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Sarmiento Junin vs Barracas Central prediction

Sarmiento Junin vs Barracas Central prediction for the Liga Profesional Argentina on 19 Oct 2026: Sarmiento Junin or draw (73%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Monday19October 2026
Yesterday: 28/42 correct(67%)
Liga Profesional Argentina · Clausura - 13
Sarmiento JuninBarracas CentralNo recent games
1 - 1Full time · Mon 19 OctHT 1-0
Estadio Eva Peron, Junin

Match events

Sarmiento JuninBarracas Central
  1. Goal: Jhon RenteríaAssist: Cristian Exequiel Zabala14'
  2. 43'Yellow card: Nicolás DemartiniDissent
  3. Substitution: Gaston GonzalezOff: Jhon Rentería45'

HT 1-0

  1. 59'Substitution: Rodrigo BogarinOff: Gonzalo Maroni
  2. Substitution: Julián ContreraOff: Ulises Adrian Gimenez70'
  3. Substitution: Julian MavillaOff: Manuel García70'
  4. Yellow card: Junior MarabelDissent71'
  5. 71'Substitution: Ivan TapiaOff: Tomás Porra
  6. 71'Substitution: Elías PereyraOff: Rodrigo Insua
  7. 75'VARVAR: Yonatthan RakPenalty confirmed
  8. 78'Penalty goal: Rodrigo Insua (pen)
  9. Yellow card: Lucas·SuarezFoul81'
  10. Substitution: Mauricio MartínezOff: Jonathan Herrera83'
  11. VAR: Junior MarabelGoal cancelledVAR87'
  12. 90+4'Substitution: Nicolas OrsiniOff: Facundo Bruera
  13. 90+4'Substitution: Norberto BriascoOff: Carlos Alfredo Arce
  14. VAR: Lucas·SuarezRed card cancelledVAR90+8'

Our verdict

1X ✓

Sarmiento Junin or draw

Bet365 1.28

73%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 1-1

Expected goals2.0

Win probability

1 · Sarmiento Junin42%
Fair odds 2.38
X · Draw31%
Fair odds 3.23
2 · Barracas Central27%
Fair odds 3.70

Match statistics

  • 28%Possession72%
  • 0.81Expected goals (xG)2.76
  • 7Total shots21
  • 2Shots on target6
  • 5Shots off target11
  • 0Blocked shots4
  • 5Shots inside the box13
  • 1Corners4
  • 1Offsides1
  • 17Fouls12
  • 2Yellow cards1
  • 0Red cards0
  • 4Goalkeeper saves1
  • 196Passes484
  • 119Accurate passes400

Line-ups

Sarmiento Junin

3-5-2

Starting XI

  1. 12T. AyalaG
  2. 44R. OrihuelaD
  3. 2J. InsaurraldeD
  4. 3L. SuárezD
  5. 8S. SalleM
  6. 16Mauricio Leonel MartínezM
  7. 15C. ZabalaM
  8. 21J. MavillaM
  9. 19J. ContreraM
  10. 27J. MarabelF
  11. 10Jhon RenteríaF

Substitutes

  1. 6G. ArturiaD
  2. 9D. ChurínF
  3. 5M. GarcíaM
  4. 20U. GiménezD
  5. 23E. GiménezM
  6. 11G. GonzálezF
  7. 24J. HerreraF
  8. 7P. MagnínF
  9. 17A. NadruzM
  10. 77N. PasquiniD
  11. 29T. SantamaríaD
  12. 1I. ArboledaG

Coach: Facundo Sava

Barracas Central

4-4-2

Starting XI

  1. 30M. MiñoG
  2. 13R. BarriosD
  3. 15Y. RakD
  4. 31N. DemartiniD
  5. 17E. PereyraD
  6. 28R. BogarínM
  7. 35E. RolónM
  8. 10I. TapiaM
  9. 24Enzo TabordaM
  10. 34N. OrsiniF
  11. 11N. BriascoF

Substitutes

  1. 77F. BrueraF
  2. 19Carlos ArceM
  3. 37G. CampiD
  4. 2N. CapraroD
  5. 1J. EspínolaG
  6. 16Ivan GuarazM
  7. 6R. InsúaD
  8. 36Tomas LavezziF
  9. 33G. MaroniM
  10. 4D. MartínezD
  11. 8T. PorraM
  12. 23W. RiveraF

Coach: D. Ayude

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.16 – 0.87
0.5 goalsOver86.9%Under13.1%
1.5 goalsOver60.2%Under39.8%
2.5 goalsOver33.1%Under66.9%
3.5 goalsOver14.8%Under85.2%
4.5 goalsOver5.5%Under94.5%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

Sarmiento JuninBarracas Central
100%Form0%
100%Attack0%
17%Defence83%
50%Head to head50%
57%Expected goals43%
61%Overall39%

Last matches

Newest first
Sarmiento Junin0W 1D 0L · last 1
DSarmiento Junin vs River Plate14 Oct 2026 · Liga Profesional Argentina1-1
Barracas Central0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Liga Profesional Argentina table

Liga Profesional Argentina table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Estudiantes L.P.16+1231
1Independ. Rivadavia16+1434
2Boca Juniors16+1330
2River Plate16+1029
3Velez Sarsfield16+628
3Argentinos JRS16+429
4Talleres Cordoba16+426
4Rosario Central16+428
5Independiente16+424
5Belgrano Cordoba16+426
6Lanus16+324
6Gimnasia L.P.16026
7San Lorenzo16022
7Huracan16+422
8Union Santa Fe16+421
8Racing Club16+221
9Instituto Cordoba16021
9Barracas Central16021
10Defensa Y Justicia16-319
10Tigre16+320
11Gimnasia M.16-819
11Sarmiento Junin16-719
12Platense16-516
12Banfield16-218
13Central Cordoba de Santiago16-1016
13Atletico Tucuman16-514
14Newells Old Boys16-1215
14Aldosivi16-138
15Deportivo Riestra16-711
15Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto16-195
See full table ›

Top scorers

Liga Profesional Argentina top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1C. TarragonaUnion Santa Fe3115
2A. MódicaGimnasia M.2614
3J. MarabelSarmiento Junin3014
4J. CaicedoHuracan2814
5R. MartínezVelez Sarsfield2913

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatSarmiento JuninBarracas Central
Played10
Wins00
Draws10
Losses00
Goals for (avg)10
Goals against (avg)10
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 1 games went over the line

Over 1.51/10/0
Over 2.50/10/0
Over 3.50/10/0
BTTS – yes1/10/0

Match preview

Sarmiento Junin host Barracas Central in the Liga Profesional Argentina (Clausura - 13) at Estadio Eva Peron, Junin, with kick-off on Monday, 19 October 2026 at 23:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Sarmiento Junin slight favourites, giving Sarmiento Junin a 42% chance of winning, 31% for the draw and 27% for Barracas Central. Our tip is: Sarmiento Junin or draw.

Sarmiento Junin have taken 1 points from their last 1 games (0W 1D 0L).

On the goals markets, we expect a tighter game, with only a 33% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 41% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Argentina Liga Profesional Argentina
Date
Monday, 19 October 2026, 23:00 WAT
Venue
Estadio Eva Peron, Junin

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Sarmiento Junin vs Barracas Central?

Sarmiento Junin vs Barracas Central kicks off on Monday, 19 October 2026 at 23:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Sarmiento Junin vs Barracas Central in?

The match is in the Argentina Liga Profesional Argentina.

Where are Sarmiento Junin and Barracas Central in the table?

Sarmiento Junin are 11th and Barracas Central are 9th in the Liga Profesional Argentina.

Who will win Sarmiento Junin vs Barracas Central?

Our prediction is Sarmiento Junin or draw. Win probabilities: Sarmiento Junin 42%, draw 31%, Barracas Central 27%.

Will both teams score in Sarmiento Junin vs Barracas Central?

We estimate a 41% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is No.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Sarmiento Junin vs Barracas Central?

We estimate a 33% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Under 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Liga Profesional Argentina on Mon 19 Oct

FTNewells Old Boys 2-1 Central Cordoba de Santiago12 ✓

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