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Tecnico Universitario vs Mushuc Runa SC prediction

Tecnico Universitario vs Mushuc Runa SC prediction for the Liga Pro on 26 Oct 2026: Mushuc Runa SC or draw (65%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Monday26October 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
Liga Pro · Relegation Group - 4
Tecnico UniversitarioNo recent gamesMushuc Runa SC
3 - 0Full time · Mon 26 OctHT 2-0
Estadio Bellavista, Ambato

Match events

Tecnico UniversitarioMushuc Runa SC
  1. Goal: Bagner DelgadoAssist: Luis Estupiñan15'
  2. Yellow card: F. UsúcarDissent31'
  3. Goal: Luis EstupiñanAssist: Bagner Delgado42'
  4. 45'Substitution: Arnaldo ZambranoOff: Freddy Mina

HT 2-0

  1. 50'Yellow card: Bryan CorozoDissent
  2. Penalty goal: Diego Armas (pen)53'
  3. 62'Red card: Freddy MinaAbusive Language
  4. Substitution: Bagner DelgadoOff: Carlos Cuero65'
  5. 67'Substitution: Nazareno BazánOff: Renso Tufino
  6. 67'Substitution: Kevin PeraltaOff: Jefferson Caicedo
  7. 73'Substitution: Bryan CorozoOff: Jackson Alexander González Simisterra
  8. 73'Substitution: Nicolás DavilaOff: Lucas Maximiliano·Lemos Mayuncaldi
  9. Substitution: Yorlin Edwin Arce MinaOff: Stiwar Mena Serna77'
  10. Substitution: Luis EstupiñanOff: Wagner Eriberto Caicedo Peralta77'
  11. 80'Yellow card: Cristopher AnguloFoul
  12. Substitution: Johan BocanegraOff: Heuyín Anel Guardia González88'
  13. Substitution: Diego ArmasOff: Adrian Cela89'

Our verdict

X2 ✗

Mushuc Runa SC or draw

Bet365 1.44

65%

✗ This tip lost · final score 3-0

Expected goals2.3

Win probability

1 · Tecnico Universitario35%
Fair odds 2.86
X · Draw29%
Fair odds 3.45
2 · Mushuc Runa SC36%
Fair odds 2.78

Match statistics

  • 45%Possession55%
  • 2.38Expected goals (xG)0.66
  • 12Total shots14
  • 5Shots on target4
  • 5Shots off target9
  • 2Blocked shots1
  • 9Shots inside the box5
  • 2Corners5
  • 1Offsides1
  • 18Fouls14
  • 0Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards1
  • 4Goalkeeper saves2
  • 353Passes431
  • 301Accurate passes377

Line-ups

Tecnico Universitario

4-4-2

Starting XI

  1. 12Ayrton MoralesG
  2. 23E. MesaD
  3. 53Rafael Francisco Chila MaciasD
  4. 13J. AnayaD
  5. 85Y. ArceD
  6. 10J. BocanegraM
  7. 70C. CastañoM
  8. 33J. MajaoM
  9. 25B. DelgadoM
  10. 7L. EstupiñánF
  11. 8D. ArmasF

Substitutes

  1. 19Anthony CastiloF
  2. 30Luis Arce Caicedo KenerD
  3. 90W. CaicedoF
  4. 67M. CarrascoM
  5. 29A. CelaM
  6. 4Luis Mario Cordova MinaD
  7. 79C. CueroD
  8. 9H. GuardiaF
  9. 5S. MenaD
  10. 14B. OñaM
  11. 1S. RazzetoG

Coach: Ismael Blanco

Mushuc Runa SC

4-4-2

Starting XI

  1. 25R. FormentoG
  2. 26K. PeraltaD
  3. 4Ronny Alfonso Biojo PreciadoD
  4. 2J. FlorD
  5. 33M. HernándezD
  6. 19B. CorozoM
  7. 5Esteban Nicolás Dávila AlarcónM
  8. 8A. ZambranoM
  9. 11N. BazánM
  10. 99Cristopher Adonis Angulo CaicedoF
  11. 28M. PereaF

Substitutes

  1. 61J. CaicedoF
  2. 14E. CaicedoF
  3. 30F. CarabalíD
  4. 50J. CusmeD
  5. 18J. GonzalezM
  6. 52D. MerinoM
  7. 23L. LemosM
  8. 10F. MinaF
  9. 42W. PabónG
  10. 37J. QuiñonesD
  11. 9R. TufinoM
  12. 53Jorge Neimar Figueroa NaranjoM

Coach: P. Vélez

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.14 – 1.17
0.5 goalsOver90.1%Under9.9%
1.5 goalsOver67.1%Under32.9%
2.5 goalsOver40.7%Under59.3%
3.5 goalsOver20.3%Under79.7%
4.5 goalsOver8.5%Under91.5%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

Tecnico UniversitarioMushuc Runa SC
0%Form100%
0%Attack100%
83%Defence17%
50%Head to head50%
49%Expected goals51%
49%Overall51%

Last matches

Newest first
Tecnico Universitario0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Mushuc Runa SC0W 1D 0L · last 1
DMushuc Runa SC vs Orense SC19 Oct 2026 · Liga Pro1-1

Liga Pro table

Liga Pro table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Tecnico Universitario1+33
2Orense SC101
3Mushuc Runa SC2-31
See full table ›

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatTecnico UniversitarioMushuc Runa SC
Played01
Wins00
Draws01
Losses00
Goals for (avg)01
Goals against (avg)01
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 1 games went over the line

Over 1.50/01/1
Over 2.50/00/1
Over 3.50/00/1
BTTS – yes0/01/1

Match preview

Tecnico Universitario host Mushuc Runa SC in the Liga Pro (Relegation Group - 4) at Estadio Bellavista, Ambato, with kick-off on Monday, 26 October 2026 at 21:30 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Mushuc Runa SC narrow favourites, giving Tecnico Universitario a 35% chance of winning, 29% for the draw and 36% for Mushuc Runa SC. Our tip is: Mushuc Runa SC or draw.

Mushuc Runa SC have taken 1 points from their last 1 games (0W 1D 0L).

On the goals markets, we expect a tighter game, with only a 41% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Ecuador Liga Pro
Date
Monday, 26 October 2026, 21:30 WAT
Venue
Estadio Bellavista, Ambato

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Tecnico Universitario vs Mushuc Runa SC?

Tecnico Universitario vs Mushuc Runa SC kicks off on Monday, 26 October 2026 at 21:30 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Tecnico Universitario vs Mushuc Runa SC in?

The match is in the Ecuador Liga Pro.

Where are Tecnico Universitario and Mushuc Runa SC in the table?

Tecnico Universitario are 1st and Mushuc Runa SC are 3rd in the Liga Pro.

Who will win Tecnico Universitario vs Mushuc Runa SC?

Our prediction is Mushuc Runa SC or draw. Win probabilities: Tecnico Universitario 35%, draw 29%, Mushuc Runa SC 36%.

Will both teams score in Tecnico Universitario vs Mushuc Runa SC?

We estimate a 48% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is No.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Tecnico Universitario vs Mushuc Runa SC?

We estimate a 41% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Under 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

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