Levadia Tallinn3+49
2Kalju Nomme2+36
3Kuressaare304
4Tammeka2+33
5Nõmme United1+13
6Paide2-13
7Vaprus101
8Laagri1-10
9Flora Tallinn2-30
10Trans Narva3-60
See full table ›

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatPaideKalju Nomme
Played11
Wins11
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)12
Goals against (avg)01
Clean sheets10
Failed to score00
Best win streak11

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 1 games went over the line

Over 1.50/11/1
Over 2.50/11/1
Over 3.50/10/1
BTTS – yes0/11/1

Match preview

Paide host Kalju Nomme in the Meistriliiga (Regular Season - 34) at Paide linnastaadion, Paide, with kick-off on Wednesday, 28 October 2026 at 18:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Paide slight favourites, giving Paide a 40% chance of winning, 26% for the draw and 34% for Kalju Nomme. Our tip is: Over 1.5.

Paide have taken 3 points from their last 1 games (1W 0D 0L). Kalju Nomme have taken 3 points from their last 1 games (1W 0D 0L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 56% chance of over 2.5 and a 60% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Estonia Meistriliiga
Date
Wednesday, 28 October 2026, 18:00 WAT
Venue
Paide linnastaadion, Paide

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Paide vs Kalju Nomme?

Paide vs Kalju Nomme kicks off on Wednesday, 28 October 2026 at 18:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Paide vs Kalju Nomme in?

The match is in the Estonia Meistriliiga.

Where are Paide and Kalju Nomme in the table?

Paide are 6th and Kalju Nomme are 2nd in the Meistriliiga.

Who will win Paide vs Kalju Nomme?

Our prediction is Over 1.5. Win probabilities: Paide 40%, draw 26%, Kalju Nomme 34%.

Will both teams score in Paide vs Kalju Nomme?

We estimate a 60% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Paide vs Kalju Nomme?

We estimate a 56% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Meistriliiga on Wed 28 Oct

FTVaprus 1-1 KuressaareOver 1.5 ✓

All football predictions for today